Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 19, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 19, 2023 (edited) Impressive rain event. 4.5” at a mesonet 19 miles NNW of Amarillo. Widespread 1-2” across the central Texas Panhandle. Almost 1.5" in Amarillo which now puts us above the year-to-date average, but almost all of that came in the past month and a half. Still have a long way to go to erase the drought. Edited May 19, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 .8 from a double Squall line earlier this morning. I am more worried about next week, Supercell signal for several days on the ensembles. Looks like another sequence is going to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted May 19, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 19, 2023 Gonna end up with about 0.50" plus or minus 0.05". Not the 2" I was hoping for, but a slow steady rain that's lasted all day, which is arguably better than 2 inches in a couple of hours. Ground will be able to soak up this rain much more than what we got on Sunday. Currently 52 degrees outside. Feels more like early March or November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 embedded supercell, tornado warning near Fort Smith Arkansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 All I need is a good soaking thunderstorm rain. Doesn't look to be in my favor but perhaps a moderate soak would suffice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 southeast of Midland-Odessa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 20, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 20, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 come on, man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 20, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 20, 2023 (edited) 51 minutes ago, Chinook said: come on, man I’m sure there’ll be some surprise events thrown in the mix next week… primarily somewhere between Tuesday and Friday. Definitely a High Plains pattern. All comes down to timing of individual shortwaves. Edited May 20, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 (edited) .61” overnight. The biggest rain event in like 2 weeks here. Things are drying up here. Complete reversal from a few months ago. Just straight up boring weather. No severe threats. No big temp swings, not even a pop up t storm. shit pattern. Edited May 21, 2023 by NWOhioChaser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 21, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 21, 2023 Some more pics from the Amarillo area the other day Flooding Flooding with lightning More pics 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 21, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 21, 2023 (edited) In a day 2 slight, day 3 marginal, and got storms heading for me now. Edited May 21, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 22, 2023 Share Posted May 22, 2023 Boise is about 40 miles from a severe warned storm now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 22, 2023 Share Posted May 22, 2023 2 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: In a day 2 slight, day 3 marginal, and got storms heading for me now. I think the Panhandle will get some severe storms with kind of high LCLs. Possibly good hodograph/shear up to about 6km above ground. Above that, there will be weaker wind speeds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 22, 2023 Author Share Posted May 22, 2023 Looks like there could be a western trough around next weekend but that east coast low is probably going to severely restrict severe potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 22, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 22, 2023 (edited) 11 hours ago, Chinook said: I think the Panhandle will get some severe storms with kind of high LCLs. Possibly good hodograph/shear up to about 6km above ground. Above that, there will be weaker wind speeds. Despite weak winds aloft, 0-6km shear is looking solidly around 25-35 kts all week thanks to strong to very strong directional shear. But questions about the impacts of previous days storms will linger all week. The question today is where the MCV in SW KS ends up in the afternoon when thunderstorms develop south of it. Latest HRRR has some semi-discrete cells that probably would be supercellular in the northeast TX Panhandle. Could be a few hour window in the late afternoon/early evening where there is a bit of a tornado threat with the nocturnal LLJ kicking in IF a supercell exists. Tomorrow is looking more like a MCS across the TX Panhandle, but not sure about how much we'll destabilize in the south and east. Overall, looks to be a good week to be in the OK/TX Panhandles if you want severe weather. I'm sure the chasers are already here. Might not have left after last week actually. Edited May 22, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 22, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 22, 2023 Last HRRR run before I go to bed and when I wake up the event will be going/starting. Looks like it's trying to create a splitting supercell just south of Amarillo. Sounding an hour prior to the split. Would be interesting, that's for sure. Especially if it turns right and heads into Lubbock's area. 35 kts effective shear but a right mover would only move at around 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 22, 2023 Share Posted May 22, 2023 11 hours ago, ElectricStorm said: Looks like there could be a western trough around next weekend but that east coast low is probably going to severely restrict severe potential. Positive PNA right now, could go negative by the end of this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 22, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 22, 2023 Didn’t see the SE TX Panhandle blowing up like this this morning. Gotta be some nasty flash flooding east of Amarillo. Supercell in the OK Panhandle warned for tennis ball hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 22, 2023 Share Posted May 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Didn’t see the SE TX Panhandle blowing up like this this morning. Gotta be some nasty flash flooding east of Amarillo. Supercell in the OK Panhandle warned for tennis ball hail Pretty damn impressive OFB there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 22, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 22, 2023 32 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Pretty damn impressive OFB there. Yeah it actually feels nice outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 22, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 22, 2023 Nasty cells in extreme SW KS/OK Panhandle are about to merge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 22, 2023 Share Posted May 22, 2023 Amarillo has gotten 3 inches in the past 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 23, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 23, 2023 (edited) Supercell over/near Perryton moving southeast at 10 mph capable of producing 2.5" hail Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Amarillo TX 713 PM CDT Mon May 22 2023 OKC007-139-TXC357-230045- /O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-230523T0045Z/ Beaver OK-Texas OK-Ochiltree TX- 713 PM CDT Mon May 22 2023 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN BEAVER...SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND NORTHWESTERN OCHILTREE COUNTIES... At 713 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles northwest of Perryton, moving southeast at 10 mph. HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor damage to roofs, siding, and trees is possible. People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Locations impacted include... Perryton and Bryans Corner. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3661 10061 3631 10074 3640 10109 3650 10109 3655 10106 3665 10082 TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 311DEG 8KT 3645 10086 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH Edited May 23, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 23, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted May 23, 2023 (edited) Looks like tennis hail is confirmed and it's right over Perryton. Warning is down to golf ball. Edited May 23, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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