Moderators telejunkie Posted March 13, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 13, 2023 snow intensity starting to pick up here...mtn across the street is getting blurred out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 13, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, Poco said: I prolly just broadly defined conv feedback so yea he’s prolly right. I’m not a Met so most of the time I just post based on what I’ve encountered over my 15 years following these storms. True meteorologists will always trump any knowledge I have. The advantage we have in here is that we can take stabs that other measured industry folks can’t. We don’t suffer much backlash for being wrong on an Internet forum It's what makes this place fun. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 13, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 13, 2023 Already seeing a CAD signal back into NNJ. Not sure why with an intensifying low to the south that would be wiped out, but the RAP does wipe it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 (edited) Edited March 13, 2023 by NEPAsnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: Are you saying that the radar isn't matching accumulation (which it doesn't), or are you saying that snow has fallen before the 12z initialization that is captured in prior runs, but not the 12z. The latter is true. Example: This is what has fallen prior to 12z on the 0z run Right if you were to show snowfall trends and go back 5 or 6 runs the latest runs that already had digital snow fall. The latter. Not that there’s anything wrong with posting trend maps but snowfall trend maps just need to watch the amount that’s “already fallen” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 13, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 13, 2023 If you look real hard you can find the center. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 13, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, MaineJay said: If you look real hard you can find the center. I feel like I should be watching recon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted March 13, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 13, 2023 3 hours ago, MaineJay said: So folks can pick up what I'm laying down, that's 3mb deeper than the meso analysis shows. Models still don't have a clue 11 minutes ago, StretchCT said: It's what makes this place fun. And valuable IMHO Just now, MaineJay said: If you look real hard you can find the center. Man that is some sheer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 13, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, NEPAsnow said: trying to post a gif and it didn't work I'll clean it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Remember when the 2016 blizzard had confluence…….yea, I remember that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris2333 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 19 minutes ago, Poco said: I love lamp https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/24786837-80ab-4810-8e2d-8555c810235f 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: I feel like I should be watching recon Isn’t there an Atlantic flight today? POTD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 13, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, Poco said: Isn’t there an Atlantic flight today? POTD As high as possible😆😎 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Just now, StretchCT said: As high as possible😆😎 Hold my beer 🍺 ✈️ 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 13, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said: Remember when the 2016 blizzard had confluence…….yea, I remember that I thought I recognized you. Not sure how old you gotta be to get the reference... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, MaineJay said: If you look real hard you can find the center. The first tropical storm name of the 2023 season will be Arlene. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted March 13, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, MaineJay said: I thought I recognized you. Not sure how old you gotta be to get the reference... Old... 2 minutes ago, TheRex said: The first tropical storm name of the 2023 season will be Arlene. A tropical blizzard... Imagine... Hurricane and blizzard warnings simultaneously 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, MaineJay said: I thought I recognized you. Not sure how old you gotta be to get the reference... That was my formidible teen years... so, 40s. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 (edited) Honestly I’ve seen storms like this capture just below LI instead of running the surface lp up the coast does that happen here? No clue but if it does it’s a whole different ball game. This could honestly be why mt Holly seems to be going with history over modeling Edited March 13, 2023 by Poco 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 13, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 13, 2023 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Poco said: Honestly I’ve seen storms like this capture just below ling is Jane instead of running the surface lp up the coast does that happen here? No clue but if it does it’s a whole different ball game. This could honestly be why mt Holly seems to be going with history over modeling Any thoughts on being on the NW side of this ULL? Doesn't that area typically overproduce? This is a really good track for an ULL for most of us. Especially as it deepens. Edited March 13, 2023 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 On 3/12/2023 at 6:40 AM, MaineJay said: Snow being reported in SW VA. @1816 anything in your neighborhood? Sorry been busy and off of here a lot lately. We got a dusting. Possibly a skiff. It was light snow to moderate at times but 33 degrees and warm ground means it was mostly just nice to watch falling. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, Poco said: Honestly I’ve seen storms like this capture just below LI instead of running the surface lp up the coast does that happen here? No clue but if it does it’s a whole different ball game. This could honestly be why mt Holly seems to be going with history over modeling ULL are tRicky too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 (edited) 5 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Any thoughts on being on the NW side of this ULL? Doesn't that area typically overproduce? I remember setups like this producing dbl lows too and just one huge mega band that stretched from eastern PA all the way up into New England (forget the exact storm ) miller Bs always my favorite as I can remember storms that we were forecasted for 2-4 and ended with 24 (Feb 10, 2010) heck I wouldn’t be surprised if clapper somehow got 3-6” but given how this winter has gone I know it’s Lmost impossible to believe a storm can over perform in a year like we’ve had. But we do have the most anomalous MJO phase 8 propagations in history and when one driver is anomalous it means other stuff could be trigger other anomalous stuff to occur Edited March 13, 2023 by Poco 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, Poco said: heck I wouldn’t be surprised if clapper somehow got 3-6" Go on.... 😅 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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