Moderators telejunkie Posted March 8, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 8, 2023 58 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: Of course it will snow when I am on vacation in Myrtle beach. Of course they are going to be 10-15 degrees less than normal on temps too. Hasn't it been Myrtle Beach weather most of the winter by you? Well, even if air temps are below average, the sea temps down there are way above average....so you just need to stay in the water. Would be interesting to play that UKie run out past hr144 with another vort dropping in on the backside... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 12z euro... Nice track, garbage precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted March 8, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted March 8, 2023 The European seems to have a great track.. and it's not even moving that quickly.. but it just doesn't produce that much. I guess precipitation amounts and field are the last to be decided. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted March 8, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, JDClapper said: 12z euro... Nice track, garbage precip. Great minds think alike! lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 12 minutes ago, JDClapper said: 12z euro... Nice track, garbage precip. Well it eventually gets better for extreme NEPA into SNE. Sit and spin .. crazy run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 8, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 8, 2023 Oh my... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 4 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Oh my... Its a stretch dream come true! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 8, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 8, 2023 11 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Oh my... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted March 8, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted March 8, 2023 I'm quite interested in what some of the individual EPS members may show.. anyone with that data, would love to see it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 8, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 8, 2023 32 minutes ago, JDClapper said: 12z euro... Nice track, garbage precip. Believe we need that lead vort to be a little stronger...like on the Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CryptoWeather Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 (edited) 11 minutes ago, Penn State said: I'm quite interested in what some of the individual EPS members may show.. anyone with that data, would love to see it! Look at the high to the west. Picture perfect setup. Edited March 8, 2023 by CryptoWeather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, telejunkie said: Hasn't it been Myrtle Beach weather most of the winter by you? Well, even if air temps are below average, the sea temps down there are way above average....so you just need to stay in the water. Would be interesting to play that UKie run out past hr144 with another vort dropping in on the backside... Looper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 8, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, MaineJay said: Looper. Thanks....thought there might be capture by it...nice. Definitely a fun one to track... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 8, 2023 GYX Quote LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... ...After a mild period with Portland receiving its third warmest winter on Record, wintry conditions may return early next week... High pressure finally crests over the region on Friday allowing for the northwesterly winds to relax. It will feel mild despite temperatures topping out near normal temperatures for this time of the year in many areas under partly to mostly sunny conditions. The trend for the next area of low pressure entering the Eastern United States has been for the system to pass south of our region. as it moves off the coastline, it will develop into a mature system, while it passes off the coast. Any precipitation should be confined to southern New England and points south, however a stray flurry or two is possible over southernmost New Hampshire where there will be considerable cloudiness. It will be chilly on Saturday under raw northeasterly winds with a slight warm up back to normal temperatures for this time of the year on Sunday. All eyes then shift towards an upper level low deepening as it enter the Northeast early next week. Most models and ensemble solutions suggest this feature also becomes negatively tilted with time allowing for a deepening and slow moving storm to form off the Mid Atlantic coastline. This is still 6 to 7 days into next week and the track details and formation and evolution of several pulses of energy potentially diving into the system remains highly uncertain. The operational Euro and its ensemble members have been very consistent bringing this system in a retrograding fashion to the southern New England coastline by Tuesday. The Canadian and others have been somewhat in line as well with the GFS continuing to keep the system further off the coast. In any case, will follow suit with our neighbors and introduce likely pops in the extended portion of the forecast. This slow moving storm has the potential to produce snow and windy conditions into midweek next week with drying finally arriving by late in the week. Note with the seasonal effect of mid March conditions, some rain may mix in along the coast for portions of the potential event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 day GEFS trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 hours ago, telejunkie said: Hasn't it been Myrtle Beach weather most of the winter by you? Well, even if air temps are below average, the sea temps down there are way above average....so you just need to stay in the water. Would be interesting to play that UKie run out past hr144 with another vort dropping in on the backside... Pretty warm down here. We have had a trace of snow a usually f average 13 ” for season. ‘well at this point I want to see an usually cool summer. Let’s see what happens. It is the wonderful world of weather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: I want to see an usually cool summer. I’d go for a summer that never came, 0 days above 90. Best looking trends all year, still want to see what happens after the storm this weekend and what the models continue to say. Edited March 8, 2023 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted March 8, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted March 8, 2023 18z GFS was a dud.. outside of New England, and maybe parts of Virginia. I feel like I’ve seen this matchup before.. GFS vs Euro/GDPS.. and the GFS has been winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Looking at 24 hr accum precip, GEPS was the most generous in terms of regional coverage. GEFS least, EPS middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted March 8, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted March 8, 2023 For full disclosure.. I saw this on Twitter. But.. that would be something. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 8, 2023 GFS finally lost the lobe over James Bay this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted March 8, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted March 8, 2023 Just now, MaineJay said: GFS finally lost the lobe over James Bay this run. Now.. Is that a good or bad thing? Assuming bad lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 8, 2023 JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Penn State said: Now.. Is that a good or bad thing? Assuming bad lol It's good. The GFS has moved the storm a scant 1,500 miles over the last 36 hours. It's killing it ... Edit okay, I exaggerate, more like 1,000. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 8, 2023 That vort lobe had been responsible for keeping the storm suppressed and disorganized on the GFS. No other model had it like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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