Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 3, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 3, 2023 Well. Looks like they've got this all figured out, lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 55 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Well. Looks like they've got this all figured out, lol. Model mayhem. At least team Euro has had two consistent runs in a row! 🤞🏻 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Storm back on the GFS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 3, 2023 Author Share Posted December 3, 2023 16 minutes ago, junior said: Storm back on the GFS. Yeah almost like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Possibly a big over correction on the GFS with the storm being it had it way east last run. It was close to being a big time storm for me. We will see there lots of runs left. Possibly need the system to slow down a bit for the system to track more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 3, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 3, 2023 That.. was an interesting GFS run. ☃️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 This storm needs to happen - the Cleveland Browns have a home game next Sunday 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) I made this post about this potential winter storm on November 24 in the LR Winter thread using the BSR. https://www.wxsphere.com/topic/302-winter-2023-2024-discussion-and-outlooks/?do=findComment&comment=57233 And to watch how it played out in the Bering Sea has a very high corration to the Euro & A.I. You can go here &go day by day or use animation: http://joe.organicforecasting.com/BsrEar/Bsr/ Edited December 4, 2023 by Grace 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 4, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 4, 2023 23 minutes ago, Grace said: I made this post about this potential winter storm on November 24 in the LR Winter thread using the BSR. https://www.wxsphere.com/topic/302-winter-2023-2024-discussion-and-outlooks/?do=findComment&comment=57233 And to watch how it played out in the Bering Sea has a very high corration to the Euro & A.I. You can go here &go day by day or use animation: http://joe.organicforecasting.com/BsrEar/Bsr/ We know it’s getting juicy when @Grace mentions BSR and correlation! 🥳 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) 55 minutes ago, Grace said: I made this post about this potential winter storm on November 24 in the LR Winter thread using the BSR. https://www.wxsphere.com/topic/302-winter-2023-2024-discussion-and-outlooks/?do=findComment&comment=57233 And to watch how it played out in the Bering Sea has a very high corration to the Euro & A.I. You can go here &go day by day or use animation: http://joe.organicforecasting.com/BsrEar/Bsr/ It's just a hunch but I think organic is going to be more reliable than the models long and medium range this year. By leaps and bounds. Edited December 4, 2023 by 1816 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 At 132 on the GFS, looks like the energy is digging more and a hair slower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 OZ ICON, Euro and GFS... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 51 minutes ago, SOMOSnow said: OZ ICON, Euro and GFS... 👀👀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 Fwiw, OZ Euro Control almost identical to the OZ Euro OP run posted above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 0Z Spire Basic fwiw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 FROPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 4, 2023 Moderators Share Posted December 4, 2023 FWIW, the AI (machine learning models) for a time period between Sun 10 Dec 2023 12 UTC (T+156) to Mon 11 Dec 2023 00 UTC (T+168). Today's runs show LP up the west side of the Apps, or there about, on all 4 AI models. Quote 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrazyINwx Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 Time for me to come out of the cobwebs for the winter. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Virus047 Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 38 minutes ago, CrazyINwx said: Time for me to come out of the cobwebs for the winter. Oh yes. 🙂 Me too! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 I’m thinking a solution to Euro will pan out. Seems like a good time for a cutter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) Overnight 6Z GFS (top) 👇 wildly different from the OZ last night. (Posted above). Morning 12Z ICON (bottom) 👇 massively different than 0Z ICON last night. (Posted above.) Ughhh... Edited December 4, 2023 by SOMOSnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 12Z GFS also stays way North. Not what I expected ffom 12z models after the 0Z model runs. If Euro does the same it will become worrisome even this far out. Still plenty of time for big adjustments, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) wrong thread... Edited December 4, 2023 by bigben89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, SOMOSnow said: 12Z GFS also stays way North. Not what I expected ffom 12z models after the 0Z model runs. If Euro does the same it will become worrisome even this far out. Still plenty of time for big adjustments, though. Yeah not a great look. On to the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) My take: BSR would suggest further SE solution than currently modeled but it's not a often a 1:1 correlation so that's not all that unusual. A.I. seems like most of those products are further SE as well. Teleconnections would seem to support more of a NW possibility like today's runs...east GLC. Therefore, maybe take the middle road. 🫤 Edited December 4, 2023 by Grace 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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