NEPAsnow Posted October 24, 2023 Share Posted October 24, 2023 4 hours ago, Grace said: Think that will change the forcing from west to east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 1 hour ago, NEPAsnow said: Think that will change the forcing from west to east? Anomalies will look east based but they already have been until last month warmer waters migrated west to region 3.0 & 3.4. But the forcing has been west similar to a central Pac El Nino the entire time due to other factors so that might continue. Just don't really know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 (edited) For any interested, @bamwx will have a live winter weather seminar/forecast at 10am central time Wednesday, October 25. It's always very detailed with lots of data, reasoning and explanations. You can sign up for free via @bamwx on twitter/x. If you miss it live, they will email you a link. Edited October 25, 2023 by SOMOSnow 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 On 10/24/2023 at 6:18 PM, NEPAsnow said: Think that will change the forcing from west to east? The wind event has been ongoing for a whole. SST's have not warmed in east.over last 15 fans 3.4 has warmed & 1 and 2 have cooled. But the forcing, which has been west the entire event,may or may not change. The only given is that the event should be pushing warmer waters east but has not so far but that does not mean the forcing will change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted October 26, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted October 26, 2023 Looks like we may see a solid push up to about 2C in 3.4 coming up here. If we have continual WWB events take hold there is a possibility this goes higher but need to see how this first bout reacts in the Nino regions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 This winter is a toss up but it's looking interesting at least 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 (edited) Thread? Lol. Edited October 26, 2023 by Grace 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 26, 2023 Moderators Share Posted October 26, 2023 I'm wondering if this season will be stormy. Seems to want to get off to that kind of start. Doesn't mean snow sadly, but it should be pretty interesting this year. Maybe a lot of heartbreaks, but isn't there always... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 26, 2023 Moderators Share Posted October 26, 2023 Oh boy. You have to pay for days like we're having this week at some point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 On 10/24/2023 at 10:23 PM, SOMOSnow said: For any interested, @bamwx will have a live winter weather seminar/forecast at 10am central time Wednesday, October 25. It's always very detailed with lots of data, reasoning and explanations. You can sign up for free via @bamwx on twitter/x. If you miss it live, they will email you a link. I missed it. What did they say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 Next week looking like I have a few days struggling to get out of the 50s. Bring the cold ❄️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 2 hours ago, Grace said: Thread? Lol. Tis the season for ridiculous snowmap amounts! Haha. 75 degrees right now though. Garden mowed, laen mowed. Ready to roll! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 26, 2023 Moderators Share Posted October 26, 2023 13 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Garden mowed, laen mowed. Ugh that reminds me that there's a lawn under the leaves, at least I think that's what you were saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 49 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Ugh that reminds me that there's a lawn under the leaves, at least I think that's what you were saying. Yeah, I saw that but was entirely too lazy to edit the spelling afterwards. Lawn. 😄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted October 26, 2023 Admin Share Posted October 26, 2023 3 hours ago, Grace said: Thread? Lol. Tropical or non tropical. 🤣 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 27, 2023 Share Posted October 27, 2023 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted October 27, 2023 Some interesting graphics from NOAA Climate.gov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 27, 2023 Share Posted October 27, 2023 2 hours ago, StretchCT said: Some interesting graphics from NOAA Climate.gov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted October 27, 2023 Share Posted October 27, 2023 2 hours ago, StretchCT said: Some interesting graphics from NOAA Climate.gov I kinda love these graphics, because they show how weak the signal for my area. Even if these maps showed the deepest browns in MBY, a 10 inch deficit is 5-10% of our annual average. It's a bigger percentage across upstate New York, but not by a huge margin since many of those places also average over 50 in/yr. I'm curious what the top graphic would look like if they plotted variance, because I'm willing to bet it would be much greater than +/- 10 inches. Also, these graphics were made using model data instead of real observations so I'm not sure I'd trust it for lake effect or mountains areas with sharp snowfall gradients. The bottom graphic has me wondering about Florida, could it really be similar chances for below normal snowfall in Jacksonville (averages 0.1" of snow) and Detroit (averages ~33 inches)? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 27, 2023 Share Posted October 27, 2023 54 minutes ago, StLweatherjunkie said: I kinda love these graphics, because they show how weak the signal for my area. Even if these maps showed the deepest browns in MBY, a 10 inch deficit is 5-10% of our annual average. It's a bigger percentage across upstate New York, but not by a huge margin since many of those places also average over 50 in/yr. Yeah looking at the east coast a -2 or -4 in Maine(50+) is minor compared to Delaware (15-20 average) at +8 . In the second picture for the mid Atlantic that’s a 50/50 shot at seeing below average snowfall. 6 years out of 13 saw below average, means the other 7 saw normal/above. Does this mean southern sliders or/and nor’easters being stronger further south. I’m not a long range guy but that’s what I would guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 (edited) Latest Euro Weeklies 46 day temp anomalies. This goes to evening of December 11. Edited October 28, 2023 by SOMOSnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 (edited) Don't see temps like this in Southern Missouri too often in October... Edited October 28, 2023 by SOMOSnow 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 (edited) After seeing the 12Z GFS, I was curious if any of the EPS ensembles had anything like that. There were a couple. But I ran across this jewel and thought i'd share to get a few people in the winter mode. Certainly it's not anything I'm expecting just thought it's neat to see....just for giggles: Edited October 29, 2023 by Grace 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Latest CFS for NOV. You know if this occurs DEC is screwed for sure, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Grace said: Latest CFS for NOV. You know if this occurs DEC is screwed for sure, lol. White Thanksgiving though. Pretty rare these centuries. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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