Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 24, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 24, 2023 We're seeing constructive interference as the outflow boundary interacts with the supercell. Constructive interference is going to be brief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 24, 2023 Share Posted May 24, 2023 And now it's barely moving east. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service San Angelo TX 942 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023 TXC253-240300- /O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-230524T0300Z/ Jones TX- 942 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL JONES COUNTY... At 942 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Funston, or near Nugent, moving east at 5 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Jones County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 24, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 24, 2023 Wellington is picking up some crazy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 24, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 24, 2023 (edited) Gonna be interesting to see if the northern part of the area breaks the cap today. Gotta watch those clouds up there. I know for here, it was supposed to be cloudy most of the night but it's clear. But the shortwave is coming from northern New Mexico and the initial development is supposed to go through the northwest Panhandles. Maybe starting to see the clouds/fog break up in the northern TX Panhandle already. It's very early still but I'm going to bed in an hour or two so, again, I won't know how things are looking until it's too late and things are either going or not going to go. Could be a busy evening/night if clearing does occur. Edited May 24, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 24, 2023 Share Posted May 24, 2023 @ElectricStorm Would it be okay to add the "Heavy Rainfall" onto this topic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 24, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 24, 2023 (edited) Nasty MCS consistently being shown on HRRR. Might be consistently wrong though. It really takes off as it approaches the area that's already getting sun, so at least that makes sense. Kinda reminds me of what happened yesterday around here. Heading to bed now but it’s looking interesting at this point imo, at least around here. Edited May 24, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 24, 2023 Author Share Posted May 24, 2023 2 hours ago, Iceresistance said: @ElectricStorm Would it be okay to add the "Heavy Rainfall" onto this topic? Of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 24, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 24, 2023 So I guess we got enough daytime heating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 24, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 24, 2023 Yeah this is gonna be a busy night Mesoscale Discussion 0858 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0543 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023 Areas affected...northeastern New Mexico and western Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 235... Valid 242243Z - 250045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 235 continues. SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW235. Large hail and gusty winds continue to be the main hazards with ongoing storms. DISCUSSION...Storm development has been ongoing across portions of northeastern New Mexico into southern Colorado. Storms are mixed mode with semi-discrete and clustered supercells ongoing. Mode within this region will likely be dictated by boundary interactions and storm mergers, as thunderstorms continue to develop and move toward the Texas border through the evening. The axis of most favorable instability and deep-layer shear remains across the Texas/New Mexico border. Storms may become more organized as they move within this regime, with large hail and gusty winds as the main concern in the near term. CAM guidance consensus suggests a broken line may develop toward the evening, with embedded supercell structures. Around 02-03z, a low-level jet will develop across southwestern Texas into the Texas Panhandle. The increase in surface flow will lead to more curved low-level hodograph shape and increasing potential for a tornado or two, if storm mode can maintain embedded supercell circulations. Should more upscale growth occur, the main threat may shift to damaging winds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 25, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 25, 2023 (edited) 00z AMA sounding... pretty much ready to go. Edited May 25, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 25, 2023 Author Share Posted May 25, 2023 Was hoping for some pop up storms here this afternoon but that didn't happen. Could have another chance tomorrow but the HRRR seems to want to kill it right before it gets here so we'll see. Looks like the bulk of the action will be out west for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 25, 2023 Share Posted May 25, 2023 PDS tornado warning in NM. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 710 PM MDT Wed May 24 2023 NMC009-037-250145- /O.CON.KABQ.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230525T0145Z/ Quay-Curry- 710 PM MDT Wed May 24 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL QUAY AND NORTHEASTERN CURRY COUNTIES... At 709 PM MDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Broadview, or 29 miles north of Clovis, moving southeast at 10 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Quay and northeastern Curry Counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 25, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 25, 2023 (edited) MCS appears to be getting going with some discrete cells elsewhere Edited May 25, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 25, 2023 Author Share Posted May 25, 2023 Too bad that radar right next to the PDS warning is down. Don't see a PDS in NM very often... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 25, 2023 Share Posted May 25, 2023 Still PDS. Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 729 PM MDT Wed May 24 2023 The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Curry County in east central New Mexico... * Until 815 PM MDT. * At 729 PM MDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 9 miles south of Broadview, or 17 miles north of Clovis, moving southeast at 5 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Curry County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 25, 2023 Author Share Posted May 25, 2023 Tor warned storm is also warned for 90mph winds and 2in hail. What a beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted May 25, 2023 Share Posted May 25, 2023 Phew, went back in a couple streams from today and those storms from NM to TX were intense! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 25, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 25, 2023 (edited) Still have some shallow layers of steep lapse rates that weren't destroyed by all that convection last night. Could be some more strong/severe storms after sunset but we'll see. Overall, the TX Panhandle has gotten relatively lucky the past couple days in terms of dodging significant severe weather. Back-to-back days it stayed just barely outside the southwest extreme and in ABQ and LUB's area. Edited May 25, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 25, 2023 Share Posted May 25, 2023 13 hours ago, ElectricStorm said: Was hoping for some pop up storms here this afternoon but that didn't happen. Could have another chance tomorrow but the HRRR seems to want to kill it right before it gets here so we'll see. Looks like the bulk of the action will be out west for a while. The line of the rain stalled and is now weakening west of US-81, a lot of rain for the Western part of Oklahoma though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 25, 2023 Share Posted May 25, 2023 It looks like that the Severe Storm action could get REALLY crazy in early June! And this sequence dies down by the end of this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 25, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 25, 2023 (edited) Fun to watch these storms develop on the Rockies and move out. Ultimately these storms should grow into an MCS and move through the TX Panhandle. Spoiler Edited May 25, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 25, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 25, 2023 Starting to see the storms move southeast and into better instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 25, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 25, 2023 Watch coming. Will be interesting if they include Amarillo in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 26, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 26, 2023 (edited) 3rd straight day of a severe tstorm watch for Amarillo Discrete cells popping in eastern NM Edited May 26, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 26, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 26, 2023 (edited) Definitely have a splitting supercell near Logan, NM but if the right mover stays just outside of the AMA CWA and goes from ABQ to LUB, my mind will be blown. Would be the third straight day this happens (the southwesternmost county of the AMA CWA is the one that Hereford is in... Deaf Smith County) Edited May 26, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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