Meteorologist Ingyball Posted March 25, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 25, 2023 15 minutes ago, ElectricStorm said: Seems like it brushed the town based on the damage I've seen so it may not earn a rating that high because so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 25, 2023 Author Share Posted March 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ingyball said: Seems like it brushed the town based on the damage I've seen so it may not earn a rating that high because so. Had it struck Amory directly, the outcome would be much more different and for the worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 25, 2023 Author Share Posted March 25, 2023 There was a Wedge Tornado in NW Alabama! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 (edited) Looks like tomorrow is turning into a dangerous wind event. Was a marginal on the Day 3 but up to enhanced now. EDIT: Looks like the enhanced is actually for hail Edited March 25, 2023 by ElectricStorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 Straight line winds of 70mph with severe storms here with 2 inches of rain this week wrecked havoc around the area today. Minors compared to the people of Mississippi god bless them but thought I’d share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 25, 2023 Author Share Posted March 25, 2023 More footage from Amory, MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 Tomorrow looks like a little potential sleeper setup for IL/IN. SPC has a marginal risk only for wind. However, there is enough shear and low level CAPE that I would not be surprised to see an isolated tornado threat manifest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 29 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Tomorrow looks like a little potential sleeper setup for IL/IN. SPC has a marginal risk only for wind. However, there is enough shear and low level CAPE that I would not be surprised to see an isolated tornado threat manifest. Really? Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 1 hour ago, StormfanaticInd said: Really? Interesting No guarantees, but yes I think it's possible. Thermodynamically, we've had some setups not too different from this one that produced earlier in the winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Mainiac Posted March 26, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 26, 2023 10 hours ago, ElectricStorm said: I was wondering what they got for peak velocity, officially. I was seeing it in that range and then it would peak at 140.9 mph in Radarscope which was possibly out of bounds? in the scale at tilt 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 The SPC has an enhanced risk for tomorrow. The surface based CAPE will be 2000 J/kg near/after sunset. The 0-6km shear will be 50kt-60kt near the front. Several rounds of thunderstorms will fire up over a long time period, a lot of the daytime and nighttime at the stationary front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 In this MRMS rotation track, I'm not sure what happened with the system. There are many of gaps in the data on the west side, but there shouldn't be. I think maybe those light blue colors may bit a bit off too. This shows the track of the rotation of the main supercell all the way across Mississippi and also northern cells. The northern cells ended up producing tornadoes in Alabama late at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 10 hatched tornado area added on the new Day 1. Looks like this could be another dangerous day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted March 26, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 26, 2023 Here are the highest winds I could find for some of the WFO's near/surrounding OH. CLE: Oregon, OH 74 BUF: Tonawanda, NY 73 IWX (N. Indiana): Van Wert OH 68 PBZ (Pitts): Venango County PA 61 ILN (Willmington, OH): Columbus & Lancaster 60 CTP (State College): Somerset PA 54 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted March 26, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 26, 2023 Datkit hasn't updated yet but they're going Prelim EF-4 right now, which isn't surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 26 minutes ago, Ingyball said: Datkit hasn't updated yet but they're going Prelim EF-4 right now, which isn't surprising. Yeah, and the one in Winona is currently an EF-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted March 26, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 26, 2023 Don't sleep on today, the supercell potential looks higher across a larger area. Already had a bad one in Georgia this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 22 minutes ago, Ingyball said: Don't sleep on today, the supercell potential looks higher across a larger area. Already had a bad one in Georgia this morning. Yeah, the one near LaGrange had a PDS Tornado Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 26, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 26, 2023 (edited) Not sure about the last time I've seen a moderate risk for tornadoes with a setup like this. Very odd. Usually is good for some generally non-tornadic supercells like yesterday. Usually hard to get enough low-level shear. Edited March 26, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 19 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: Really? Interesting Small 2% tornado area in IL on the new outlook. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 Wow I wasn't expecting a 15 hatched moderate today but here we are. Hopefully everyone stays safe down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted March 26, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 26, 2023 33 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Not sure about the last time I've seen a moderate risk for tornadoes with a setup like this. Very odd. Usually is good for some generally non-tornadic supercells like yesterday. Usually hard to get enough low-level shear. The HRRR has backed winds at the surface out ahead of the storms. If that plays out we could see a locally enhanced tornado threat as the storms progress eastward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 26, 2023 Author Share Posted March 26, 2023 I have never seen a 45% Hatched Hail Risk for Louisiana and Mississippi. Also, yikes for back-to-back Moderate Risks, and it's only March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: I have never seen a 45% Hatched Hail Risk for Louisiana and Mississippi. Also, yikes for back-to-back Moderate Risks, and it's only March. We have been having bigger tornado events in this winter ever since November 29th. The idea of pattern-persistence would say that Spring should have some more tornadoes than usual. I did a post on another forum where I counted the tornadoes of winter: 295 tornadoes in 96 days, from Nov. 29 to Mar. 4. The average is 3.0 tornadoes per day, which I think is about triple the average. (I looked at confirmed tornadoes as listed by Wikipedia, as that's a fairly easy way to see the bulk of the information. Funny enough, there's not one SPC web page that has a complete list of all confirmed tornadoes. The SPC has lots of relevant data, including severe weather plots by month.) Edited March 26, 2023 by Chinook 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralLA_Wx Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 19 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: I have never seen a 45% Hatched Hail Risk for Louisiana and Mississippi. Also, yikes for back-to-back Moderate Risks, and it's only March. I don’t recall one either here before. Tornado watch just issued. Awaiting the details on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now