TLChip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) Can’t link the gif from my phone, at least it’s more of a west>east movement. Keeping more people in the snow game. FV3 HRRR Long range Edited February 27, 2023 by TLChip 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Hobie said: Are we assuming 10:1 ratios with this one? That's going to depend on where you are. Albany posted in their AFD this morning that they are expecting 16:1 down to 12:1 with the higher ratios earlier. I think this makes sense given the vertical velocities coming through earlier before the "warmer" air shows. I had also posted earlier a map of those vv's and the -8 line through CT which generates pretty big snow ratios. On the other hand... the DGZ is way up there and there's plenty of time for flakes to either be blown apart, or even come together more if they are wet enough and clingy. Here's the Kuchera ratio for the GFS during the heaviest period. Basically 84 north is 13+ And for the NAM 11+ Edited February 27, 2023 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Evening being up in the Leigh Valley today temps hit 46. Clouds finally rolled in… going to be hard to accumulate if it’s not ripping though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 27, 2023 17 minutes ago, TLChip said: at least it’s more of a west>east movement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) 3 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Even a little dip south, better then the northward cutters! Really nice not seeing southerly’s bringing those temps up. Edited February 27, 2023 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) NAM 3k trend - not sure if its Morristown but that data point in Morris County spread from 0.8 to 5.8 isn't cool a day before. Edited February 27, 2023 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Went for a walk.. still virga in Williamsport, but 30 mi s west, family said light sleet in Lock Haven started just before 3pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 43 and sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) 45 with IP imby Very small, melt too fast to take a picture. IMG_3343.MOV NAM thoughts on temps imby Edited February 27, 2023 by TLChip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 32 minutes ago, StretchCT said: NAM 3k trend - not sure if its Morristown but that data point in Morris County spread from 0.8 to 5.8 isn't cool a day before. I'm now on the inclement weather committee and drew the short straw to leave the recorded message. going with delayed opening for our Morristown, Florham Park and Newark locations. 10am open not liking the hit or miss spread at all 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 27, 2023 7 minutes ago, Miller A said: I'm now on the inclement weather committee and drew the short straw to leave the recorded message. going with delayed opening for our Morristown, Florham Park and Newark locations. 10am open not liking the hit or miss spread at all That's fair. Sleep in and be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tool483 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 hour ago, TLChip said: Can’t link the gif from my phone, at least it’s more of a west>east movement. Keeping more people in the snow game. FV3 HRRR Long range Is it just me or is that precip shield retrograding off the Atlantic kind of cool looking. Looks to bring in a slug right off the water into SNE/NH/ME Yes I know long range HRRR, just an interesting little feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted February 27, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 27, 2023 2 hours ago, Hobie said: Are we assuming 10:1 ratios with this one? I would assume 8:1-10:1. Depends on how Thumpy it comes in. But I would certainly say no worse than 8:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted February 27, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 27, 2023 20 minutes ago, Miller A said: I'm now on the inclement weather committee and drew the short straw to leave the recorded message. going with delayed opening for our Morristown, Florham Park and Newark locations. 10am open not liking the hit or miss spread at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 41, sleet, flakes and rain.. mostly sleet and snow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) A few snow flurries just began falling here when I'm currently at in West Hazleton 4:27pm, 37F Edited February 27, 2023 by Blizz 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 27, 2023 Sleet all the way down to Delaware where it's 46 out. Over by ACY it's 42. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 26 minutes ago, StretchCT said: That's fair. Sleep in and be safe. I'm working from home regardless, but recording we just cancelled our 5am meeting to discuss 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: Sleet all the way down to Delaware where it's 46 out. Over by ACY it's 42. This is the weirdest shit. A fight between sleet/sn mix and mostly snow, 41 degrees. Wth is going on? Its melting immediately, but ... wth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Okay snow has already picked up to a consistent light snowfall. I can't tell if rain is mixing in. Feels very wet though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 27, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted February 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, JDClapper said: This is the weirdest shit. A fight between sleet/sn mix and mostly snow, 41 degrees. Wth is going on? Its melting immediately, but ... wth. That melting should actually help surface temps drop. Sucks up a lot of heat. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) Starting to shear out. Looking for triple point? edit: I think that 986 to the east IS the triple point and we're looking for another to form. Edited February 27, 2023 by StretchCT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 4 minutes ago, MaineJay said: That melting should actually help surface temps drop. Sucks up a lot of heat. Down to 39 now, but brief lull approaching before main event, after 6pm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 The hilltops are going to get smashed .. already 33s and 32s and below outside of town... assuming theres no sneaky warm layer later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 27, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 27, 2023 I wish I could put this on a loop in the sidebar. That and a radar image. That would make this the coolest weather discussion site out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now