Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted October 10, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted October 10, 2023 60 degree dew points and good shear along a dryline here in the Texas Panhandle tomorrow but... the cap and those lapse rates. What a waste. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 We will see what the 00z models have for Thurs afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted October 11, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted October 11, 2023 Here we go URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Amarillo TX 316 AM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>019-317-112100- /O.NEW.KAMA.FW.A.0022.231012T1700Z-231013T0100Z/ Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb- Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson- Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Palo Duro Canyon- 316 AM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE COMBINED OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES... The National Weather Service in Amarillo has issued a Fire Weather Watch for strong winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening. * Affected Area...In Oklahoma...Cimarron...Texas and Beaver. In Texas...Dallam...Sherman...Hansford...Ochiltree...Lipscomb... Hartley...Moore...Hutchinson...Roberts...Hemphill...Oldham... Potter...Carson...Gray...Wheeler...Deaf Smith...Randall... Armstrong...Donley and Palo Duro Canyon. * 20 Foot Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Red Flag Threat Index...4 to 6. * Timing...11 AM CDT through 8 PM CDT Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that the potential for critical fire weather conditions exists. Listen for later forecasts and possible red flag warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 For the most part, the convection-allowing models have low amounts of convective storms for the slight risk tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted October 12, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted October 12, 2023 ‘Tis the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 12, 2023 Share Posted October 12, 2023 (edited) The "Convective Chronicles" youtube video says maybe the convection-allowing models are under-doing the amount of storms for tomorrow. So maybe the slight risk won't be so boring. Some of the 00z convection-allowing models have a dominant supercell in eastern Nebraska. (a change from 12z I believe.) Maybe there could be more supercells than that. with the winds in the Plains tonight, it's still 71-74 degrees in Kansas. Edited October 12, 2023 by Chinook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 (edited) Here is a blast of hot cT air with 91/31 at Kansas. This may be the last interesting dry line for a long time. Not a lot happened in the severe weather risk area. Edited October 13, 2023 by Chinook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Chinook said: Here is a blast of hot cT air with 91/31 at Kansas. This may be the last interesting dry line for a long time. Not a lot happened in the severe weather risk area. Other than several weak tornadoes in Nebraska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 14 hours ago, Iceresistance said: Other than several weak tornadoes in Nebraska Those were brief tornadoes, and not too much on the hail/wind. Also note: tornadoes in FL on Wednesday/Thursday at about or after midnight, one was a waterspout that came right in to a beach by Clearwater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 Looks like October 15th might be the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted October 19, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted October 19, 2023 Looking forward to this coming pattern. I've been told that the keys to getting a good rain event around here is... 1) An eastern Pacific TS moving northeast into Mexico and the southern Plains, bringing mid-level moisture with it (first image) 2) South/southeast low-level flow to bring in low-level moisture (second image) 3) A trough that dips down into the vicinity of Las Vegas (third image) Got all the pieces coming together. Should be good for at least a decent rain event. Severe weather potential TBD, lapse rates look pretty pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted October 23, 2023 Author Share Posted October 23, 2023 This week looks good for a nice rain event/non-severe storms here. Not so much for severe weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 (edited) Hit a high of 81 degrees today, one degree shy of a record(1963). Nice little return to summer with the fall peak colors ongoing. Edited October 25, 2023 by NWOhioChaser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 51 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said: Hit a high of 81 degrees today, one degree shy of a record(1963). Nice little return to summer with the fall peak colors ongoing. well, this would probably go in the weather observations thread, but... Toledo had a high of 81, only one degree from the record of 82! It's officially an Indian summer as it was 32 yesterday and definitely over 70 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 It was a severe weather day also it was a day full of snow in Montana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 @ClicheVortex2014Did you get any snow last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted November 1, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted November 1, 2023 On 10/30/2023 at 7:43 AM, Iceresistance said: @ClicheVortex2014Did you get any snow last night? Just a bit of freezing mist/freezing rain Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 3, 2023 Share Posted November 3, 2023 On 11/1/2023 at 12:26 AM, ClicheVortex2014 said: Just a bit of freezing mist/freezing rain Saturday night. Oof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpg.d854dd115fa9dfd0656f7d1835c449ce.jpg)
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now