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March 3-4, 2023 | MW/GL Winter Storm


MesoscaleBanding

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2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Looks like GFS might tick NW again - this might just end up being an Iowa/Wisconsin/MI snowstorm 😂🤢

Yeah, I feel like I've seen this movie before. And I don't like how it ends... 

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1 minute ago, JayPSU said:

I don’t know why we expected anything different.  This has been the general track all winter.

A couple more ticks NW and pretty much. Also look for a weakening trend it gets as we head into obs.

 

This storm later in spring/early fall would be a massive severe weather outbreak. Yikes. Probably will still be in the south if the setup maintains. 

Edited by junior
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5 minutes ago, JayPSU said:

I don’t know why we expected anything different.  This has been the general track all winter.

To clarify the track needs to move substantially further NW with a SLP over NIL for that to be the case. Than MSP gets hit again. Unless foreign models jump NW a lot GFS in la la land and will recorrect back SE

Edited by Cary67
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1 minute ago, cperry29 said:

GFS depiction would fit the pattern we’ve been in for the last month. CMC slowly creeping that way? My glass is half empty. 🙂🤷🏻‍♂️

DA787CF3-CE61-4685-8AB1-CF45D80C6FDE.gif

Mine too.  GFS fits better with the pattern we’ve been stuck in.

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5 minutes ago, cperry29 said:

GFS depiction would fit the pattern we’ve been in for the last month. CMC slowly creeping that way? My glass is half empty. 🙂🤷🏻‍♂️

DA787CF3-CE61-4685-8AB1-CF45D80C6FDE.gif

Unfortunately, I fear you might be right. Just as the gfs led the way in sniffing out the storm, it may be leading the inevitable march to the NW as well... 

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35 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Looks like GFS might tick NW again - this might just end up being an Iowa/Wisconsin/MI snowstorm 😂🤢

Fits the winter pattern. This reminds me of the Dec storm.  I am getting ready to toss the flag for my home even though other models give my area hope. Think they will eventually cave to a much further west solution. 

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I’m in the all or nothing camp at this point of the season. Either hit big or miss big to the north….don’t go in between. I love big snows, but I also love sun and 70+ degrees. Both have been absent for too long. 

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