JDClapper Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: 97-98 was an abysmal snow season for Hbg and 72-73 had only two NADS snow in all of Jan-Feb that year (5" and 0.4" in mid Feb) https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/harrisburg/year-1973 I was in Millersville the 97-98 year and I can attest that it was absolute garbage. Lol i think the highlight of the winter was a snow to sleet to rain event that put down like 2". The HIGHLIGHT! My friend was in York that winter and broke his car door handle after a bad ice storm (wouldnt open, pulled too hard). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Hints of the mid-Feb. pattern shift at the tail end of the GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Canadian Ens. as well... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 29 Social Media Crew Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, Grace said: Yall welcome! You all are miserable...lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 30 Social Media Crew Share Posted January 30 Thoughts about this look.. Fits with the ensemble coup for mid-month, no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Here we go. I think a similar SPV warming event that has immediate results like in JAN. I'm not saying same severity of cold, no one honestly knows. But I'm saying it will deliver some cold. This is still a ways out but ensemble SPV forecasts have been hinting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1/30 0Z NAEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 My analog for this winter has long been 1983 (verifiable through Poc and AnthonyWeather) - I based that on how the preceding Nov-Dec played out and the signal for El Nino relative strength as the season progressed - thinking it collapses quickly and we move to a sudden Spring. That year we had one important storm and that was near 11-12th and was quite a doozy. I believe our current guidance supports this, including the MJO. As it moves from 7-8, it never gets to 1 before crashing in the COD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 If we can get one big storm this year I’ll take it. Winter has lingered the past few years so early spring wouldn’t be bad… cept cutting grass for an extra month or so 🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Acton Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 5 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: My analog for this winter has long been 1983 (verifiable through Poc and AnthonyWeather) - I based that on how the preceding Nov-Dec played out and the signal for El Nino relative strength as the season progressed - thinking it collapses quickly and we move to a sudden Spring. That year we had one important storm and that was near 11-12th and was quite a doozy. I believe our current guidance supports this, including the MJO. As it moves from 7-8, it never gets to 1 before crashing in the COD 1983, had a whopper in the MidAtlantic. A thundersnow blizzard about 26 inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3 minutes ago, George Acton said: 1983, had a whopper in the MidAtlantic. A thundersnow blizzard about 26 inches. Yes sir - my car was buried in drifting for 2 days afterwards. Don't look now, but GFS is trying to prophesize as we speak 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Temperature departures through yesterday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Yes sir - my car was buried in drifting for 2 days afterwards. Don't look now, but GFS is trying to prophesize as we speak Boom! Stacked packed and all that. Just like the analog... Edited January 30 by Undertakerson2.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Boom! 3 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Boom! Stacked packed and all that. Just like the analog... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Won't show snow maps b/c we're in family viewing hours. 😉 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 (edited) Just a long-range op-run image, but definitely the type of imagery we're looking for in my neck of the woods as we head into mid-Feb... Edited January 30 by MesoscaleBanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 38 minutes ago, RobB said: Temperature departures through yesterday.. That's a really impressive temperature gradient between the Plains and upper Midwest over nearly a whole month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 20 minutes ago, Hoosier said: That's a really impressive temperature gradient between the Plains and upper Midwest over nearly a whole month. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 30 Admin Share Posted January 30 1 hour ago, RobB said: Temperature departures through yesterday.. Warm, wet, and kinda snowy. Lots fell, lots melted. Looks pretty now though, kids and dogs are happy at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Acton Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Yes sir - my car was buried in drifting for 2 days afterwards. Don't look now, but GFS is trying to prophesize as we speak What was incredible, it was a short duration event with intense snow bands. I believe it was less than 24 hours long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1/30 12Z NAEFS: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 6 minutes ago, George Acton said: What was incredible, it was a short duration event with intense snow bands. I believe it was less than 24 hours long. I was driving at work. It hit a 2 p.m. - the snow was heavy from the get go. By the time I clocked out at 4 we already had 4" - and it kept up near those rates all night long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Maybe something mid-February if we're lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 I have no data to base this on, and certainly not bitter casting, but my life experience tells me I've seen this movie before. I recall several seasons in the Accuweather forums where it was "pattern change in a week or two" over and over all winter long. I love snow as much as anyone else, but I'm also ready to break out the golf clubs and get warm enough weather to play outside. Just not sure how much stock I put into the upcoming pattern change-really hope it happens, as we need about 2-3 snow events to clean out the salt barns to have enough space for the rest of what we ordered-but also ready to get to spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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