NEPAsnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 only 26 more runs of the GFS to go 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 25, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Grace said: 0z Euro & 12z CMC showing almost zero SE ridge influence. 12z UKMET is bringing more a a ridge influence versus 0z. BSR suggests ridge will play a roll: It's flatter out front though, and the shortwave in MN looks like it wants to slide east with that trof in SE Canada (instead of phasing like the GFS insists). A closed low might drift more easterly. Timing of any phase will be tricky, plus, downstream is still evolving. Fun to have a model battle though. ECMWF will settle everything in and hour or so. 🤣 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Throwing the NAV in there for fun - also in the further NW camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Throwing the NAV in there for fun - also in the further NW camp low developing off del coast? transfer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 12z GEFS just went bonkers on big snows, lol. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 25, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 25, 2023 I'm supposed to be driving up to Cleveland on 3/3 to take my 5th Graders to the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame. Therefore, the NW solution will probably pan out. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 One nice thing is most of the qpf is located in the cold sector per modeling. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 18 minutes ago, Grace said: 12z GEFS just went bonkers on big snows, lol. E8 obviously has a good handle on the situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Major step toward the GFS... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 12z EURO definitely more phasing. Baby steps 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 30 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: E8 obviously has a good handle on the situation I think good ole 23 does as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 12z EPS 😍 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, Grace said: 12z EPS 😍 Pics or it didn't happen🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Large spread on the Canadian ensemble... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 It's hard to imagine a sub 980 low thats gets amped and stays amped that far SE. Historically something that strong will allllwaayysss cut. Now we've see several that are SE and amped as time goes on, but rarely be that amped in the early stages and stay se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Intrigue level bumped from 5 to 6 with the 12z haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Pics or it didn't happen🤣 When individual precip types & snow amounts load I'll post. Some are absolutely ridiculous, like multiple 970-975mb in Central Tenn or Kentucky. Here's the EPS mean & members for now. TN Valley track then coastal transfer. Mean snow is overlapping Ohio River to I-70. Certainly more phasing than 0z 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Man - would love to see what happens the next few frames. Looks promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: Man - would love to see what happens the next few frames. Looks promising I will anxiously await wm.com update in a couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said: I will anxiously await wm.com update in a couple hours Nice - I forgot that it goes beyond 144 on WM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Meanwhile in CFS- land... Congrats Green Bay! 🤣 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 25, 2023 Share Posted February 25, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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