January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[Snow____]

Looking like this system wants to give everyone who hasn’t seen snow this winter a good wallop.

[RobB]

Current radar and OBS

[Columbusbuckeye]

9 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

The heavy band in Ohio didn't budge. 

Edited January 24, 2023 by Columbusbuckeye

[Hiramite]

12Z mid-range runs:

No appreciable change to tracks and strength from yesterday’s runs according to my eyes (yeah some wiggles and wobbles). RAP didn’t have a full length run yesterday at this time but it appears to have moved west and is the strongest of the group. And I added the NAM 3K.

I won’t be around for the Euro to complete its 12Z run, but I’ll try to get the GFS and GEM out.

 

[beaver56]

 

I really this met and I think his map is pretty responsible.

[easton229]

18 minutes ago, Snow____ said:

Looking like this system wants to give everyone who hasn’t seen snow this winter a good wallop.

I’d pay a lot of money for that to verify.

[Hiramite]

3 minutes ago, easton229 said:

I’d pay a lot of money for that to verify.

Donations to the site gladly accepted.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

GEFS 

[junior]

Sun out full melt mode atm.

[RobB]

Just now, junior said:

Sun out full melt mode atm.

Due points below 32 keeping the melt from being any faster but yeah, melty melty.  36 degrees at the house!

[Hiramite]

IMO, a fairly uncommon situation here with a seemingly/hopefully significant front end snow in some areas.  With a low tracking near MBY, I'll certainly be happy with a few inches then having it survive the warmth before heading into the late week for a fresh topping.

[JayPSU]

Just now, RobB said:

Due points below 32 keeping the melt from being any faster but yeah, melty melty.  36 degrees at the house!

33F here largely due to a hazy start to the day.  But the sun is slowly creeping out as of 11am....melting to commence...

[ceciliaky]

38 minutes ago, Cheezemm2 said:

I think we're going to see similar storm stories over the next few weeks.  I could see variations of this storm repeating quite a bit with the track shifting back and forth a state at a time each storm.  Don't get too discouraged if you're not getting blasted, there is still hope.

 

 

not so fast in the lower OV, says Louisville NWS .... 

[Hiramite]

2 minutes ago, junior said:

Sun out full melt mode atm.

 

2 minutes ago, RobB said:

Due points below 32 keeping the melt from being any faster but yeah, melty melty.  36 degrees at the house!

Yeah, lots of breaks in the clouds unfortunately.  I hope it wont be the worse case of daytime breaks followed by night time clouds.

[cperry29]

UK stingy on the southern edge.

[Snow____]

Now would be a good time for the short rangers to start trending that initial plume of moisture back SE. That’s where my accumulations were mostly coming from. Without that I’d be lucky to see a flake.

[Hiramite]

12Z Globals. 
 

Since I won’t have time for the Euro, here are the other three.  Things just aren’t changing track wise.  The Americans (GFS including NAM, RAP) are western most.  Canadians have the east side.  Europeans seem to hold the middle ground.

I’ll be back later tonight.

[Indygirl]

Indy, still coming up with some big totals! 
 

 

[JayPSU]

3 minutes ago, Snow____ said:

Now would be a good time for the short rangers to start trending that initial plume of moisture back SE. That’s where my accumulations were mostly coming from. Without that I’d be lucky to see a flake.

Yep.  The short rangers have sniffed out a trend of bringing in the initial thump and then quickly lifting it north.  Not good for those of us along I-71.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

meh, I'm not too worried about snow melt....cant even see tips of the grass yet here. It is 35 and mostly cloudy but in January thats not a recipe for rapid melt. Once we near the 4 oclock hour that pretty much puts a wrap on that. In regards to the areas that do keep a snowpack. I will not be shocked to see areas hold a WWA for FZ drizzle. While the snowpack won't cool it down enough for snow...it will absolutely give WAA hell trying to takeover. We've seen situations before where post warm front snows it was expected to turn over to rain/drizzle and ended up never happening and being left with a wintry mix all day until the low move off to the NE. I have really high hopes of taking 6''+ of snow (3-4'' leftover from here and 4+ tomorrow) in to Thursday and hopefully beyond. Its already heavy water content so its gonna take more than a couple days in the mid to upper 30s in January to rid it

 

[RobB]

1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

meh, I'm not too worried about snow melt....cant even see tips of the grass yet here. It is 35 and mostly cloudy but in January thats not a recipe for rapid melt. Once we near the 4 oclock hour that pretty much puts a wrap on that. In regards to the areas that do keep a snowpack. I will not be shocked to see areas hold a WWA for FZ drizzle. While the snowpack won't cool it down enough for snow...it will absolutely give WAA hell trying to takeover. We've seen situations before where post warm front snows it was expected to turn over to rain/drizzle and ended up never happening and being left with a wintry mix all day until the low move off to the NE. I have really high hopes of taking 6''+ of snow (3-4'' leftover from here and 4+ tomorrow) in to Thursday and hopefully beyond. Its already heavy water content so its gonna take more than a couple days in the mid to upper 30s in January to rid it

 

Oh you northern peeps! 🙂

[Snow____]

6 minutes ago, Indygirl said:

Indy, still coming up with some big totals! 
 

 

You guys look set and with the recent trends of uptick in qpf looks like some of you guys may push a foot

[JayPSU]

3 minutes ago, Snow____ said:

You guys look set and with the recent trends of uptick in qpf looks like some of you guys may push a foot

Yep...this is an Indy special.  Enjoy, folks!

[JayPSU]

5 minutes ago, RobB said:

Oh you northern peeps! 🙂

Yeah, the Delaware, Ohio folks are in much better shape than the Columbus area folks.  As always...  😀

[Indygirl]

1 minute ago, JayPSU said:

Yep...this is an Indy special.  Enjoy, folks!

I’m in southern Hamilton county, about 20 minutes north of Indy. 
 

We are alwayyyys on the edge of snow lines lol.