Poco Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Poco said: 12z nam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 11, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 11, 2023 Can't decide if the NAM is weaker or slower at H5. Closer to the surface, the 850mb circulation does look to be close to the coast still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 (edited) It is 5 minutes ago, MaineJay said: Can't decide if the NAM is weaker or slower at H5. Closer to the surface, the 850mb circulation does look to be close to the coast still Nam does seem to be on the inner and southern edge of the short range envelope, but I do rather prefer the way it handles h5, it looks as how storms of this ilk in the past tend to go. Surprises will also be had in localized areas Edited March 11, 2023 by Poco 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 11, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 11, 2023 RGEM puts the heaviest QPF rest of the NAM. Both are moisture laden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 NBM Trend- 1z might have some snow from last night in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 11, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 11, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 (edited) Getting tugged west Edited March 11, 2023 by NEPAsnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 8 run trend gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 (edited) Here’s the 8 run delta for 12z gfs at h5 Edited March 11, 2023 by Poco 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CryptoWeather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Euro and GFS giving the coast some love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted March 11, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 11, 2023 Well the GFS is a solid hit for SNE and even into NYC. Bombing storm will switch that rain to snow just a matter of how quick for areas near the coast. Placement of low is also important. Man this has gotta take the cake though with how this year has been. May see a few flakes best of luck to those up north should be a fun storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 Ratios looking lower on this one, as mentioned by the NWS earlier. Heavy wet snow for the tristate and Southern New England. About 60% more snow on the 10:1 than Kuchera at Oxford. Bridgeport with a third of the 10:1 snow for the Kuchera snow. NEPA and Southern Tier don't seem to be as different. This is just at 84hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 (edited) GFS ensemble trend. Note it's 10:1 and a push south the last two. There's probably snow from last night in the earlier runs too which may be inflating north of 84. Edited March 11, 2023 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 Ukie gusts map looks "tropical" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Curious to see what the euro does since the gfs and gefs shifted west bigtime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 EFI for snow EFI for wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 BTV released their snowfall map. It is more of a nuisance snowfall in the northern valley locations but it looks like the southern half of VT and the Adirondacks will get some heavy snow. Quote 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 11, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 11, 2023 I hope you all get pummeled! ☃️ 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted March 11, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, TheRex said: BTV released their snowfall map. It is more of a nuisance snowfall in the northern valley locations but it looks like the southern half of VT and the Adirondacks will get some heavy snow. Wow some spots looking at 3 feet assuming those are some of the highest peak spots in the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 12z Euro looking weird so far with dual lows. Middle of them would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 20 minutes ago, TheRex said: BTV released their snowfall map. It is more of a nuisance snowfall in the northern valley locations but it looks like the southern half of VT and the Adirondacks will get some heavy snow. The locals at the gas station in Ludlow were all complaining about the upcoming snow. Wider view of forecast - this is just to 8am though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 UKie nearly going all 1888 on parts of the northeast.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CryptoWeather Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Pretty much the same people who have been getting snow all year, are getting snow haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 11, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, CryptoWeather said: Pretty much the same people who have been getting snow all year, are getting snow haha you could say that...but snows here this year (just like last year) typically have come and gone in maybe 2-3 days. It's actually sticking around currently...as this will be my third snow event in a row...would probably need to go back to '20-'21 winter the last time that happened here. But yeah, southern, and especially coastal mid-atlantic, have been getting screwed over by the extremely warm ocean temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 The ever-so-fun task of looking at the ensembles, just to see that the operational GFS has more snow than any ensemble member for Boston. I don't know how much this really means at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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