TLChip Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 At least I’ll be heading to NH soon to see the mythical white stuff 🤣. Closing in on this storm, hope you northern folks continue to collect the goods ☃️ 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 (edited) 2 hours ago, MaineJay said: I'm very lucky to have the coastal front, which behaves in a fairly predictable manner. Track certainly matters, but it's often dictated by said front. We just can't get a decent cold air mass in place to ram some moisture into. Hopefully a building snowpack can provide some second half of the season help 6z GFS was a cyclone making machine, so seems active at the very least. I don't think I've had one cold snow storm this winter. There has been a threat of rain for each storm this winter. The only time I feel like it was cold was at Christmas. Edited January 21, 2023 by TheRex 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 (edited) 2 hours ago, JDClapper said: Back this way, as we have known for days, riding the line of do we mix/changeover or not, or a little, or a lot, or maybe a teensy bit or mega lots. NAM is warm fmby, RGEM and ICON keep the line south of here by like 20 miles or so. No way to know for certain until tomorrow night. Same here. Edited January 21, 2023 by HVSNOWSTORM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 General roundup of snowmaps for fun. General widespread 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 21, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, TheRex said: I don't think I've had one cold snow storm this winter. There has been a threat of rain for each storm and this winter. The only time I feel like it was cold was at Christmas. The December 15-16 storm was all snow, but it was DENSE. This latest storm was downright enjoyable to snow blow. Hopefully Ole Man Winter has some enjoyable storms for us before spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 21, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: General roundup of snowmaps for fun. General widespread 1-3". Shows how much the NAM12km is out of sync. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 10 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: General roundup of snowmaps for fun. General widespread 1-3". So if the GFS already "won"... then is it losing now, showing the colder scenario? I'm not sure how that works. 🤔😄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Euro looking a bit better for most of PA,NNJ,HV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Actually much better both on the front and back end, it's doing what the gfs was with the backend banding extending into the HV and changing any rain mix back to snow. This feature is on all models some stronger than others looks like gfs and euro have it strongest ... Wow big big back end dump for CT and a bit into SENY AND SNE.. 12z vs 6z snow and gif. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, HVSNOWSTORM said: Actually much better both on the front and back end, it's doing what the gfs was with the backend banding extending into the HV and changing any rain mix back to snow. This feature is on all models some stronger than others looks like gfs and euro have it strongest ... Wow big big back end dump for CT and a bit into SENY AND SNE.. 12z vs 6z snow and gif. Gah, I get so tired of these flip a coin wait and see snow/rain storms. Just be one or the other already. 🙂 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Expecting nothing but rain here in Central, Connecticut the rest of January somebody please surprise me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Pops for 1,2,4+ through 7am Monday. Updated at 9:52am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 (edited) Long range hrrr is way south with the snow. And it's still going at this point for all EPA and SENY eastward. Edited January 21, 2023 by HVSNOWSTORM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 HRRR 12Z loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Euro gfs and now hrrr have a nice deformation band extending back into CT and SENY on Monday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 NAM looks like it will be colder... let's see where this goes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted January 21, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 21, 2023 first model of the 12z suite I look at is NAM and it puts me square in the bullseye....then I come here and ya'll bum me out saying it's out of whack... SREF mean showing at about 5" about 20 miles to my north. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 (edited) 4 minutes ago, telejunkie said: first model of the 12z suite I look at is NAM and it puts me square in the bullseye....then I come here and ya'll bum me out saying it's out of whack... SREF mean showing at about 5" about 20 miles to my north. I personally am not the biggest fan of the 12z NAM lol. I prefer the gfs euro hrrr at this point lol. 12z Euro would do you solid tho. Edited January 21, 2023 by HVSNOWSTORM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Yea nam is much colder for the southern fringe. Great moves today on essentily every model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 18z vs 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 can't belive models actually went south in favor of more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 21, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 21, 2023 48 minutes ago, telejunkie said: first model of the 12z suite I look at is NAM and it puts me square in the bullseye....then I come here and ya'll bum me out saying it's out of whack... SREF mean showing at about 5" about 20 miles to my north. The 12z NAM giveth, the 18z NAM taketh away for us northern fringe folk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 41 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: Yea nam is much colder for the southern fringe. Great moves today on essentily every model Peeked at 15z sref quick and was pleased, nice to see the warmest outlier come back to the others. I was feeling bummed for a bit haha Of course, none of it matters at the end of the day, we shall see how it shakes out tomorrow evening. 🙂 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 22 minutes ago, MaineJay said: The 12z NAM giveth, the 18z NAM taketh away for us northern fringe folk. Don't be greedy I'm trying to get a couple inches, you down graded to like 6" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 21, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, HVSNOWSTORM said: Don't be greedy I'm trying to get a couple inches, you down graded to like 6" lol Lol. I just want enough to snowblow. I hate when it's only like an inch or 2, and just gets driven over. Turns the driveway into a skating rink. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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