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January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm


MesoscaleBanding

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10 minutes ago, Snow____ said:

HRRR took a crap at 22z. In the RAP camp now. I’m hanging on by a thread.

I dunno…. the RAP and HRRR seem to be flipping and flopping right now.  I wouldn’t worry too much yet.

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7 minutes ago, JayPSU said:

I dunno…. the RAP and HRRR seem to be flipping and flopping right now.  I wouldn’t worry too much yet.

See, just like that the new HRRR goes over 3” which is double the prior run and about the same as the run before.  My point is models are struggling with the southern fringe.  Definitely a wait and see forecast.

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2-4" seems reasonable around here. Messy morning commute but better in the afternoon when the temps rise with our low party. Hopefully the front thump produces.

Edited by junior
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Back in the saddle.  I have about 8 pages to catch-up on but I did just now check the latest runs.  Wow, models still flipping and flopping on that front end snow...such a challenge to forecast.  Exciting stuff.

The last two SREF updates forthcoming around 8ish.

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