Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just need a little more south from the GFS/CMC. Euro would be great for me. It’s a really nice looking storm would be good if I could get some snow out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist MidwestWX Posted February 18, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 18, 2023 The synoptic set up for this system is impressive. A potent jet diving down the west coast, and the long-duration west/east frontal boundary overhead should set the stage for some impressive precipitation & snow potential somewhere. There is also the potential for an significant ICE storm across the eastern cornbelt region into southern MI. It'll be a long few days ahead, but time is ticking before we hoist watches across the region and I suspect that will be sooner than later due to the significant impacts possible with this system(s). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 (edited) Edited February 18, 2023 by SNOWBOB11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Great for the western snow pack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 3 hours ago, MidwestWX said: The synoptic set up for this system is impressive. A potent jet diving down the west coast, and the long-duration west/east frontal boundary overhead should set the stage for some impressive precipitation & snow potential somewhere. There is also the potential for an significant ICE storm across the eastern cornbelt region into southern MI. It'll be a long few days ahead, but time is ticking before we hoist watches across the region and I suspect that will be sooner than later due to the significant impacts possible with this system(s). I think the earliest it can be done is Monday or Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 Man looking like a crippling ice storm here as of now. Would love to push this thing north to stay all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist MidwestWX Posted February 19, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 19, 2023 4 hours ago, Iceresistance said: I think the earliest it can be done is Monday or Tuesday. You can make an exception for this type of event. If Sunday 00z and 12z runs are still consistent I'd expect to see some watches pop up. There is actually some wiggle room but it's usually downplayed to avoid getting a rug pull scenario. I'm pumped regardless! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 Should be an interesting couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 (edited) 9 minutes ago, MidwestWX said: You can make an exception for this type of event. If Sunday 00z and 12z runs are still consistent I'd expect to see some watches pop up. There is actually some wiggle room but it's usually downplayed to avoid getting a rug pull scenario. I'm pumped regardless! Assuming offices go by the book, MN shouldn't have any watches until the Sunday afternoon package is sent so yeah only 2 more model cycles to go. I doubt the storm changes much over those model runs. Edit: this assumes the first wave meets watch/warning criteria. If #1 is just a WWA level event then maybe no watches until Monday afternoon. Edited February 19, 2023 by StLweatherjunkie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pros3lyte Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 10 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Yeeesh no thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 42 minutes ago, Pros3lyte said: Yeeesh no thanks!! Nearly an inch of freezing rain. Yea, that would shut things down for a long while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 Gotta say, this is one of those times I’m GLAD it’s missing my area! “Ice=no thank you!!” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Indygirl said: Gotta say, this is one of those times I’m GLAD it’s missing my area! “Ice=no thank you!!” Can I come to you to prevent the Ice from taking out power from your area? 😝 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 Another infamous triple-phase storm, this time with 160+ kt jet streaks. A perfect combination of arctic air, subtropical moisture, and Pacific energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 Monday evening - Thursday evening EFI snow guidance based on 00Z ECMWF ensemble. It would be nice if the map had states on it, but the most extreme snow amounts compared to local climatology should fall across Wyoming, the Front Range of Montana, and a roughly west-east band extending east toward Green Bay. While daily amounts won't be as extreme farther east, there's potential for 2-3 consecutive days of moderate to heavy snow amounts that ramp up impacts. Another thing to note is that southern edge is going to be razor sharp; I'm feeling content sitting on the northern gradient with potential for a long-duration northeasterly lake effect setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist MidwestWX Posted February 19, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 19, 2023 (edited) 15 hours ago, StLweatherjunkie said: Assuming offices go by the book, MN shouldn't have any watches until the Sunday afternoon package is sent so yeah only 2 more model cycles to go. I doubt the storm changes much over those model runs. Edit: this assumes the first wave meets watch/warning criteria. If #1 is just a WWA level event then maybe no watches until Monday afternoon. Correct! I At this point, both waves will produce WSW level snows across most of the area. Our main gripe is what we do with C MN counties for wave 1 due to WW.Y type impacts/accum. I'm still waiting for the rug to get pulled out from under my feet but I'll save my met thoughts for the AFD. EDIT: We're just going to message the clipper's impacts for tonight/Monday. If we didn't have this on the door step I'd likely have something out for it, too. Edited February 19, 2023 by MidwestWX Clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 19, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 19, 2023 What a massive storm. I, too, am glad I don't have to deal with all the ice. Thinking of you, Northern neighbors, and hoping it trends colder so you're more snow than ice ice baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 (edited) Wow great euro run for my area. 10-12” with a snow to sleet event. Definitely came a bit south this run. Edited February 19, 2023 by SNOWBOB11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 Euro dropping a foot here; hesitant to believe that as I’m right on the edge of the mixing profiles. Guess we’ll see what short term guidance shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicagosnow Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 I'm somewhat worried this could trend south with the ice. Hopefully not though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 (edited) Either way somebody is getting a nasty icestorm out of this Edited February 19, 2023 by StormfanaticInd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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