Wtkidz Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 18z gfs FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 6, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 6, 2023 A fair number of GFS members show a bit of a comma head/cold conveyor belt type set up. Verbatim, these scenarios might not have a ton of QPF, but it would probably be higher ratio stuff. First wave looks like only northern NY/NE has a shot at frozen stuff. Some variability with this second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 will there be a storm maybe is it winter LOL maybe so its a winter storm but 50 deg and rain in ct so will watch it but time is getting short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 2 hours ago, Brodozer1 said: will there be a storm maybe is it winter LOL maybe so its a winter storm but 50 deg and rain in ct so will watch it but time is getting short This winter is falling in line with those record setting season lows from years past. Don’t get your hopes up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 (edited) This La Niña Southeast ridge is absolutely no joke. This seasons done. Edited February 6, 2023 by PA road DAWG 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 6, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted February 6, 2023 Life? Or.. Mirage? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 6, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted February 6, 2023 Snow map.. for fun ⛄️ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 7, 2023 Biggest storm of the year? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 7, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted February 7, 2023 GFS put together 2 consecutive.. well, that’s something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted February 7, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Penn State said: GFS put together 2 consecutive.. well, that’s something. I knew that earthquake was a sign from up above 😅😅 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathertop Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 (edited) 6 hours ago, Penn State said: GFS put together 2 consecutive.. well, that’s something. Now…3 in a row. Got a funny feeling Lucy is getting ready to yank the Super Bowl snow football away from Charlie Brown soon.😂 Edited February 7, 2023 by Weathertop Observation: Looks like the storm takes its time deeper into Sunday on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 7, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted February 7, 2023 30 minutes ago, Weathertop said: Now…3 in a row. Got a funny feeling Lucy is getting ready to yank the Super Bowl snow football away from Charlie Brown soon.😂 😂 That’s what I’m thinking too.. but who knows. I’ll ride the wave for the moment. The models could decide to really taunt us and all agree on this solution just to suppress OTS in the last 36 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rush Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 GFS since last night. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 7, 2023 Ukie detaches the closed SE low from the westerlies and really slows things down. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 Only GFS showing a mess. Others showing, if they do at all, to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 7, 2023 (edited) Normally the Navgem being in this position would make sense for a coastal storm. Part of the problem that Jay, I and others have mentioned is that we can't really figure out the biases anymore. Seems weird the progressive Navgem is closing off that low over the SE but the Euro isn't. The lack of storms to track and test biases over the last two years is not helping us. On the other hand the 500mb chart has that low just rolling off the SE, which typically doesn't result in a storm coming up the coast very far. Theres a zonal flow over the top that will keep it from coming up, unless that kink over WY or the shortwave on the MN/CAN border come into play. There's also the particularly strong SER this year that could force the 500mb low further north, which I think is what the GFS is seeing. Edited February 7, 2023 by StretchCT 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 I'm all in on member 3 of 6z EPS... 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 6 hours ago, clm said: Only GFS showing a mess. Others showing, if they do at all, to the south. And in the latest run, we've gone south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 7, 2023 26 minutes ago, clm said: And in the latest run, we've gone south. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 This one is kind of looking like a lottery prize. Gotta have a whole lotta things line up just right and only a couple people gonna win. It's not far off from declaring me a winner at this stage so just looking for a couple minor enhancements but definitely in the ball park here in sw VA. Gonna piss off a lot of people no matter where this one hits though. Real narrow window. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 7, 2023 17 minutes ago, 1816 said: This one is kind of looking like a lottery prize. Gotta have a whole lotta things line up just right and only a couple people gonna win. It's not far off from declaring me a winner at this stage so just looking for a couple minor enhancements but definitely in the ball park here in sw VA. Gonna piss off a lot of people no matter where this one hits though. Real narrow window. A "venn diagram" storm perhaps. Where does the cold, moisture, and lift overlap? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 How dare the gfs tease us. How dare you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 8, 2023 43 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said: How dare the gfs tease us. How dare you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 hour ago, PA road DAWG said: How dare the gfs tease us. How dare you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rush Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 It hurts to get missed by snow 50 miles to your north. Its absolutely devastating to get missed 50 miles to your south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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