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Winter 2023-2024 | Discussion and Outlooks


NKYSnowLover

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1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Not completely winter thread related but the chart is eye grabbing for sure

Screenshot_20240224_143952_Facebook.jpg

That is scary because i think mentioned it iin here the Gulf hit 99 degrees in early July( i believe). Think about that. Water that is almost too hot to go in. Now we may go even warmer?  Shear made the ‘ cane season weak last year, but the one early one that did a lot of damage on Gulf side was infamous for how quickly it blew up.

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1 hour ago, Wnwniner said:

Not sure this aged that well...

100% this year was much better than last in the mid Atlantic, not even close. Close to average snowfall (this year) vs record low snowfall(2023)

Edited by TLChip
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2 hours ago, TLChip said:

100% this year was much better than last in the mid Atlantic, not even close. Close to average snowfall (this year) vs record low snowfall(2023)

Fair point-MBY was not any better, thats for sure.

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It would be quite fitting for this to happen. I NEVER expect to escape a Nino winter without some sort of major snowstorm in our region. This would fit that bill. 

Best of all, it would have little to no chance of sticking around - even if historical numbers are reached. 

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There were some real doozies in the YouTube forecasting collage that @Pghsnow put together. 

This might be my favorite. Granted its the first one I see. Polar Vortex 😆. Super Dry in the PAC NW 🤣 Worst of Winter (yeah as in no snow)! 😉

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_20_51AM.png.afc194c8a3dc5c5128ab2739d4b5df4c.png

 

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_26_31AM.thumb.png.90e0650516d2357ff52e8c9f87b1776e.png

 

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_28_25AM.thumb.png.5c7476cf511f50b0204e743d0329c6f7.png

Edited by StretchCT
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3 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

It would be quite fitting for this to happen. I NEVER expect to escape a Nino winter without some sort of major snowstorm in our region. This would fit that bill. 

Best of all, it would have little to no chance of sticking around - even if historical numbers are reached. 

This time frame. NAO Check. PNA Check. AO Check.

 

 

nao.gefs.sprd2.png

pna.gefs.sprd2.png

ao.gefs.sprd2.png

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2 hours ago, StretchCT said:

There were some real doozies in the YouTube forecasting collage that @Pghsnow put together. 

This might be my favorite. Granted its the first one I see. Polar Vortex 😆. Super Dry in the PAC NW 🤣 Worst of Winter (yeah as in no snow)! 😉

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_20_51AM.png.afc194c8a3dc5c5128ab2739d4b5df4c.png

 

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_26_31AM.thumb.png.90e0650516d2357ff52e8c9f87b1776e.png

 

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_28_25AM.thumb.png.5c7476cf511f50b0204e743d0329c6f7.png

Well they got the above average storms in southern California right. 

 

amazing-capture-of-storm-heavy-rain-fall-vn3y3va3qgbxtptr.thumb.gif.e958f85035f3cf3256b635f0198253b9.gif

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3 hours ago, StretchCT said:

There were some real doozies in the YouTube forecasting collage that @Pghsnow put together. 

This might be my favorite. Granted its the first one I see. Polar Vortex 😆. Super Dry in the PAC NW 🤣 Worst of Winter (yeah as in no snow)! 😉

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_20_51AM.png.afc194c8a3dc5c5128ab2739d4b5df4c.png

 

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_26_31AM.thumb.png.90e0650516d2357ff52e8c9f87b1776e.png

 

Screenshot2024-02-29at9_28_25AM.thumb.png.5c7476cf511f50b0204e743d0329c6f7.png

Have to believe that “map” was either produced by someone in jest or as some kindergarten class’s science project.

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11 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

It would be quite fitting for this to happen. I NEVER expect to escape a Nino winter without some sort of major snowstorm in our region. This would fit that bill. 

Best of all, it would have little to no chance of sticking around - even if historical numbers are reached. 

I’ve had this written since 830am but work got in the way. I agree with the premise. I think my head has been pretty stuck on “if a big one is coming look for a Miller A” kind of like a hitter is sitting on a fastball. I’ve been thinking the pattern is too progressive to get a good snow in PA from a Miller b in March this year as I just haven’t seen a strong enough high to produce and lock in the cold necessary for this to happen and then  not get displaced the moment a storm moves north. (Quickly checks NAO…still trending neutral)
 

So…do I believe the output here, not for a moment, but I’m game for chaos if this could be a thing! Btw. The 12z gfs showed something I think is more likely. 

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