Iceresistance Posted September 11, 2023 Author Share Posted September 11, 2023 Raw ADT at a 7.1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Raw ADT at a 7.1 11pm update is going to be interesting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Heading straight back in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 What a difference 16 hours makes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 (edited) Daaayum… made a left turn out the NE eyewall, then pulled a 180 to go back in. Edited September 11, 2023 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted September 11, 2023 Admin Share Posted September 11, 2023 Just want to say this is fantastic coverage. Appreciate you all. Pulling for this thing to swing away from our coast, though the recent runs are concerning. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Joyriding in the eyewall again, stick jockey? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 11, 2023 Author Share Posted September 11, 2023 WMG eye 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 (edited) I had to Google WMG. And then when I decided not to read past the first two scientific paper abstracts, I decided to ask ChatGPT. Is this accurate? 😁 Spoiler A warm medium gray hurricane eye typically indicates a mature and intense hurricane. The eye of a hurricane is the central, relatively calm area surrounded by the eyewall, which contains the storm’s strongest winds and most intense rainfall. The color of the eye can vary depending on atmospheric conditions and the angle of sunlight, but a warm medium gray color suggests a well-developed storm with a clear, defined eye. This can be significant for meteorologists and those tracking the hurricane because: 1. Intensity: A well-defined eye with a warm medium gray appearance often indicates that the hurricane has reached a high level of organization and strength. 2. Stability: A clear eye suggests that the storm’s inner core is stable and well-organized, which can lead to sustained and powerful hurricane conditions. 3. Predictability: A distinct eye allows meteorologists to more accurately track the storm’s movement and predict its path, helping to issue timely warnings to potentially affected areas. 4. Visual Confirmation: A visible warm gray eye can be an indicator of a hurricane’s intensity and structure when observed from satellite imagery or by hurricane hunters who fly into the storm. Edited September 11, 2023 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Lots of hunting in and around the eyewall on this flight. 104 knot / 119 mph surface winds in this last pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 950mb | 120mph at the 11pm update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btbucks Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 (edited) NHC is showing Lee to really start to weaken around day 4-5. INIT 11/0300Z 22.6N 62.2W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 11/1200Z 23.1N 63.1W 115 KT 130 MPH 24H 12/0000Z 23.6N 64.4W 120 KT 140 MPH 36H 12/1200Z 24.1N 65.5W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 13/0000Z 24.6N 66.4W 110 KT 125 MPH 60H 13/1200Z 25.3N 67.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 14/0000Z 26.5N 67.7W 95 KT 110 MPH 96H 15/0000Z 30.2N 67.9W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 16/0000Z 35.5N 67.0W 70 KT 80 MPH Edited September 11, 2023 by btbucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Lee still has dry air intrusion to contend with… WV loop: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 (edited) North side of CDO continues to get squashed Edited September 11, 2023 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 11pm Discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 39 minutes ago, Burr said: I had to Google WMG. And then when I decided not to read past the first two scientific paper abstracts, I decided to ask ChatGPT. Is this accurate? 😁 Hide contents A warm medium gray hurricane eye typically indicates a mature and intense hurricane. The eye of a hurricane is the central, relatively calm area surrounded by the eyewall, which contains the storm’s strongest winds and most intense rainfall. The color of the eye can vary depending on atmospheric conditions and the angle of sunlight, but a warm medium gray color suggests a well-developed storm with a clear, defined eye. This can be significant for meteorologists and those tracking the hurricane because: 1. Intensity: A well-defined eye with a warm medium gray appearance often indicates that the hurricane has reached a high level of organization and strength. 2. Stability: A clear eye suggests that the storm’s inner core is stable and well-organized, which can lead to sustained and powerful hurricane conditions. 3. Predictability: A distinct eye allows meteorologists to more accurately track the storm’s movement and predict its path, helping to issue timely warnings to potentially affected areas. 4. Visual Confirmation: A visible warm gray eye can be an indicator of a hurricane’s intensity and structure when observed from satellite imagery or by hurricane hunters who fly into the storm. I'd be wary of Chatgpt as it is programmed by humans. Kinda like going to wikipedia for accurate info, there is a chance it could be wrong. A program is only as good as its coders. Also what is not known is where its pulling the information from either. So someone could put it out there on a site that WMG is as hot as my buttocks and chatgpt may grab that. And I am not sure if there is any checking on chatgpt's side to see if its fact or fiction. At least with wikipedia, users can alert on a page if there is inaccurate information. Looking up WMG seems to be the temperature of the eye in infrared. According to some of the sites I found (non-chatgpt), it appears to be the warmest and brightest infrared temperature. But I'll let the experts here chime in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 0z GFS … where does Lee go from here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Burr said: 0z GFS … where does Lee go from here? He's going here. Model run is still in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, clm said: He's going here. Model run is still in progress. Teasing… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 He flanks west, grazes me and heads back northeast. Gra 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 (edited) 3 minutes ago, clm said: He flanks west, grazes me and heads back northeast. Gra Head fake left at Cape cod and then goes right for the Bay of Fundi. What’s the moon phase next Sunday? Edited September 11, 2023 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Burr said: Head fake left at Cape cod and then goes right for the Bay of Fundi. What’s the moon phase next Sunday? Waxing Crescent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Burr said: Head fake left at Cape cod and then goes right for the Bay of Fundi. What’s the moon phase next Sunday? Been to the Bay of Fundy, especially Hopewell Rocks. I highly recommend it if you haven't been there. The head fake is Lee's attempt at wanting to make the Giants or the Jets. Edited September 11, 2023 by clm clarification 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted September 11, 2023 Share Posted September 11, 2023 Dry air still hindering Lee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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