Dec. 9-12, 2023 | Potential Winter Storm

[Wnwniner]

wasnt this a cutter 2 days ago?  I'll wait til friday or saturday to really start to feel confident in whats going to happen

[Ohiobuckeye45]

2 minutes ago, Wnwniner said:

wasnt this a cutter 2 days ago?  I'll wait til friday or saturday to really start to feel confident in whats going to happen

it still is, but the addition of the secondary is new

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

interior NE does well

 

 

[cperry29]

They’re losing their “oomph” over the Midwest.

[SNOWBOB11]

Models taking the GFS solution wasn’t what we needed for the 12z. Let’s see what euro says.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

still a discrepancy between the CMC and GFS on the primary, that ultimately determines where the boundary is and where any secondary forms. Although without cold air it doesnt matter unless it can have any negative tilt resemblance 

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

uk primary

 

 

secondary 

 

 

 

 

but torchy

[SOMOSnow]

I'm close to throwing in the towel on this one. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

🤢

 

[BuckeyeGal]

*coughit'snotevenwinteryetcough* 😆

[Grace]

12z was bad for sure, was hopeful.

No sampling until 0z Friday run (tomorrow night). Full sampling 12z Friday. Could get worse, could get better.

[RobB]

15 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

*coughit'snotevenwinteryetcough* 😆

I'm more disappointed in the fact it is no longer a biggish storm than the lack of winter aspect to it. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

24 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

*coughit'snotevenwinteryetcough* 😆

per the sun haha, but per winter lovers and meteorologists it definitely started a week ago 😄 

central Ohio's average first measurable snow (1"+)ranges from now until next week, north central Ohio is around now, Columbus is early/mid next week and later next week/weekend for points south of that

Edited December 6, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[StormfanaticInd]

12z has been brutal today🙄

[Ohiobuckeye45]

its good to see systems compared to how dry its been the last couple months, but yes we've entered that time of year where every missed system is a knock off the 100% perfect winter score 😂, this one has a low weighting so we'll go with 99% 

[beaver56]

I am just hopeful for some more rain.  I could do without the wind as well.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

5 minutes ago, beaver56 said:

 I could do without the wind as well.

Welcome to true winter 😆

I could do without wind unless its A. over 90 degrees B. on a beach or C. snowing or having just snowed 

[beaver56]

1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Welcome to true winter 😆

I could do without wind unless its A. over 90 degrees B. on a beach or C. snowing or having just snowed 

We put out 100K or so Christmas lights and I hate fixing the damn things after wind.  Other than that, I could care less about wind.  Add in the fact we live in a crazy windy area it is a real pain.  Santa's fattest elf is getting too old and tired for this crap.  😆

[SOMOSnow]

I believe this would be better if the energy was connected (a phase to some extent.) These seperate waves aren't working out. The big back-to-back Euro solutions a couple days ago had it all connected and the moisture and cold were much better for those in the heavy snow swath. 

Edited December 6, 2023 by SOMOSnow

[StormfanaticInd]

European sucks also 😕 

[BuckeyeGal]

The Euro doesn’t suck (in my opinion). It just gets its act together too far east to impact many of us with wintery precip. 

[SNOWBOB11]

Euro still has a good snow swath with the secondary but it’s too far east. If we end up missing the snow to the east after it showing as a cutter I’ll be furious lol.

Edited December 6, 2023 by SNOWBOB11

[Ohiobuckeye45]

hard for a positively tilted setup to produce snow in this setup, mega arctic front

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

this is where it starts to change

 

 

[BuckeyeGal]

Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

this is where it starts to change

 

 

Absolutely. Would be nice for the mid-PA folks as it is now.