Moderators telejunkie Posted January 18, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, Brodozer1 said: we need one at the bench mark please You'll definitely want to follow the storm on the 25-26th. 12z Euro looked like a big hit for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 We now have the ICON/UKMET with snow to the coast. GFS warmest and CMC/EURO middle ground. I think CMC/EURO is a good middle ground/ bet at this juncture. Obviously things can change but that seems the most likely ATM. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Honing. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CryptoWeather Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 EPS Mean so close to something good for all 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 18, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 18, 2023 14 minutes ago, CryptoWeather said: EPS Mean so close to something good for all It definitely looks like it's locking in to me.. Those members are pretty tight. Looks like more speed differences than placement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, Penn State said: It definitely looks like it's locking in to me.. Those members are pretty tight. Looks like more speed differences than placement. Yes the euro looks like it's in good agreement with its ensemble members and a solid middle ground. Hard to argue against its current output ATM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 PARD should he happy with today's models, so he can stop saying cutter cutter cutter lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 18, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted January 18, 2023 I should be somewhat cautious.. I feel I'm at the risk of model hugging the ECMWF. There's still quite a bit of variation in regard to track and precipitation type. If climatology is a guide, it is January.. the cold should have an advantage for interior parts of Maryland and northern Virginia, throughout the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted January 18, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 hour ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: PARD should he happy with today's models, so he can stop saying cutter cutter cutter lol. Did anybody lock in the 12z Euro for him yet? Need to get someone on that if not.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted January 18, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 18, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Penn State said: If climatology is a guide, it is January.. the cold should have an advantage for interior parts of Maryland and northern Virginia, throughout the Northeast. Unfortunately there just isn't a whole lot of cold air around. It's been raining since 4 am here. Currently 38F. I mean, check out this map from 4:45 this evening. There is just no polar air to be found. Edited January 18, 2023 by telejunkie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, telejunkie said: Did anybody lock in the 12z Euro for him yet? Need to get someone on that if not.... My lock is on, hope it holds And we don't have any pro thieves living in the deep interior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 18, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 18, 2023 Wondering if there any the effect from any snow that falls tomorrow and Friday on the models. The events are spaced pretty tightly, so one would think the models will have honed in on it. So who knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 JMA looks like a bomb 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 18z ICON and GFS fwtw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 18, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 18, 2023 975mb, low party at my place. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 18, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 18, 2023 Comparing the GFS to the Euro is amusing me 😄. But at least it's arriving at a decision. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted January 18, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 18, 2023 Pretty good coverage this last run of the GFS Ens. Even to the coast in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 so here we go....Euro vs. GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 19, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 19, 2023 18z GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 21 minutes ago, MaineJay said: 18z GEFS Not many inland tracks.. more of a how close to the coast will it be deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 JMA 18z not backing down. Only goes out to 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 hours ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: PARD should he happy with today's models, so he can stop saying cutter cutter cutter lol. This will undoubtedly shift NW. they all have this season. Haven’t had a pure all snow event yet, even up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 18z EPS shifted 25 miles NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted January 19, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 hours ago, Penn State said: I should be somewhat cautious.. I feel I'm at the risk of model hugging the ECMWF. There's still quite a bit of variation in regard to track and precipitation type. If climatology is a guide, it is January.. the cold should have an advantage for interior parts of Maryland and northern Virginia, throughout the Northeast. Unfortunately there is no cold to force this, nor is the PNA in a good position. A poor PNA can be handled by a other mitigating factors, however, with no HP to anchor and very little cold air and well... I would think this is an inland runner or a cutter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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