ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Really hard to tell with this being so close to the radar site. Possibly a small CC drop in the vicinity of the radar. Crossing between to/from winds on radar so not getting good look at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Outside of the embedded tornado, new thunderstorm warning issued out ahead of the line for 70mph gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 I think the TDS was there from 12:11 to 12:14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) New tornado watch also issued for KY, extreme Southern IN. SPC remains pretty bullish on tornado probabilities. Sorry for the crappy picture, on my phone at the moment. Edited March 3, 2023 by ak9971 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Impressive winds on that line considering it’s proximity to the radar site. Seems like some small pockets of embedded rotation come and go as it progresses NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) Tornado warning west of Bowling Green KY now. Storm is moving at 85mph! People certainly need to be paying attention today and I assume warnings will be issued well in advance as we saw in Dallas last night. Edited March 3, 2023 by ak9971 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Current radar with Tornado watches: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceciliaky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) things are really popping in west central Kentucky. escalated quickly. Edited March 3, 2023 by ceciliaky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) Really strong wording on MCD just issued by SPC for Western Kentucky as the convection clears out and there is breaking in the clouds ahead of the front. Really crazy shear values present at the moment. Also, 977mb observed at Paducah. Bonkers. Quote Mesoscale Discussion 0245 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Areas affected...western Kentucky...far southern Indiana Concerning...Tornado Watch 60... Valid 031744Z - 031945Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 60 continues. SUMMARY...A corridor of tornadoes and significant wind damage is likely over the next several hours. DISCUSSION...An arcing line of storms is strengthening near a deep surface low, with 977 mb measured at the PAH observation at 17Z. Drying aloft is aiding clearing and surface heating now ahead of this line, which will further increase low-level instability. Shear profiles are extreme with 0-1 SRH over 500 m2/s2. Both tornadoes and swaths of hurricane-force winds are expected with this line as it rapidly moves east coincident with the low. Enhanced lift where this line of storms intersects the warm front may be a favored area for a strong tornado as well. ..Jewell/Grams.. 03/03/2023 Edited March 3, 2023 by ak9971 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, ak9971 said: Really strong wording on MCD just issued by SPC for Western Kentucky as the convection clears out and there is breaking in the clouds ahead of the front. Really crazy shear values present at the moment. This is what I was worried about, hopefully nothing bad happens over the next couple of hours but with shear like this and SRH values in the 500-800 m2/s2 range it can get pretty crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 28 minutes ago, RobB said: Current radar with Tornado watches: With that radar it doesn’t look like we’ll see much clearing here. We’ll see though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Snow____ said: With that radar it doesn’t look like we’ll see much clearing here. We’ll see though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 I see they’ve extended the High Wind Warning north as well. Point and click now saying gusts to 55 for tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, RobB said: That little pocket around Louisville.. guessing with parameters where they are going to be you don’t need the sunshine on a day like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michelle Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 I was hoping all this rain would help stabilize us in SW Ohio....looks like I might be wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Both of these supercells in Central TN are kind of broken off from the line, I'd be watching them closely, won't take much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceciliaky Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, Snow____ said: That little pocket around Louisville.. guessing with parameters where they are going to be you don’t need the sunshine on a day like today. that's what I can't rationalize ... it's been raining here for some time, but I'm in the center of the circle in the mesoscale discussion. the temp is still in the mid-60's. I assume we'll be in the break soon and then the line in west KY is the problem. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Snow____ said: That little pocket around Louisville.. guessing with parameters where they are going to be you don’t need the sunshine on a day like today. I had similar thoughts but given the shear levels the SPC seems to think that area will still ramp up quickly. There's a solid 2ish hours between lines so seems like enough time to destabilize things. Not sure that will be the case up closer to SW Ohio but not really sure at the moment. We are on the very fringe of some of the parameters at least on the HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just now, ak9971 said: I had similar thoughts but given the shear levels the SPC seems to think that area will still ramp up quickly. There's a solid 2ish hours between lines so seems like enough time to destabilize things. Not sure that will be the case up closer to SW Ohio but not really sure at the moment. We are on the very fringe of some of the parameters at least on the HRRR. Still in the 40’s here. It has warmed up a little though. But yeah it’s been raining since I woke up at 9am. That usually means no severe weather lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Destructive tagged warning issued way ahead of the second line west of Bowling Green Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Northern part of the line in KY/IN starting to get some separation of cells and now 2 tornado warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Impressive wind gusts that went through with this line.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, ak9971 said: Northern part of the line in KY/IN starting to get some separation of cells and now 2 tornado warnings. They just extended the warnings upstream of those storms pretty far in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Just west of Chattanooga is now under a tornado warning for some embedded rotation. Somewhat hard to see on velocities but pretty apparent notch on reflectivity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: They just extended the warnings upstream of those storms pretty far in advance. One thing is for certain these storms are definitely moving quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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