January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[Ohiobuckeye45]

the good news is according to both the GEFS and EPS tomorrow should be the warmest day for at least 2 weeks 

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

well at least the Euro's dancing partner initialized on time 

[RobB]

Current Radar/OBS.  Decent amount of lightning with the system

[Ohiobuckeye45]

Just now, RobB said:

Current Radar/OBS.  Decent amount of lightning with the system

any measurement obs yet?

[RobB]

3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

any measurement obs yet?

Circled the higher amounts.

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

 

 

[FortySixAnd32]

Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

 

 

Gosh Nammit!!!!

[ClicheVortex2014]

Underachieved here. Looks like maybe 3" of snow at most. Not bothered by it because I did put it in an AFD that I wouldn't be surprised if we underachieve if the models aren't handling the moisture right because of convection in SE TX. Now... is that the reason? Not sure because I slept through the snowfall

[Iceresistance]

7 minutes ago, RobB said:

Circled the higher amounts.

 

It looks like town got 2 inches!

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[BuckeyeGal]

Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Keep coming South.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

bad time for a 3 oclock meeting, someone else will have to takeover the obsessive compare graphics

[Jaf316]

NAM me, baby! 

[BuckeyeGal]

1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

bad time for a 3 oclock meeting, someone else will have to takeover the obsessive compare graphics

I have bus duty or I would lol. 

[ak9971]

Also slight SE nudge on the 3km as well.

[BuckeyeGal]

Just now, ak9971 said:

Also slight SE nudge on the 3km as well.

It looks NW (at least with snow bands) in Ohio. 

[Ingyball]

It's the dang coastal transfer that might rob me of good snow. We'll see what a stronger surface low can do with the precip shield. 

[cperry29]

18z HRRR 

[ak9971]

Just now, BuckeyeGal said:

It looks NW (at least with snow bands) in Ohio. 

Yeah, the low in hours 15-18ish are slightly SE but pretty much same location. Less moisture one the SE side, cutoff is absolutely brutal...

[Ohiobuckeye45]

3 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

meh, I'm not too worried about snow melt....cant even see tips of the grass yet here. It is 35 and mostly cloudy but in January thats not a recipe for rapid melt. Once we near the 4 oclock hour that pretty much puts a wrap on that. In regards to the areas that do keep a snowpack. I will not be shocked to see areas hold a WWA for FZ drizzle. While the snowpack won't cool it down enough for snow...it will absolutely give WAA hell trying to takeover. We've seen situations before where post warm front snows it was expected to turn over to rain/drizzle and ended up never happening and being left with a wintry mix all day until the low move off to the NE. I have really high hopes of taking 6''+ of snow (3-4'' leftover from here and 4+ tomorrow) in to Thursday and hopefully beyond. Its already heavy water content so its gonna take more than a couple days in the mid to upper 30s in January to rid it

 

theres a new color in town

 

[SNOWBOB11]

What a great time for the euro to be down lol.

[beaver56]

Just now, SNOWBOB11 said:

What a great time for the euro to be down lol.

Be patient. New data is being loaded and will show 12+ inches from Missouri / Iowa through eastern Pennsylvania border.  Even the fills in the snow dome of the SE Michigan area with 12+.  (I hope I didn't miss anyone!)😆

[CleLakeEffect]

3 minutes ago, beaver56 said:

Be patient. New data is being loaded and will show 12+ inches from Missouri / Iowa through eastern Pennsylvania border.  Even the fills in the snow dome of the SE Michigan area with 12+.  (I hope I didn't miss anyone!)😆

🤣

[StormfanaticInd]

Seems like the models are coming in heavier 

[beaver56]

Warm air is going to be an issue with this per NAM.  Also melt may be worse initially because temps are warm in some areas today.