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May 17-June 3, 2023 | Severe Weather


ElectricStorm

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There is a current confirmed tornado warning about 34 miles SE of Fort Stockton. A storm chaser reported the tornado at 11 miles east of Fort Stockton a while ago. (See Reed Timmer twitter feed or Edgar ONeal twitter feed or Sam Dienst twitter feed.)

Edited by Chinook
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44 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said:

The supercell in S TX must be a tornado-creating machine because for the last hour i've seen the warning being observed. 

Serious hail too.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
438 PM CDT Fri Jun 2 2023

TXC371-443-022200-
/O.CON.KMAF.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-230602T2200Z/
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-
438 PM CDT Fri Jun 2 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
PECOS AND NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTIES...

At 438 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 11 miles south of Sheffield, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and three inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. Spotters on the ground report
         baseball size hail.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Sheffield.

 

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1 hour ago, Neoncyclone said:

The supercell in S TX must be a tornado-creating machine because for the last hour i've seen the warning being observed. 

did you mean to say three supercells?

 

triple supercells.jpg

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  • The title was changed to May 17-June 3, 2023 | Severe Weather

Been a while since i've been in any severe threat.

Quote
 Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1125 AM CDT Sat Jun 03 2023

   Valid 031630Z - 041200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOWER RIO GRANDE
   VALLEY IN SOUTH TX...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A swath of severe wind gusts may occur between about 8 PM to
   Midnight CDT along a portion of the Lower Rio Grande Valley.
   Otherwise, isolated severe thunderstorms with wind and hail will be
   possible across parts of the south-central and northeastern states,
   mainly through this evening.

   ...Far eastern NM to south TX...
   An elongated, low-amplitude upper trough will stay anchored from the
   Great Basin to the southern High Plains through tonight. The
   attendant belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will largely remain
   confined across northern Mexico into Deep South TX. Several areas of
   isolated to scattered thunderstorm development are expected later
   this afternoon into the evening: 1) the higher terrain of northern
   Coahuila into perhaps the Big Bend, 2) a remnant outflow boundary
   over the Concho Valley, and 3) the far eastern NM/west TX border
   area from the Raton Mesa to the Permian Basin.

   Areas to the north of south TX will be in a more modest deep-layer
   shear environment with effective values around 20-30 kt. This should
   generally support weak and transient mid-level updraft rotation and
   multicell clustering. Owing to continued steep mid-level lapse
   rates, large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible with
   overall coverage expected to remain isolated.

   A relatively greater but largely conditional severe threat may occur
   over a portion of the Rio Grande Valley in south TX later this
   evening if supercell clusters over Coahuila can develop an adequate
   cold pool prior to the nocturnal increase in MLCIN. The 14Z HRRR is
   the most insistent of morning CAMs with its depiction of an MCS
   moving east of the international border. Guidance is fairly
   consistent that negative low-level theta-e advection will shift west
   from the northwest Gulf across Deep South TX tonight, likely
   yielding weakening of convection as it spreads farther east of the
   Rio Grande.

   ...Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians/Upper OH Valley...
   Isolated to scattered thunderstorms should develop along a west to
   southwest-moving cold front, with initial development expected in PA
   based on a swelling cu field already. A pocket of moderate buoyancy
   with MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg will similarly form just ahead of this
   portion of the front. Guidance suggests there may be a belt of
   somewhat greater north-northeasterly mid-level winds in the eastern
   PA vicinity. But the lack of a 12Z ALB observed sounding or VWP data
   high enough to sample this lowers overall confidence. CAM guidance
   does suggest that a couple of southwest-moving cells that initiate
   in this region may contain mid-level updraft rotation which could
   result in a meso-beta corridor of relatively greater hail and wind
   potential. Elsewhere, weaker deep-layer shear and buoyancy will
   serve to limit potential to locally strong gusts from sporadic
   microbursts amid steep low-level lapse rates and a relatively deep
   mixed boundary layer.

   ...Ark-La-Tex to south LA...
   Scattered to widespread thunderstorms are expected later this
   afternoon within a moderately buoyant and weakly sheared
   environment. The strongest storms will be capable of locally strong
   wind gusts.

   ..Grams/Thornton.. 06/03/2023

 

day1otlk_1630.gif

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5 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Well then

IMG_7670.png

Funnel cloud spotted.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
134 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

TXC011-065-375-381-041915-
/O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-230604T1915Z/
Armstrong TX-Randall TX-Carson TX-Potter TX-
134 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN ARMSTRONG...NORTHEASTERN RANDALL...SOUTHWESTERN CARSON
AND SOUTHEASTERN POTTER COUNTIES...

At 133 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 6 miles southwest of Washburn, or 11 miles southeast of
Amarillo, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters reported a funnel cloud.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Amarillo, Lake Tanglewood, Washburn, Palo Duro Canyon and Timbercreek
Canyon.

 

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  • Meteorologist
19 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

And you can add severe thunderstorm warning to the list. You can't catch a break lately.

Canyon has hard it the worst lately… torch was passed from Hereford. Canyon is probably approaching or exceeding a foot of rain the past 30 days (probably most would be in the past 2-3 weeks) with some gnarly flooding. They just got 2 more inches of rain… actually measured by a mesonet site… yesterday. Now they have another flash flood warning.

These thunderstorms have been capable of dumping 2-3+ inches in an hour and they really aren’t moving. Only hope you have is that they’ll rain themselves out quickly.

 

animated.gif

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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  • Meteorologist
9 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Will be interesting to see if we can get a third straight day with funnel clouds. 12z sounding looks as pathetic as the last 2.

pjBzZFb.gif

 

On 6/3/2023 at 8:42 PM, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Pics I got driving east into work from 8:23-8:25

IMG_7666.jpeg

IMG_7668.jpeg


Speaking of funnels... one of of them on June 3 turned out to be a tornado that touched down in Amarillo for 1 minute. If I'm not mistaken, those pics were actually pretty close to where the tornado had briefly touched down, but they were taken about 30 mins after the tornado lifted.

XQGj8ra.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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