Burr Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 (edited) definitely heading north now, btw. Edited September 14, 2023 by Burr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 (edited) And…….. the 0z GFS. G’nite, all! Edited September 14, 2023 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 14, 2023 Admin Share Posted September 14, 2023 The front has cleared the coast, so that should help mitigate some of the heavy rain potential for those west of the front. Should have 2 good days to get things drying, especially as the N wind begins to build late today into tomorrow. Similar to coastal scraping snow storms, how far west does any banding reach? NAM3 might be most ambitious with the heavier banding. RGEM really kills the shield in the NW sector as it approaches land. This does make some sense with N winds descending off the higher terrain. I have tickets to the Sea Dogs on Saturday. 1 o'clock game, if the rain holds off and the game is on, it will be interesting with such high winds blowing almost directly in from center field. Plus it's field of dreams day, they walk into the game out of a makeshift cornfield. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 12 hours ago, MainelySnow said: Been doing the same. Hubby is filling up the gas cans, and I'm getting some food prepped in case power goes out. At least I'll have the gas cooktop, or really worst case, fire up the woodstove. You know who ranks in my house - I've got the dog's food (he eats home made) already prepped through next week 🙂 If you are out today, you may want to ask your local gas stations if they have generators that will keep the pumps working if they lose electricity. After Sandy, there was no fuel stations in my area in NJ that I could find that were running on generator power. Luckily, I was running a Honda 2000 watt generator that didn't use much fuel so I had less troubles. My neighbors running bigger generators had troubles. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 14, 2023 Admin Share Posted September 14, 2023 54 minutes ago, TheRex said: If you are out today, you may want to ask your local gas stations if they have generators that will keep the pumps working if they lose electricity. After Sandy, there was no fuel stations in my area in NJ that I could find that were running on generator power. Luckily, I was running a Honda 2000 watt generator that didn't use much fuel so I had less troubles. My neighbors running bigger generators had troubles. Great point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 14, 2023 Admin Share Posted September 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, Burr said: 265 miles from Bermuda and TS conditions... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: 265 miles from Bermuda and TS conditions... We are cancelling our plans to go to the Jersey shore this weekend… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Burr said: We are cancelling our plans to go to the Jersey shore this weekend… You shouldn't be getting any rain. Will be windy, probably in the 10 to 15 mph range. Unless you were planning to go into the water, or if the winds could cause the boardwalk to get flooded out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 14, 2023 Moderators Share Posted September 14, 2023 10 hours ago, clm said: Same here. Want to head to Mass. this Saturday but not sure if its going to rain or not. You could go to Mass on Sunday. We even have a 5pm service here! 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 14, 2023 Moderators Share Posted September 14, 2023 (edited) 19 minutes ago, Burr said: We are cancelling our plans to go to the Jersey shore this weekend… I was counting on you for video of the surf! @Miller A would be my go to if it were winter but he doesn't get too involved in summer. Edited September 14, 2023 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, StretchCT said: You could go to Mass on Sunday. We even have a 5pm service here! I meant Massachusetts. 🤪 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 14, 2023 Moderators Share Posted September 14, 2023 Nothing to really update this morning. Track looks the same. Storm should slowly peter out due to shear, dry air and eventually older ssts. Track could shift either way but still between CC and NS. One important note that was showing up in previous NHC discussions was that the graphic for the chance of tropical storm winds is messed up. "It should again be noted that the 34- and 50-kt wind speed probabilities beyond 36 hours in the text and graphical products are likely underestimating the risk of those winds occurring. This is because the forecast wind field of Lee is considerably larger than average compared to the wind field used to derive the wind speed probability product." Found this Tik Tok interesting. Fisherman in Maine has lots of birds on his boat while at sea. Not sure where they came from. Sometimes northerlies blow the birds out to sea but he says they haven't had any lately. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 31 minutes ago, StretchCT said: I was counting on you for video of the surf! @Miller A would be my go to if it were winter but he doesn't get too involved in summer. I'm hoping for pictures of @Miller A's neighbor picking up every leaf that falls on his property. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 57 minutes ago, TheRex said: I'm hoping for pictures of @Miller A's neighbor picking up every leaf that falls on his property. Growing up I had a neighbor like that. He'd clean it all up and break out the lawnmower if 1 more leaf fell. He was way too fanatical about it. Passed away in his 50's. Never ventured anywhere, just took care of that yard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 14, 2023 Admin Share Posted September 14, 2023 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: You could go to Mass on Sunday. We even have a 5pm service here! I don't like churches burning because of me... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 40 minutes ago, clm said: Growing up I had a neighbor like that. He'd clean it all up and break out the lawnmower if 1 more leaf fell. He was way too fanatical about it. Passed away in his 50's. Never ventured anywhere, just took care of that yard. People care way to much about grass, we’ve been thinking about letting our pastures grow and throw wildflower seed and plant some trees. Mowing grass 🤢. We also have a honey bee hive so we figure more flowers! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harley8778 Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 I would imagine this storm has really racked up some ACE for the Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted September 14, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted September 14, 2023 (edited) 30 minutes ago, Harley8778 said: I would imagine this storm has really racked up some ACE for the Atlantic. Yea was the most ACE producing storm this year. http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/ If you just click on the location Ex: North Atlantic or NE Pacific it breaks it down individually. Edited September 14, 2023 by so_whats_happening 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Mainiac Posted September 14, 2023 Admin Share Posted September 14, 2023 The predicted impacts at my location have dropped significantly since yesterday. The QPF over at the WPC dropped from 4"-6" to 0"-1" and there is now a 0% chance of tropical storm winds per the latest NHC update. I got 1.21" yesterday and really don't need it anymore! Not actually too surprised to see this storm recurve more than initially expected. They almost always do and the Gulf of Maine is where hurricanes go to die. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 14, 2023 Moderators Share Posted September 14, 2023 High Surf Advisory for Nassau/Suffolk calls for 16 foot breakers - pictures from our LI contingent please. NYZ080-081-179-151615- /O.CON.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230917T0000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-230917T0000Z/ Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Southern Nassau- 1150 AM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 11 ft, building to 10 to 16 feet on Friday into Saturday morning in the surf zone, then gradually subsiding through the weekend. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted September 14, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted September 14, 2023 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 14, 2023 Share Posted September 14, 2023 55 minutes ago, Mainiac said: The predicted impacts at my location have dropped significantly since yesterday. The QPF over at the WPC dropped from 4"-6" to 0"-1" and there is now a 0% chance of tropical storm winds per the latest NHC update. I got 1.21" yesterday and really don't need it anymore! Not actually too surprised to see this storm recurve more than initially expected. They almost always do and the Gulf of Maine is where hurricanes go to die. I'm curious as to why that is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 14, 2023 Moderators Share Posted September 14, 2023 (edited) Buoy 41048 currently with 60t winds at surface and 64kt winds 20m. Gusts to 80kts. Waves 30 feet. 65 miles from the "center" Radar from Bermuda Current Bermuda conditions Winds there TS force Bit sporty out there https://www.portbermudawebcam.com/ Edited September 14, 2023 by StretchCT 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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