April 24-30, 2023 | Severe Storms/Heavy Rainfall

[snowlover2]

Sweetwater area getting hammered!

Quote

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
733 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             2 NE SWEETWATER         32.48N 100.37W
04/25/2023  U2.00 INCH       NOLAN              TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: HEN EGG (2.00 IN.).

0718 PM     HAIL             SWEETWATER              32.46N 100.40W
04/25/2023  U2.25 INCH       NOLAN              TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: HEN EGG+ (2.25 IN.).

0720 PM     HAIL             2 E SWEETWATER          32.47N 100.37W
04/25/2023  U2.75 INCH       NOLAN              TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: BASEBALL (2.75 IN.).

 

[Chinook]

This one has been trying to develop stronger rotation for a couple of hours.

[snowlover2]

Tornado warning NW of Sweetwater TX.

[snowlover2]

0z HRRR looks pretty nasty for the Dallas/Fort Worth area.

[snowlover2]

Tornado warning near Mcadoo TX.

[snowlover2]

90mph wind gust per a Mesonet in Mcadoo and possible 2" hail! No thanks!

Quote

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
956 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2023

TXC125-260345-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0026.000000T0000Z-230426T0345Z/
Dickens TX-
956 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR DICKENS COUNTY...

At 954 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Dickens,
moving southeast at 30 mph. A wind gust to 90 mph was measured at
939 PM by a West Texas Mesonet near McAdoo.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR DICKENS!

A TORNADO WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN DICKENS UNTIL
1015 PM.

HAZARD...90 mph wind gusts and two inch hail.

SOURCE...West Texas Mesonet.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and businesses
         will have substantial roof and window damage. Expect
         extensive tree damage and power outages.

Locations impacted include...
Spur, Dickens, Afton and Mcadoo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3383 10104 3383 10088 3364 10053 3341 10053
      3340 10094 3354 10103
TIME...MOT...LOC 0254Z 318DEG 27KT 3365 10086

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX WIND GUST...90 MPH

 

[snowlover2]

3" hail NNE of Happy Valley TX from a little earlier.

Quote

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
913 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             8 NE HAPPY VALLEY       32.20N 99.99W
04/25/2023  E3.00 INCH       TAYLOR             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

 

[snowlover2]

PDS tornado warning over Dickins TX!

Quote

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1006 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2023

The National Weather Service in Lubbock Texas has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southern Dickens County in northwestern Texas...

* Until 1030 PM CDT.

* At 1005 PM CDT, a potentially significant tornado was located over
  Dickens, moving southeast at 25 mph.

  This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
           may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
           homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
           businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
           destruction is possible.

* Locations impacted include...
  Spur and Dickens.

 

[snowlover2]

Still PDS but only moving 10mph.

Quote

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1017 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2023

TXC125-260330-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230426T0330Z/
Dickens TX-
1017 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
DICKENS COUNTY...

At 1016 PM CDT, a potentially significant tornado was located 2
miles southeast of Dickens, moving southeast at 10 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Spur and Dickens.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle,
move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from
flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see
and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE
COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3360 10093 3368 10081 3351 10054 3340 10058
      3340 10081
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 302DEG 9KT 3359 10081

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN

 

[snowlover2]

No longer PDS warned.

[ClicheVortex2014]

Aside from that long-lived supercell that's still going, had a decent supercell north of Amarillo today. Warned for 1"-1.5" hail for what must've been 2-3 hours. Just got home... stayed 7 hours past my shift to help. Had a few mesonet sites pick up over an inch of rain which was a welcome sight. 

Another round of storms is going to pop off in an hour or so and push through the southern Texas Panhandle. Should ultimately grow into a MCS in southern Oklahoma, possibly even southwestern Oklahoma, and be part of the severe weather in Texas tomorrow.

Edited April 26, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014

[snowlover2]

New day 1 

Quote

 Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1246 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2023

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF CENTRAL TEXAS...

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FLORIDA
   PENINSULA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe storms producing damaging winds, very large hail, and a few
   tornadoes are expected over much of northern Texas Wednesday
   afternoon and evening. Isolated to scattered severe storms producing
   very large hail and damaging winds may also occur in the Florida
   Peninsula.

   ...Synopsis...
   A closed mid-level low, seen on water-vapor imagery this morning
   across southwest Colorado will shift southeast through the day
   today. A 50 knot mid-level jet west of this low will round the base
   of the trough during the morning hours and emerge over the southern
   Plains this afternoon, as the initially positively tilted wave
   becomes more neutrally tilted. 

   A complicated surface pattern will be in place this afternoon. A
   weak surface low seen in surface observations near the TX/NM border
   this morning, will slowly drift east through the day. Most guidance
   shows the surface low bifurcate as the primary surface low moves
   south toward Mexico and a small portion travels east along the warm
   front during the evening. This warm front is expected to be
   somewhere near the Red River this afternoon/evening with a
   sharpening dryline extending south across central Texas. 

   ...Central Texas and Vicinity...
   A forward-propagating MCS is expected to develop in the Texas
   Panhandle early this morning and move east-southeast through the
   morning hours. South of this MCS, significant surface heating is
   expected, with very strong instability (3000+ J/kg MLCAPE)
   developing by mid afternoon. Broad ascent ahead of the approaching
   shortwave trough, combined with this surface heating, should result
   in minimal inhibition by 19-20Z. Thunderstorms are expected to
   develop along the dryline around this time, and should quickly
   evolve into supercells given around 45 to 50 knots of effective
   shear. Weak low-level shear, very strong instability, and persistent
   increasing westerly flow between the LCL and EL will all support
   very large to potentially giant hail, especially during the
   afternoon period. During the afternoon, the tornado threat will
   primarily be focused near the warm front or potentially a remnant
   MCS outflow boundary from the previous night's convection where
   greater low-level vorticity should be present. 

   However, during the evening period, especially 23-02Z, the low-level
   jet will strengthen and hodographs will elongate. The tornado threat
   should increase significantly during this period, with the potential
   for a strong tornado or two. During this same period, significant
   upscale growth is expected with one or more clusters developing and
   likely becoming a forward-propagating MCS into east-central Texas.
   During the transition from intense supercells to forward-propagating
   linear segments, a significant (65+ knot) wind threat may
   materialize. 

   ...Florida...
   An EML off the Mexican Plateau, observed on the 12Z BRO and CRP
   RAOBs has traversed the Gulf of Mexico with the early evidence of
   its arrival at the 00Z TBW RAOB. These steep lapse rates will set
   the stage for a potentially significant severe-weather setup across
   Florida today. The 00Z TBW RAOB shows a 500mb temperature of -11.5C
   which is expected to cool to -15C by 12Z and to -13C at MFL. These
   anomalously cool temperatures aloft will aid in significant
   destabilization with MLCAPE forecast 2500 to 3000 J/kg by late
   morning. This buoyancy, combined with 40 to 50 knots of effective
   shear, will support splitting supercells capable or large to
   potentially very large hail during the afternoon to early evening
   hours.

   ..Bentley/Darrow.. 04/26/2023

 

[Iceresistance]

6 hours ago, snowlover2 said:

New day 1 

 

You may need to upload the wind outlook, they fixed a bug after you uploaded it.

[Iceresistance]

2-3 inches in NW Oklahoma

[ClicheVortex2014]

 

[ElectricStorm]

Hail driven enhanced risk added in FL, don't see that too often 

[ClicheVortex2014]

Serious Ohio vibe here. High around 50, cloudy all day with rain and possible thunder later. Can't believe I'm saying it, but I love it. We need more of this kind of weather because of the drought.

[ClicheVortex2014]

Maybe it's coincidence, but an El Nino pattern may be making its presence known.

Significant hail yesterday in Florida... way out of climo

 

Significant hail expected in Florida today... again, way out of climo.

 

Certainly some relatively strong upper-level winds for them

[Ingyball]

So far the rain has been a bust here. We'll see if we can make up for it over the next 18 hours. 

[ClicheVortex2014]

53 minutes ago, Ingyball said:

So far the rain has been a bust here. We'll see if we can make up for it over the next 18 hours. 

Yeah, rain was looking pretty good last week from Sunday through today, ended up with just today. Doubt we'll even get 0.2". It's brutal. Thankfully the north got some good rain and some swaths of the Texas Panhandle got over an inch with the supercells yesterday.

--

Gonna be interesting. Got a warm front that a supercell should run along today, similar to the situation here yesterday except the severe threat is quite a bit higher today.

[snowlover2]

Quote

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   250 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2023

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Central Texas

   * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 250 PM
     until 1000 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
       inches in diameter likely
     Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
       to 75 mph possible

   SUMMARY...Supercells capable of producing multiple tornadoes, very
   large hail, and damaging/severe winds are expected to develop and
   spread southeastward this afternoon and evening. Some of the
   tornadoes could be strong, and damaging winds will likely become a
   greater concern this evening as thunderstorms grow upscale into a
   bowing cluster.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
   north and south of a line from 20 miles west southwest of Brownwood
   TX to 50 miles north of Huntsville TX. For a complete depiction of
   the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
   WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 168...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
   storm motion vector 28035.

   ...Gleason/Hart

 

[Iceresistance]

Possible Tornado in Tyler, TX again.

[ClicheVortex2014]

Very beneficial rain here. Definitely not a drought buster but this nice, slow moving light to moderate rain certainly helps. 

Umbarger, which is just southwest of Amarillo, got 1.5" of rain yesterday with the storm training that preceded the long-lived monster supercell. Now they're getting even more rain. Won't be surprised if they'll end up with over 2".

 

Edit: they're actually at 2.35" and counting. 

Edited April 26, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014

[Neoncyclone]

Probabilities, could turn into a pretty active day in Texas. Already have two tornado warnings.

[Iceresistance]

Don't forget!