StormfanaticInd Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 (edited) 2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: It's about to really get cold. 🥶🥶🥶. This is great!!!😁😁😁 Edited January 6 by StormfanaticInd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Is it finally time to pick the can up off the road? Not yet, but getting closer. We've been Charlie Browned already this year so I'm cautious 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted January 7 Meteorologist Share Posted January 7 6 hours ago, StLweatherjunkie said: Not everyone hates GLCs 😁 I don't necessarily disagree with your analysis, but I think you're making it more complicated than it needs to be. The Jan 9-10 storm will lay down a swath of heavy snow that seems likely to act as the primary baroclinic zone for subsequent storms. I think it'll be tough to get substantial snowfalls south of the snow cover gradient that sets up over KS/MO/IL ... at least this go around, something similar could come back later this winter when snow cover is more solid across the northern tier: Ha fair whats bad for me is good for another. As for the snow it makes sense what you said the only caveat really is the placement of the -NAO and 50/50 setup that may come from this pattern. Definitely a blast of cold out west and into the midwest though. Im just happy we have an active pattern instead of one storm a week or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1/7 0Z NAEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, RobB said: 1/7 0Z NAEFS Holy crap, there is blue in PA. 😱 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 17 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: FWIW, mid January has the coolest and hardest to beat cold records. Most places that have a long period of record and can get snow have record temps in the double digits below zero this time of year. While I wouldn't be surprised to see some cold records for places that have unusually deep snow cover, I would be very surprised by extreme cold across the entire country. Even the image he posted with this hype shows temps just 5-10F below normal almost everywhere except the northern plains. Finally, a climate fueled pattern of record low temps is just a dumb thing to say ... especially considering all the record warmth and lack of snow during December. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1/7 12Z NAEFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 7 Moderators Share Posted January 7 EPS with three eastern GLC (1/9; 1/13 and 1/17) then nothing but seasonable/cold the next 5 days. GFS has the 17th system headed off the Delmarva. At least a little hope there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 (edited) Doing some analoging .. nothing to do with the state of the atmosphere or oceans, simply the pattern in measurable snow here in interior PA. 2000-current. Looking at 0" by December and one early light snow in December, '03-'04 and '01-'02 also had a 1/6ish snow event. After that, things get different. 01-02 pretty much went dormant after another light/mod event on 1/19. February was trash, and March didn't make up for it. 03-04 got active with measurable snow events through late March and ended above average. Which way will this year go? First chart is this year .. then 03-04, then 01-02. Edited January 7 by JDClapper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 If we do manage to lay down all this snow next week could be brutally cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1/8 0Z NAEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 hours ago, RobB said: 1/8 0Z NAEFS That escalated quickly. Seems like the midwest went from bright red to deep blue in 2 or 3 weeks... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1/8 12Z NAEFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 (edited) I think there's been a misunderstanding of what was requested... This would be 1 of the most unprecedented January sunny days of all time lol Edited January 9 by Ohiobuckeye45 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Not 1....but 2 different 1050 HP in to lower 48, the 2nd deeper in to the conus via the 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: I think there's been a misunderstanding of what was requested... This would be 1 of the most unprecedented January sunny days of all time lol When Seattle and Portland are dry in January you know something is up. Maybe the apocalypse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1/9 0Z NAEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Al_Czervik Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Looking more and more likely that this is hanging around long term. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1/9 12Z NAEFS: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 This cold looks to have staying power 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 End of 12z gefs run. Cold is here to stay for a while folks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 But didn't he just say a day or 2 ago winter was cancelled... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted January 10 Meteorologist Share Posted January 10 @1816 Now this is the El Nino pattern I have been waiting for. Copious amounts of rain/moisture one after another, too bad we have a 500mb pattern that resembles a La Nina though with the lobe of cold into the pac NW. This should at least lay the groundwork for some pretty intense cold come later on if the snow cover across the midwest can hold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted January 10 Meteorologist Share Posted January 10 4 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: End of 12z gefs run. Cold is here to stay for a while folks As long as that western ridging pattern does not fail us then I would agree we could be in for a sustained cold pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 hours ago, so_whats_happening said: @1816 Now this is the El Nino pattern I have been waiting for. Copious amounts of rain/moisture one after another, too bad we have a 500mb pattern that resembles a La Nina though with the lobe of cold into the pac NW. This should at least lay the groundwork for some pretty intense cold come later on if the snow cover across the midwest can hold. Good maybe the mud will freeze 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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