Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 @CentralLA_Wx Storm went right over you, picture of it by chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralLA_Wx Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: @CentralLA_Wx Storm went right over you, picture of it by chance? Storms past me now. Got an intense tstorm here a little while ago with multiple close range lightning strikes. Didn’t notice any hail. Here’s a pic of the sky looking northeast. https://imgur.com/a/Ia0RyAh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, CentralLA_Wx said: Storms past me now. Got an intense tstorm here a little while ago with multiple close range lightning strikes. Didn’t notice any hail. Here’s a pic of the sky looking northeast. https://imgur.com/a/Ia0RyAh Nothing much, at least you are north of the boundary when the storm came though. I also had a lot of very close lightning when I had the storms myself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Now a storm with some weak/moderate rotation heading toward Jackson, with perhaps likely 1.75" hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 Just now, Chinook said: Now a storm with some weak/moderate rotation heading toward Jackson, with perhaps likely 1.75" hail Yeah, MDOT Cameras has a nasty shelf cloud Link to Cameras: MDOTtraffic | Powered by MDOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 The Rolling Fork/Silver City tornado has been given a preliminary EF4 rating with 59 mile path length and 3/4 mile wide. The Black Hawk to Winona is preliminary EF3 with 29 mile path length and 1/2 mile wide. Quote Public Information Statement National Weather Service Jackson MS 307 PM CST Sun Mar 26 2023 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 3/24/2023 TORNADO EVENT... National Weather Service Jackson survey teams are continuing to complete damage assessments for tornadic thunderstorms which moved across the region on the night of Friday, March 24th. A preliminary rating of EF4 has been determined for the tornado that impacted Rolling Fork and Silver City. The approximately 59 mile path of this tornado began around 757 PM over northern Issaquena County then tracked into Sharkey County through Rolling Fork, continued through Humphreys County near Midnight and through Silver City, then crossed into Holmes County passing north of Tchula and through Morgan Brake National Wildlife Refuge before ending west of Acona around 908 PM. The maximum width of the tornado was 3/4 mile. A preliminary rating of EF3 has been determined for the tornado that tracked from near Blackhawk in southern Carroll County beginning around 912 PM into Montgomery County near Winona and ending just north of Kilmichael around 937 PM. This tornado had an approximately 29 mile path and maximum width of 1/2 mile. We are still in the process of collecting information for our survey and organizing the survey results, and we hope to be able to provide additional detail on Monday. However, the survey process may still take several more days, with additional adjustments possible. We would like to express special thanks to the PERiLS Project and NSSL for their ongoing assistance and expertise with this survey process. && EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph NOTE: The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$ BP/DL/CE/LM/CR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: The Rolling Fork/Silver City tornado has been given a preliminary EF4 rating with 59 mile path length and 3/4 mile wide. The Black Hawk to Winona is preliminary EF3 with 29 mile path length and 1/2 mile wide. I just tried to use google maps to draw a distance line with the distance tool . why does that suck now? I can't extend the line. It just adds segments, the line doesn't extend. Here's my try to extend the line beyond 51 miles, to approximately map out the Rolling Fork tornado. I failed. Edited March 26, 2023 by Chinook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 (edited) Wow I guess I wasn't paying very good attention today. I knew things could get pretty ugly today but I did not expect this type of parameter space. Any discrete storms in the green circled area will have the best tornado chance, surface vorticity and 0-3km ML CAPE overlap really well in the circled area (where the blues and the reds overlap). If a supercell finds its way into the bullseye we could see definitely see an intense tornado. Edited March 26, 2023 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 latest tornado warning with the large supercell Quote * Until 545 PM CDT. * At 517 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Cottonport, or near Moreauville, moving northeast at 35 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Quote Mesoscale Discussion 0361 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0511 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023 Areas affected...Central Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 262211Z - 262345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A tornado watch will likely be issued by 2245Z for parts of central AL, as an additional round of severe storms spread eastward from MS this evening. DISCUSSION...An east/west-oriented, outflow-modified moisture gradient extends across parts of central AL (near/just south of Birmingham). While a few strong to severe storms are ongoing south of this boundary (in Severe Thunderstorm Watch 86), an additional round of severe thunderstorms is expected to evolve out of eastern MS and perhaps southern AL in the next few hours. This activity will be aided by a developing/strengthening low-level jet (and related warm advection) over the central Gulf Coast later this evening. The strengthening southerly low-level jet beneath enhanced west-southwesterly flow aloft will favor discrete or semi-discrete supercell development given the weak large-scale ascent. With increasing low-level streamwise vorticity and surface-based inflow for these discrete/semi-discrete supercells, the tornado threat (along with hail and damaging winds) will gradually increase. Therefore, a tornado watch will likely be issued by 2245Z. ..Weinman/Thompson.. 03/26/2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 These are the main storms i'm watching as they mature, they're right in the bullseye of greatest 0-3km MLCAPE and sfc vorticity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: These are the main storms i'm watching as they mature, they're right in the bullseye of greatest 0-3km MLCAPE and sfc vorticity. The one Brad Arnold is on, why is it weakening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Just now, Iceresistance said: The one Brad Arnold is on, why is it weakening? Not sure, crossed the LA/MS border and just died, almost looks like some kind of boundary or outflow sheared it out, you can kind of see it push north out of the storm as it crosses the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 We're about to find out if these cells will be constructive or destructive to the 2 supercells in S MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Tornado warning in SW AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Best looking velocities i've seen since today, sucks that it's basically a radar hole. Just now, snowlover2 said: Tornado warning in SW AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 Just now, snowlover2 said: Tornado warning in SW AL. Brett Adair is on that storm, the same one that nearly struck him with Lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Quote URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 89 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and southern Alabama * Effective this Sunday afternoon and Monday morning from 550 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Initial splitting supercells will persist this evening across southern/central Alabama, with the threat for isolated very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter). Later this evening, supercell clusters will spread eastward from Mississippi into Alabama, when the storm environment will become more favorable for tornadoes (a couple of which could be strong). The threat for damaging winds to 70 mph and very large hail will persist into the early overnight hours. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles west of Selma AL to 15 miles east southeast of Auburn AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 86...WW 87...WW 88... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Thompson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 The Supercell that collapsed over the river is trying to go again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Storm near Soso MS is starting to look better on velocity. Things are starting to ramp up all around, safe to say the LLJ is starting to kick in now that the sun is setting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: Storm near Soso MS is starting to look better on velocity. Things are starting to ramp up all around, safe to say the LLJ is starting to kick in now that the sun is setting. One near Meridian, MS is also looking better. I've just noticed the one near Prentiss with a couplet as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 There's an outflow boundary (green line) pushing south from that big line of storms to the north that could limit tornado potential on these cells in S MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 27, 2023 Share Posted March 27, 2023 Tornado warning SW of Camden AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 27, 2023 Share Posted March 27, 2023 Oh man the storm north of Meridian, MS looks nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 27, 2023 Share Posted March 27, 2023 Maybe there will be more tornado warnings in an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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