Grace Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 12z GEFS control, the SPV @ 10mb headed toward a split on that run. It's LR, so something to just watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 (edited) First I have heard of this, is this related to sun spots? Edited November 29, 2023 by NEPAsnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 (edited) This is a very sneaky weather pattern coming up. Edited November 29, 2023 by StormfanaticInd 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: This is a very sneaky weather pattern coming up. A 3 County wide stripe of snow. Tight snow zone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, 1816 said: A 3 County wide stripe of snow. Tight snow zone Narrow yes but it shows this pattern can produce 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 I can agree with this based on my records .. the week around Christmas is abysmal for measurable snow in my area. Hudson Valley not to far off either. Look at the huge dip in January too .. looking forward to "winter over" posts, during the typical "January Thaw". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted November 30, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2023 7 hours ago, HateWinterWarmth said: But +AO or -AO, the torch did in fact verify, did it not? Im sure many in the upper midwest are quite ok with how things have turned out for November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted November 30, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2023 7 hours ago, 1816 said: Honestly I'd be happy if it would just rain like that. Yea there were some bad fires down that way. We were getting some low level smoke from it the other week before the slug of rain came through. Typically we should be picking up in the moisture department this time of year in an El Nino hope we don't get another below average month coming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted November 30, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2023 (edited) 6 hours ago, Grace said: 12z GEFS control, the SPV @ 10mb headed toward a split on that run. It's LR, so something to just watch. Feel like im missing something here... While the one I show has temp in anomalous fashion the look of the SPV looks off. If you could post the 500mb map leading up to this would be helpful in seeing the differences. Edited November 30, 2023 by so_whats_happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 28 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said: Im sure many in the upper midwest are quite ok with how things have turned out for November. That's because most people up here wish they lived in Florida lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted November 30, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, HateWinterWarmth said: That's because most people up here wish they lived in Florida lol Ahhh yes the wonderful landscape of swamp 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 56 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said: Ahhh yes the wonderful landscape of swamp Yeah I don't get the allure but it's true. Never met so many people averse to snow and cold until I moved here, which is pretty ironic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 3 hours ago, so_whats_happening said: Feel like im missing something here... While the one I show has temp in anomalous fashion the look of the SPV looks off. If you could post the 500mb map leading up to this would be helpful in seeing the differences. I posted that it was the GEFS control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 12 hours ago, Grace said: Well...looks, looky what showed up on 12z GFS. Now if we can get enough cold to wrap in... Still showing up on the 00z GFS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 5 hours ago, SNOWBOB11 said: Still showing up on the 00z GFS. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Snow Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 14 hours ago, JDClapper said: I can agree with this based on my records .. the week around Christmas is abysmal for measurable snow in my area. Hudson Valley not to far off either. Look at the huge dip in January too .. looking forward to "winter over" posts, during the typical "January Thaw". Don't forget the "It can't snow tomorrow, it was 60 today" comments. Even though we tend to get at least one or two of those events a year. Nothing like a good temp gradient to fuel a storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheComet Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 One thing I notice is that there haven't been that many GLC's. Many southern streamers but disconnected from polar jet. I guess that's an encouraging sign. La Nina's favor GLC's so upper great lakes region does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 This is interesting. First Cansips is really close everywhere but look where I drew the arrow....it's opposite. That's intriguing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 16 minutes ago, Grace said: This is interesting. First Cansips is really close everywhere but look where I drew the arrow....it's opposite. That's intriguing. is that referring to a west based NAO or something different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 12z GFS: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 hour ago, NEPAsnow said: is that referring to a west based NAO or something different? The NAO block over Greenland is stronger but I'm pointing to the TPV over Arctic while CanSips forecasted much greater heights. It nailed everything else which is bizarre. While 500mb idms very similar over CONUS the 3m temps verified much warmer. The TPV I pointed out is one reason why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Does anyone else read "catnip" when you see CanSips, or is it just me? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Does anyone else read "catnip" when you see CanSips, or is it just me? Guilty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Honestly I think we’re going to be open for business sooner than later for this winter the signs are there and the daily models are catching up just my opinion and gut feeling. Same feeling I had last winter that it wasn’t going to be good is opposite right now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 30 minutes ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Honestly I think we’re going to be open for business sooner than later for this winter the signs are there and the daily models are catching up just my opinion and gut feeling. Same feeling I had last winter that it wasn’t going to be good is opposite right now I hope you're right. It does look like the cold starts to finally win the battle toward the end of the current runs. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now