Moderators Hiramite Posted March 5, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 5, 2023 We have a winner in the March 3-4th guess the snowfall contest......TheRex.....barely edging out snowbo!!!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 5, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted March 5, 2023 GFS is a bit unstable. Trend, if you can call it that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 5, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted March 5, 2023 Ukie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 5, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted March 5, 2023 850 temps on the Ukie. Looks like this would be an impressive TROWAL. At least there's a shot at some actual cold being in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 5, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted March 5, 2023 GEFS trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 The always 1 suite behind WPC update from a couple hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 5, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted March 5, 2023 EPS says go big, or go home up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 5, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 5, 2023 Well I've got this going for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 5, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 5, 2023 (edited) There's barely any members for the cutter anymore. And one member at least at 963 off shore right in the sweet spot. Edited March 5, 2023 by StretchCT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 5, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 5, 2023 (edited) The transfer south of OBX is key as it allows more time for a coastal to come up. It also hits a wall as it comes up which for this run is good for me. Depending on where that wall goes is key too. Edited March 5, 2023 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 5, 2023 Share Posted March 5, 2023 24 hr accum precip.. always neat to see where the bulk of the precip may be headed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Still a lot of moving parts, but seemingly instead of one big bowling bowl coming across the country, models have now split it into two smaller troughs...a lot less dynamics, but much more likely of them making it to the coast instead of cutting. Edited March 6, 2023 by telejunkie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Not this timeframe...but 12z CMC was very close to a 💣 at the end of its run.... I mean SLP did drop from 994mb to 959mb, 35 mb drop in 18 hours...so there was that. Edited March 6, 2023 by telejunkie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 Ensemble still on track 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) 12z euro run.😞 for this storm. 14th looks good. Edited March 6, 2023 by StretchCT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rush Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, StretchCT said: 12z euro run.😞 for this storm. 14th looks good. Biggest snowstorm of the year for me. I'll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 Canadian High and coastal low both south for the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 6, 2023 Moderators Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Looks like GFS is the northern and stronger outlier. Euro not sending much energy for this timeframe, keep it more out west....been making it weaker and weaker. See if the trend continues or if it heads back towards the GFS. Edited March 6, 2023 by telejunkie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 Lots of moving parts with this one. Not sure what to expect. Hoping for the best, but more than likely expecting the worst 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted March 7, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 7, 2023 So this one looks as though it may follow a very similar style as the 6th-7th storm. Get tossed into the block still present maybe just a little further south with this one though. Will have to wait and see but interesting to watch the lobe of energy hold through flow. A couple days ago the models were highlighting a classic with ridging into Eastern Canada solid 50/50 look now the east Canada ridging is rather muted and a little piece of energy is now present rotating around the 50/50 trough. Here is the CMC, GFS, and Euro for the similar time frame. Overall the ridge out west is just not cooperating. The GFS is just all over the place with the shortwave. It is a little further north because of the timing of the that little piece of energy seen north of Maine on the CMC comes in earlier allowing heights to rise more. The Euro holding steadyish. It also sees the energy going through earlier like the GFS but not as early so maybe a middle ground between the 3. Ridge again not so great. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted March 7, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 7, 2023 Overall my takeaway is it has a similar approach as the system coming through the mid atlantic today (Pennsylvania really). It has the chance to quickly wrap up which would benefit those in SNE so from about central NJ on NE would benefit from maybe having ourselves a decent storm. There will also be a sharp cutoff as the blocking is still in place and areas maybe NE of Boston or Portland, Maine may miss out. Just depends on when that piece of energy moves through the NW Atlantic. The Euro has the most pronounced piece of energy moving further west and a little slower compared to the GFS and CMC at around hr 84-90 on the models. The little piece that gets up to the southern Hudson Bay on the models at hr 120 (GFS) or 126 (CMC/Euro) that plays a role as well. CMC brings it down with the system and really drops the pressure but it is just a little too offshore for most. Euro is rather weak and south but moves the energy just into the 50/50 trough (probably not so likely but still ok since it stil shows the block). The GFS nopes it and moves it into northern Hudson Bay and the western Greenland probably not as likely as the block is still there. These can all be seen on the 500mb vorticity charts for the 12z Euro/ CMC and 18z GFS. Lets see what happens in the next 24-48 hours. Should be locking in rather soon into the development process as for placement of surface low features we will have to wait on some consistency with the models in the upper levels. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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