OHValleysnow Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Looks like a tornado in Knox, IN. Not too far from my mom's home. I just sent them a text to take cover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Clearing out in W OH now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 14 minutes ago, OHValleysnow said: Looks like a tornado in Knox, IN. Not too far from my mom's home. I just sent them a text to take cover. New severe thunderstorm warning for that cell saying baseball size hail. Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Northern Indiana 240 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Starke County in northwestern Indiana... Northwestern Marshall County in north central Indiana... * Until 330 PM EDT/230 PM CDT/. * At 238 PM EDT/138 PM CDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located near Hamlet, or near Knox, moving northeast at 35 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR northeast Starke and northwest Marshall counties. HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. * Locations impacted include... Plymouth, Knox, Hamlet, Koontz Lake, Oak Grove, La Paz, Ober, Twin Lakes, Tyner, Donaldson, Linkville, Grovertown, Burr Oak and Bass Lake. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT/700 PM CDT/ for north central and northwestern Indiana. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4148 8630 4148 8627 4126 8626 4125 8667 4135 8668 TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 246DEG 29KT 4133 8657 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted June 25, 2023 Admin Share Posted June 25, 2023 Driving home from Cleveland in sunshine. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Tornado warning cancelled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, junior said: Clearing out in W OH now. Yup…the clearing line is right on my doorstep. Gonna have a few hours to keep it baking. These lower level winds are really pushing, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Sunny and Blue skies here in lebanon ohio… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Just now, NWsnowhio said: Yup…the clearing line is right on my doorstep. Gonna have a few hours to keep it baking. These lower level winds are really pushing, too. It won't take long to destabilize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Clearing out nicely here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Yea full sunshine now. Got some time to heat up before the line gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 ILN with an early afternoon AFD update. Probably because of the balloon launch. Quote AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 222 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 .SYNOPSIS... Warm and humid conditions are expected today with showers and thunderstorms developing later this afternoon and into this evening. A slow-moving upper level low will lead to cooler conditions Monday into Tuesday along with a continued chance for showers and few thunderstorms each day. Drier and warmer conditions will evolve toward midweek and beyond. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/... The decaying clusters of SHRA/TSRA that migrated through the ILN FA this morning have long departed to the SE. Remnant MCS cloud debris continues to meander about the region and advect back in from the S in the wake of the activity, but latest satellite imagery does show more substantial clearing nearing the OH/IN line. In fact, skies should trend mostly sunny from W to E across EC IN/WC OH and the Tri-State through mid afternoon, aiding in and enhancing the destabilization efforts that are well underway upstream across cntrl/wrn IN. The focus for the near term period is, of course, a concerning setup for widespread severe weather late this afternoon through the evening. Latest mesoanalysis trends, in conjunction with near-term hi-res model data, suggest rapid theta-e advection NNE into wrn parts of the ILN FA by 21z, owing to the simultaneous influx of moisture-rich LL air (sfc DPs in the lower 70s) and a seasonably stout EML advecting in from the W. This should lead to a steepening of both LL and midlevel lapse rates, allowing for rapid SB and deep-layer destabilization and for the environment to become strongly to extremely unstable (3000+ J/kg SBCAPE) across the wrn third of the ILN FA by/beyond 21z. Additionally, the arrival of a midlevel speed max and associated midlevel S/W will provide more than enough forcing and large- scale ascent to continue to initiate/expand/strengthen convection across cntrl/ern IN into wrn OH by/past 21z. With deep-layer (0-6km shear near/in excess of ~50 kts), and effective SRH of 150-300 m2/s2, storm organization will occur quickly upon initiation. There are two main concerns as we progress into the evening hours, especially from 22z through 03z. The first concern is going to be the potential that initial discrete activity develops more robustly before growing upscale, a scenario that is most likely to manifest itself across EC/SE IN, SW OH, and N KY between 22z-01z. This activity, owing to favorable overlap between shear/instby/SRH parameter spaces, could bring with it all modes of severe weather, including damaging wind, large hail (potentially significant (2"+ diameter)), and tornadoes. A particularly concerning scenario would be if this activity remains discrete for several hours in a row before growing upscale and transitioning more to a widespread damaging wind threat. Undoubtedly this is one of the reasons for these locales to be the only ones with a simultaneous overlap between the hatched tornado/wind/hail probs in the latest SPC SWO and certainly agree these areas should see the most favorable setup for all severe hazards. The second concern is going to be the widespread damaging wind threat, which is most likely to occur in two main factions -- 1) across WC (~21-00z) and central OH (00z-03z) where the better orthogonal orientation between the forcing/lifting mechanism and the 0-3km bulk shear vector will be sustained through the evening hours and 2) later into the event with eastward extent as early evening convection grows upscale and congeals into one or more bowing segments/lines. This would be favored more for locales E of the I-71 corridor and into south- central OH and NE KY past 02z. Could very well see SCT to numerous instances of gusts near/in excess of 70 MPH. Severe activity will wane toward/past midnight, with a few lingering TSRA possible in far NE KY and south-central OH into early overnight. Otherwise, expect a mainly quiet overnight period, with even some clearing possible across parts of the FA during the middle of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted June 25, 2023 Admin Share Posted June 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: ILN with an early afternoon AFD update. Probably because of the balloon launch. Geez, novella! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Full sunshine here now. Can feel the DP rising too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 We’ll probably get anvils here way before storms arrive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Geez, novella! I'd probably be more surprised if it wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenbobby13 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 The severe thunderstorm warning going into Warsaw Indiana has tennis ball size hail reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 There was 3" hail in Knox IN. Quote Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Northern Indiana 308 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0240 PM Hail Knox 41.29N 86.62W 06/25/2023 M3.00 inch Starke IN Public Multiple pictures on Facebook of 2 inch hailstones and one 3 inch hailstone that fell in Knox, IN around 1:40 PM CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Warning with 80mph winds! Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Northern Indiana 323 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southern Elkhart County in north central Indiana... Western Noble County in northeastern Indiana... Northern Kosciusko County in north central Indiana... Western Lagrange County in northeastern Indiana... * Until 400 PM EDT. * At 322 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Dunlap to near Nappanee to 8 miles northeast of Bourbon, moving east at 40 mph. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR SOUTHERN ELKHART AND NORTHERN KOSCIUSKO COUNTY. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. * Locations impacted include... Goshen, Warsaw, Nappanee, Ligonier, Syracuse, Lagrange, Dunlap, Middlebury, Wakarusa, Milford, Topeka, North Webster, Millersburg, New Paris, Benton, Shipshewana, Etna Green, Leesburg, Cromwell and Honeyville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for north central and northeastern Indiana. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4159 8537 4131 8548 4129 8562 4130 8565 4129 8565 4125 8606 4133 8606 4143 8600 4159 8604 4175 8540 TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 256DEG 34KT 4157 8593 4144 8591 4135 8596 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Already seeing a split form on radar… some nasty looking cells though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 Quote Mesoscale Discussion 1256 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2023 Areas affected...Portions of southern IN and southern/central KY Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 251922Z - 252045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The threat for tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds should increase this afternoon. Tornado watch issuance will likely be needed in the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...Recent attempts at convective initiation have been noted across parts of southern IL along and just ahead of a surface cold front. Latest visible satellite imagery also shows an outflow boundary from prior convection arcing northward from middle TN into western KY and far southwestern IN, intersecting the cold front in far southeastern IL. Low-level winds to the west of the outflow boundary have generally veered to west-southwesterly. But surface and boundary-layer winds along/east of this boundary are backed to south-southeasterly. A rather unstable and strongly sheared environment is present across southern IN into western/central KY ahead of the cold front, and near the outflow boundary. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong diurnal heating of a very moist low-level airmass are contributing to 1500-2500+ J/kg of MLCAPE this afternoon. A 50+ kt mid-level westerly jet and veering wind profile with height through mid levels is supporting 45-55+ kt of deep-layer shear. Supercells are expected to continue forming with southward extent along the cold front into southwestern IN. Very large hail will be a threat with this initially discrete development. The tornado threat is less clear in the short term due to weak low-level winds. But, backed southerly winds to the east of the outflow boundary along with gradually increasing winds associated with an approaching low-level jet should support locally greater 0-1 km SRH, and some threat for tornadoes, as convection spreads eastward into central KY later this afternoon and early evening. Damaging winds will also be possible with any upscale growth into small clusters that can occur. Given the potential for robust supercells to develop along/near the OH River in the next 1-2 hours, Tornado Watch issuance will likely be needed. ..Gleason/Grams.. 06/25/2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 (edited) NEW TORNADO WARNING Edited June 25, 2023 by StormfanaticInd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 1 minute ago, StormfanaticInd said: NEW TORNADO WARNING This one might actually produce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 I'd imagine we'll see an MD for watch issuance for Ohio soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 25, 2023 Share Posted June 25, 2023 If that cell can just northeast of Indy can get going, it's out in front of the line. That could be trouble for the Dayton to Cin area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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