ElectricStorm Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Wow a huge part of DFW is now under a destructive warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Texarkana cell is confirmed now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 PDS warned north of Broken Bow. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Shreveport LA 623 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 OKC089-030030- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-230303T0030Z/ McCurtain OK- 623 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CST FOR NORTHERN MCCURTAIN COUNTY... At 622 PM CST, a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 14 miles north of Broken Bow, or 30 miles northwest of De Queen, moving northeast at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Wright City, Glover, Hochatown, Bethel, Battiest, Mount Herman and Sherwood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 SW OK storm just went PDS warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 minute ago, snowlover2 said: PDS warned north of Broken Bow. PDS radar indicated, radar hole strikes again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Tornado Warning for Dallas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Round #3, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 3, 2023 A couple possible tornadoes with some breezy winds pushing though dallas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Looks like Shreveport definitely had a brief damaging tornado earlier. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 @Neoncyclone @ClicheVortex2014 Anything from Killeen, TX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) I think tomorrow has the best tornado potential of the entire 3 day event. Any storm that can sustain itself in all of AL, TN, and KY will be in an incredible kinematic environment. There will probably be 500-2000kg CAPE along the whole warm frontal-zone, I wouldn't be surprised to see a tornado-driven moderate tomorrow. Edited March 3, 2023 by Neoncyclone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJKuo Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Latest 00z HRRR showing the low pressure at a few mb's lower than the 18z run. oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) Mid-level dry air is sneaking around the squall and into the warm sector. That'll squash warm sector potential wherever that pushes. All is fair behind that, but it's just barely ahead of the squall if anything develops. Edited March 3, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJKuo Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Check out the latest HRRR maximum updraft helicity in AR Now check out the cell that's getting crazy on radar in AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) The inflow region is sucking in a bunch of showers but the velocities are coming together on that storm in AR Edited March 3, 2023 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) 6 minutes ago, DJKuo said: Check out the latest HRRR maximum updraft helicity in AR Now check out the cell that's getting crazy on radar in AR It's north of the warm front. Dew points there in the upper 50s... south of the warm front is in the upper 60s. Edited March 3, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJKuo Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Yikes, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) 00Z HRRR loops for tonight into tomorrow, Any storm that can sustain an updraft tomorrow will be in a very favorable environment for tornadoes. (Not sure if they'll show up synced) Sounding in East-central AL Edited March 3, 2023 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) Pretty cool how you can see the tornadic supercell in ArkLaTex significantly weaken with the mid-level dry air moving in, then re-strengthen a bit afterward. Edit: old loop. Shared this before but I just noticed this Edited March 3, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Brad Arnold has had 5-6 power flashes and a roof fly off in the last 10 minutes of his stream near Clarksville, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Someone needs to hire Brad Arnold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 Brad Arnold with a tornado again! It's his #4! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 3, 2023 (edited) Problem with the tornado threat for tomorrow is that it's pretty rare to have a supercell tornado outbreak with a low this deep. There are many reasons for that but the easiest one to cite is inherently strong forcing on the cold front discourages long-lived discrete supercells. HRRR looks really nasty for tomorrow but I'm skeptical that storm mode will work out as favorably. Also hints of a weak mid-level inversion that might weaken the updraft. Any weakening of the updraft raises the concern for a sheared out updraft... especially when you have a sub-980mb low still attached closely to the warm sector. I also question how much the warm sector will be able to warm. The above images clearly suggest widespread clouds. Are you really gonna get to 72/67 in very early March without the sun? Edited March 3, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted March 3, 2023 Not to live and die by each run, but HRRR now has a linear storm mode for tomorrow. Gotta watch for how far north the warm front goes. Could bring a severe threat as far north as Cincinnati. 974mb low... crazy. Probably overdone but sub-980mb seems reasonable. Very bad situation for Kentucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted March 3, 2023 Share Posted March 3, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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