January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[Grace]

Both CMC & GFS OP were NW of their Ensemble mean, Euro Op was close to its mean. There's not a lot of difference in the EPS, CMC, GEFS ensemble mean.

 

Next...most of the EPS ensembles have snow very close to the SLP. So it's stacked a little different than what one might think. Examples

EPS Control

EPS #8

 

Next...the 0z of EPS, CMC, & GEFS ensemble means did not change much from 0z:

 

Edited January 19, 2023 by Grace

[easton229]

Good thing we’re only a week away and won’t stress this one for the next 7 days 😂

[Grace]

24 minutes ago, Grace said:

Both CMC & GFS OP were NW of their Ensemble mean, Euro Op was close to its mean. There's not a lot of difference in the EPS, CMC, GEFS ensemble mean.

 

Next...most of the EPS ensembles have snow very close to the SLP. So it's stacked a little different than what one might think. Examples

EPS Control

EPS #8

 

Next...the 0z of EPS, CMC, & GEFS ensemble means did not change much from 0z:

 

 

The last snow image is not supposed to be in the post & I cannot remove it for some reason. Just ignore it. 

[Pghsnow]

[Ohiobuckeye45]

substantial differences this run already

[BuckeyeGal]

Why the heck did it move due north?

[Ohiobuckeye45]

leads to an intially warmer outcome

Just now, BuckeyeGal said:

Why the heck did it move due north?

the trough positioning despite a similar outcome, was nearly vertical by the time it became unclosed.....at least thats how i saw it

[junior]

GFS still has that ull in the plains where the other models do not. Nice hit for IN/MI

Edited January 19, 2023 by junior

[BuckeyeGal]

It’s a beast, though.

[easton229]

Oh man that GFS run 😍 setting up pure heartbreak.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

GFS and ECM are on different planets

 

[MesoscaleBanding]

4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

GFS and ECM are on different planets

 

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[SNOWBOB11]

GFS is really close to a great storm for me here. Just need a slight nudge east. With the euro being further east I think I’m in a good spot. We will see how the later models shift around.

[RobB]

11 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

 

Long live King Uncertainty! 😜

[bigben89]

40 minutes ago, SNOWBOB11 said:

GFS is really close to a great storm for me here. Just need a slight nudge east. With the euro being further east I think I’m in a good spot. We will see how the later models shift around.

No one knows where “here” is. Just saying.

[Ingyball]

Some good hits on the 18z GEFS here. We'll see if the north shifts happen again and I end up getting crushed or this storm ends up being the one that doesn't do it. Lol

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[StormfanaticInd]

I just can't get excited anymore. Lol 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[SNOWBOB11]

I’m on mobile and the site is cutting off the right side members but you can see there’s a strong signal for a decent storm on many members.

Edited January 20, 2023 by SNOWBOB11

[SNOWBOB11]

And probably a bit more east than GFS op.

[TheBlizzardOf1978]

A storm to watch next week! In a winter with little snow, this storm has the potential to add to our total. Stay tuned!

 

[Grace]

2 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

 

Pull the ull to Texas like Euro, ICON, GEM & 18z GFS would've been a bomb for OV. 

Edited January 20, 2023 by Grace

[Grace]

18z EPS