January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[Ingyball]

Biggest difference between the 06z and 12z NAM is that the 06z re-intensifies the upper low over north-central Texas later today with a closed 546 isobar, while the 12z NAM keeps it the same strength until further down the road. Definitely something to watch in mesoanalysis. 

[easton229]

Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

3km compare up in some down in some

There’s my 20 miles north I needed.

[beaver56]

1 minute ago, cperry29 said:

Hmmm… 🤷🏻‍♂️

I noticed the same thing.

[Pros3lyte]

2 minutes ago, easton229 said:

There’s my 20 miles north I needed.

Looks like a 3"-4" event for us. Normally I'd be annoyed to be a couple counties away, but a nice little coating to set the mood without the crippling shoveling or impassable roads sounds perfect. Maybe its a sign that I'm getting old lol

[OSUWx2]

I will not get NAM’ed

I will not get NAM’ed

I will not get NAM’ed

[cperry29]

FV3. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

6z EPS, euro/eps still give central Ohio (at least western) more than a fair shot at ULL snows

 

 

[Wxwatchman]

Actual future zoomed in footage of me on that run... Life on the edge 😄

[Chambana]

14 minutes ago, Wxwatchman said:

Actual future zoomed in footage of me on that run... Life on the edge 😄

CMI jackpot. Bank it 😆

[RobB]

RGEM

[Snow____]

RGEM definitely took a nice jog NW. 

[Iceresistance]

Heavy snow at OK-74 and Kilpatrick Turnpike in Northern Oklahoma City, this is from a ODOT camera

[FortySixAnd32]

https://www.weather.gov/iln/ilnbrf

 

Food for thought.....

[RobB]

Normally I tell friends/family what to expect with snow totals.  1 to 10 inches ought to cover it 😉

[RadioWX]

Just now, RobB said:

Normally I tell friends/family what to expect with snow totals.  1 to 10 inches ought to cover it 😉

big risk/reward area on the southern edge of these maps.  If the warm nose the NAM is advertising happens, some big bust potential on some of these warning areas  (south of 70 in IN and OH)

 

[RobB]

Already 34 at the house.  A bit of sun....

[ryanmkay]

No surprise here.....

 

A midlevel dry slot down to 600mb has been introduced in the steeper
low track 24.00Z NAM solution. This dry slot was substantial enough
to show the saturation stripping out through the entirety of the
DGZ.

 

Edit: also this, lol

 

With the onset of the accumulating snowfall some 26 to 27
hours out, feel there is time yet before headline decisions need to
be made. Based on the more bullish of model solutions, the likely
timeframe to meet warning criteria would be after 21Z Wednesday,
some 36 hours out.

Edited January 24, 2023 by ryanmkay

[Snow____]

7 minutes ago, RadioWX said:

big risk/reward area on the southern edge of these maps.  If the warm nose the NAM is advertising happens, some big bust potential on some of these warning areas  (south of 70 in IN and OH)

 

With the short rangers I’m willing to bet some of the warnings bust but we’ll see. Got a whole day of these short rangers to change their tune. But I don’t see 4-6 happening here. 

Edited January 24, 2023 by Snow____

[RobB]

1 minute ago, Snow____ said:

With the short rangers I’m willing to bet some of the warnings bust but we’ll see. Got a whole day of these short rangers to change their tune. But I don’t see 4-6 happening here. 

Hopefully you'll be surprised but yeah, 4 to 6 looks to be tough. Hopefully you get hit by major banding.

[Iceresistance]

@Ingyball

Heavy Snow for your area

[cperry29]

Hot off the press from ILN for Ohio

folks 😜

[Michelle]

1 minute ago, cperry29 said:

Hot off the press from ILN for Ohio

folks 😜

Not buying it for Xenia. Too close to the 3-4" line. By midnight that will probably be 1-2". 

[beaver56]

4 minutes ago, cperry29 said:

Hot off the press from ILN for Ohio

folks 😜

6 to 8. 3 to 5 is my guess. Seen this show before.

[cperry29]

Just now, Michelle said:

Not buying it for Xenia. Too close to the 3-4" line. By midnight that will probably be 1-2". 

Same boat as me. 50 mile shift means 1” or 3-4.” It’s less stressful to just watch the radar. 

[Snow____]

12 minutes ago, RobB said:

Hopefully you'll be surprised but yeah, 4 to 6 looks to be tough. Hopefully you get hit by major banding.

I’m hoping for some surprises. Just need a good couple bands of heavy snow to make me happy.