Cary67 Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: Hi. I'm new here. This looks like a nice board. This should be a pretty decent snowmaker for somebody. Question of course is where. Right now I think the closer you are to I-80 or north, the better. Not that it can't trend more favorably for areas farther south, but that seems like the lower probability proposition at this point. Won't post a comparison for every single model, but looking at the 12z runs, one thing that stands out is just how amplified the GFS is (and also the GDPS to a degree) compared to the ECMWF. Deeper trough in the western Plains with more ridging out ahead, which leads to a storm that cuts pretty far northwest on the GFS vs the more southern Euro track. Whatever ends up happening with this, it looks pretty active going forward and not particularly warm on a consistent basis. Those hoping for a sustained early spring might have to wait. Good to see you posting here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 4 hours ago, Hoosier said: Hi. I'm new here. This looks like a nice board. This should be a pretty decent snowmaker for somebody. Question of course is where. Right now I think the closer you are to I-80 or north, the better. Not that it can't trend more favorably for areas farther south, but that seems like the lower probability proposition at this point. Won't post a comparison for every single model, but looking at the 12z runs, one thing that stands out is just how amplified the GFS is (and also the GDPS to a degree) compared to the ECMWF. Deeper trough in the western Plains with more ridging out ahead, which leads to a storm that cuts pretty far northwest on the GFS vs the more southern Euro track. Whatever ends up happening with this, it looks pretty active going forward and not particularly warm on a consistent basis. Those hoping for a sustained early spring might have to wait. Welcome, seen you over at Americanwx. Its nice to go back and forth for the knowledge. Especially in the NE with all the mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 6, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 6, 2023 5 hours ago, Hoosier said: Hi. I'm new here. This looks like a nice board. This should be a pretty decent snowmaker for somebody. Question of course is where. Right now I think the closer you are to I-80 or north, the better. Not that it can't trend more favorably for areas farther south, but that seems like the lower probability proposition at this point. Won't post a comparison for every single model, but looking at the 12z runs, one thing that stands out is just how amplified the GFS is (and also the GDPS to a degree) compared to the ECMWF. Deeper trough in the western Plains with more ridging out ahead, which leads to a storm that cuts pretty far northwest on the GFS vs the more southern Euro track. Whatever ends up happening with this, it looks pretty active going forward and not particularly warm on a consistent basis. Those hoping for a sustained early spring might have to wait. Welcome! Beautiful first post. 🙌🏻 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Wow, quite the warm welcome. Thanks everybody! 5 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 6, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) On 3/4/2023 at 1:18 AM, ClicheVortex2014 said: At least we're consistently getting screwed out of rain. No getting hopes up. Edited March 6, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Edited March 6, 2023 by Pghsnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 13 hours ago, Hiramite said: NOWData is a good spot. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=iln February recap: Col, Cinci and ILN all a Trace, Day 0.1". 😩 12 hours ago, FortySixAnd32 said: First time of no recordable snow in Columbus in the month of February since they started tracking!!! Thanks for that @Hiramite we got a trace here @FortySixAnd32 Messjng around on that site I found this as well. The least snowiest February on record. I thought I hadn’t seen any snow for the month of February. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 A new thread probably needs created for the Miller B type storm still clinging to life after this one. Just in case there are a few who are still in the path of this one in the lakes/MW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Chicago/Detroit still in the mix, especially if we get our typical weaker SE shift Edited March 6, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 I don't know if it means anything for the upcoming systems, but today's weak system passing thru OH trended south about 50-100 miles during the last 36-48 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 not a bad look on the ECM i80 north again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 and as @Pghsnow posted.....the lonely UK LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 FWIW, latest model verification numbers. For those who don't know, the closer the line/data point to 1.0, the more accurate the model has been. The big 4 (gfs, cmc, ukm, ecm) are listed plus 3 (cfsr, imd, fno) we don't see used on this forum. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 6, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: and as @Pghsnow posted.....the lonely UK LOL Go Drunk Uncle! lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 6, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 6, 2023 2 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: A new thread probably needs created for the Miller B type storm still clinging to life after this one. Just in case there are a few who are still in the path of this one in the lakes/MW I'll make a thread after the midday runs if it's still there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: and as @Pghsnow posted.....the lonely UK LOL Inching ever closer to Indy!! Lol, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) GFS coming SE....Chicago/SEMI back in it Edited March 6, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Michigan getting its years worth of snow the last 3 weeks of winter 😄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Edited March 6, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) man the one after this looks to hit the exact same areas too on the CMC Edited March 6, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 6, 2023 Admin Share Posted March 6, 2023 It’s the unicorn backside snow! 🦄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 19 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: GFS coming SE....Chicago/SEMI back in it Speaking of Chicago, they've only had 10 winters that had sub-20" snowfall. Need 2.1" to get there. But even if it doesn't happen with this storm, the pattern looks favorable/cold enough to surpass 20" at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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