beaver56 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 46 minutes ago, Grace said: I thought you were checking out for a couple of days. 😆 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) Yikes! Hopefully this is wrong? If this is true we are approaching mid January... Edited December 25, 2023 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Not bad. Modoki? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 12/25 12Z NAEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 25, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 25, 2023 20 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Not bad. Modoki? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlizzardOf1978 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 minute ago, MaineJay said: Respectfully please comment on what the maps mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 2 hours ago, Grace said: Couldn't stay away... 😂😂😂 Thank you for all of your contributions to this board. Merry Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 😒 El nino doing its thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: 😒 El nino doing its thing. Just not sure if the cold hype will verify. Hope it does, but if not I will be fine with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, beaver56 said: Just not sure if the cold hype will verify. Hope it does, but if not I will be fine with it. I’d rather be close to where the boundary sets up. Yes, we need cold if we want snow, but not polar vortex in your back yard cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, beaver56 said: Just not sure if the cold hype will verify. Hope it does, but if not I will be fine with it. Looking more like 3-4 days of cold and maybe a storm then back to the status quo. It's crazy the snow drought my area is in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 25, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 25, 2023 56 minutes ago, MaineJay said: 54 minutes ago, TheBlizzardOf1978 said: Respectfully please comment on what the maps mean. The left hand side is a typical El Niño, the right is the "modoki" flavor. There will be differences in how this is interpreted. My opinion is that this El Niño is the former, just accelerated by a couple/few months. I believe this Niño official kicked off in AMJ, on the earlier side, and that we are seeing it in it's weakening phase soon, if not already. Whether that makes it a modoki, and behaves in that manner remains to be seen I'd say. To be honest, part of my thinking is to manage expectations with regards to what pattern a modoki would produce. Just don't want folks thinking a 2009-10 redux is a given. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 25, 2023 Admin Share Posted December 25, 2023 Also want to caution that we shouldn’t live and die by model runs. I’d honestly prefer “normal” temps with bunches of storm chances over cold as Elsa’s breath and dry, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlizzardOf1978 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlizzardOf1978 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) Edited December 25, 2023 by TheBlizzardOf1978 Made a mistake 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 12/26 0Z NAEFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 This might not be as bad as it looked to me at first. The vortex coming to our side of the globe and then -nao develops. Hmmmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 This could be something to watch. Could be just cold enough for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 1 minute ago, StormfanaticInd said: This could be something to watch. Could be just cold enough for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Some great long range analysis was given by OHweather on Amwx under the Lakes/OV medium long range winter discussion today. I would recommend checking it out. Some reasons for optimism but also tempered with a realistic outcome for this winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 12/26 12Z NAEFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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