RobB Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1/22 12Z NAEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Outbreak Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 25 minutes ago, RobB said: 1/22 12Z NAEFS I would say the Canadians are not "treading carefully" here 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cdfarabaugh Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 hours ago, RobB said: 1/22 12Z NAEFS Redder than...........nervermind..........I'm not going to finish this inappropriate saying lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) Gfs certainly hasn’t looked like a torch the last 8 runs Edited January 22 by Hassaywx1223 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 23 Social Media Crew Share Posted January 23 This is an error.. one would think.. If not.. I want to see this ensemble lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Big difference here: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Winter will come back in March and last till the end of April lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 0Z NAEFS 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 23 Admin Share Posted January 23 13 hours ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Gfs certainly hasn’t looked like a torch the last 8 runs Sarcasm? I can't tell. I mean, warmth in Canada this time of year, even in the northern CONUS, is still cold though to snow, maybe that's what you mean? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, MaineJay said: Sarcasm? I can't tell. I mean, warmth in Canada this time of year, even in the northern CONUS, is still cold though to snow, maybe that's what you mean? I actually find "Not so cold" more annoying. If it is say upper 30s and low 40s. Any snows that could fall would be wet as hell. If it be too warm for good snows, then it may as well be in the 50s or higher 🙂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 23 Moderators Share Posted January 23 Came here to comment on how brutal the next 2 weeks look and you guys took care of that already! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I am grateful for the rain as the salt on the streets are over the top...Not to mention on my car 🙂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 (edited) 1 hour ago, MaineJay said: Sarcasm? I can't tell. I mean, warmth in Canada this time of year, even in the northern CONUS, is still cold though to snow, maybe that's what you mean? I think the torch looks a bit more muted because of the time of year. Meaning although the temperature departures from normal are very high the actual 2m temperatures aren’t as high as they would be in say early December when normals aren’t as low. I know that it’s still warm but some places still could be close enough to freezing for frozen precip at times. Either way still torchy. Edited January 23 by SNOWBOB11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 23 Moderators Share Posted January 23 IDK - +18F to +24F anomalies might be much to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 6 minutes ago, StretchCT said: IDK - +18F to +24F anomalies might be much to overcome. One would definitely have to thread the needle for snows that could fall and then quickly melts away in a day or two. I rather snows hold out until the next cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Outbreak Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 11 hours ago, Grace said: Big difference here: So why are we torching then if we have an equatorward shift? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohioktm250 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I was looking at past snow totals for my location. It's sad. Of the last ten years, 5 have had less than 6" of snow for the entire season. 3 more have had less than 12" Only two seasons in the last 10 years have had more than 12" of snow for the entire winter season. The average for my location is 27" per season. What a terrible stretch of being in the screw zone for snow. I was trying to verify my memories of snowier winters when I was a kid. I feel sorry for my kids - sometimes they can't sled at all for an entire year. 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 you can almost ALWAYS set your calendar by a snow potential (for someone in the east) that falls near the Valentines Day/Presidents day window. Thats when I'll be looking for the next opportunity. By then this torch will have run a 3 week course and one would think it gets exhausted at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 22 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: you can almost ALWAYS set your calendar by a snow potential (for someone in the east) that falls near the Valentines Day/Presidents day window. Thats when I'll be looking for the next opportunity. By then this torch will have run a 3 week course and one would think it gets exhausted at some point I'll be ready for spring storm season by then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Outbreak Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 (edited) It's interesting to me how similar this winter and the previous winter have been, despite the different ENSO states. Both featured almost non-stop torches with a brief arctic interlude. The only difference being last year the break in the torch happened in late December and this year it was mid-January. Maybe just a new normal? Edited January 23 by Arctic Outbreak 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Thinking we flip to a more cold and stormy pattern in the Eastern USA after 2/4/24. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 12Z NAEFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 19 minutes ago, RobB said: 1/23 12Z NAEFS: Upper northwest first signs I agree with the above statement after them first five days of February I think we work back toward cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 23 Social Media Crew Share Posted January 23 59 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Thinking we flip to a more cold and stormy pattern in the Eastern USA after 2/4/24. I agree.. 2/8-2/12.. Right around the 10th. Teleconnections, MJO, long-range ensembles.. something's brewing. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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