Jump to content

May 17-June 3, 2023 | Severe Weather


ElectricStorm

Recommended Posts

^^ Seriously New Mexico and West Texas just decided to steal all supercells for the last week. meanwhile here is SE Illinois we're rainless and it looks to stay that way for a while. To be fair though West Texas was dealing with a pretty nasty drought so i'm sure it's mostly welcome rain (besides last nights flash flooding event) 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist
34 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said:

Seems like you’re getting storms every single day down there Cliche…glad someone is getting in on the action 

 

27 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said:

^^ Seriously New Mexico and West Texas just decided to steal all supercells for the last week. meanwhile here is SE Illinois we're rainless and it looks to stay that way for a while. To be fair though West Texas was dealing with a pretty nasty drought so i'm sure it's mostly welcome rain (besides last nights flash flooding event) 

 

Eastern New Mexico and west-central Texas has been getting smacked with multiple days of right moving supercells. Tucumcari to Lubbock has been the pipeline. It's been comparatively pretty quiet here recently, but yeah, the conditions have consistently been there.

Speaking of Hereford's flood... more rain coming.

image.thumb.png.6a7f24efe0b49588c1e58022c9ab4aa4.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
  • LIKE 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

 

Eastern New Mexico and west-central Texas has been getting smacked with multiple days of right moving supercells. Tucumcari to Lubbock has been the pipeline. It's been comparatively pretty quiet here recently, but yeah, the conditions have consistently been there.

Speaking of Hereford's flood... more rain coming.

image.thumb.png.6a7f24efe0b49588c1e58022c9ab4aa4.png

4 to 5" in a week from Lubbock to approximately Tucumcari

stageiv_qpe_168h_p.us_sc.png

  • LIKE 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist

HRRR sounding in the northern TX Panhandle at 11pm ahead of a semi-discrete cell. I'd say that's some solid 0-3km shear.

In the meantime, I'll be interested to see if any storms can develop on the outflow boundary further south in the TX Panhandle.

rtfTFfw.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Confirmed tornado north of Morse TX.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
525 PM CDT Sun May 28 2023

TXC195-421-282315-
/O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-230528T2315Z/
Hansford TX-Sherman TX-
525 PM CDT Sun May 28 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN HANSFORD AND EAST CENTRAL SHERMAN COUNTIES...

At 524 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 5 miles north of
Morse, or 18 miles southwest of Spearman, moving north at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Gruver and Morse.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

stratford area, storm motion to the west, rather than from the west.

Looks like Nick Stewart had this on the youtube stream about 6 minutes ago.

Quote


Sherman TX-Dallam TX-
752 PM CDT Sun May 28 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN SHERMAN AND EAST CENTRAL DALLAM COUNTIES...
    
At 752 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located located 9 miles
southeast of Stratford, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Live storm chaser video confirmed tornado.

 

Edited by Chinook
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist

Rain has been really hard to come by here. Storms get close but die just when they get into our CWA. I went with a bleak rainfall forecast for our office summer contest. I hope I'm wrong, but if I'm not at least I'll likely get a prize out of it lol. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This sounding is close to the north Amarillo storms. It seems like the parameters were barely 0-6km shear of 30 kt and/or barely 0-3 km SRH over 150 m2/s2 in the Panhandle area which is not really strong.

 

hrrr_2023052900_000_35.87--101.96.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist

It doesn't end

pPTcmIm.gif

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK    
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0214 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2023  
  
VALID 311200Z - 011200Z  
  
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE  
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...  
   
..SUMMARY  
  
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG  
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE  
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS VICINITY.  
   
..CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS  
  
A CLOSED LOW AND ATTENDANT UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT  
BASIN/SOUTHWEST STATES WILL PIVOT EAST/NORTHEAST TOWARD THE  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ENHANCED  
SOUTHWESTERLY MIDLEVEL FLOW TO OVERSPREAD THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH  
PLAINS, WITH STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR FORECAST (0-6 KM SHEAR 35-45  
KT). AT THE SURFACE, SOUTH/SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL  
MAINTAIN UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S F BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS BENEATH A  
PLUME OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES (7.5-8.5 C/KM). VERTICAL SHEAR  
WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL STORMS, AND ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS IN  
COMBINATION WITH FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL SUPPORT LARGE  
HAIL POTENTIAL. STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SOME INDICATION OF A  
DRY LAYER AROUND 700 MB MAY ALSO SUPPORT STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS. AS A  
LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES DURING THE EVENING, UPSCALE GROWTH MAY OCCUR  
AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS EASTWARD INTO WESTERN KS AND THE OK/TX  
PANHANDLES. SOME UNCERTAINTY IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND TIMING OF  
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVERSPREADING THE REGION WILL PRECLUDE HIGHER  
THAN MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OF 5) PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.  
HOWEVER, IF FORECAST TRENDS ARE MAINTAINED, AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT  
RISK (LEVEL 2 OF 5) WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS. 

 

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
  • LIKE 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...