January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[StormfanaticInd]

4 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Excited for central Indiana. It's been so long since y'all have gotten pummeled. 

Not set in stone just yet but one can hope. We are long over due

[MesoscaleBanding]

7 minutes ago, mafa said:

It may be noise, but that heavy band on the RGEM is slowly shifting south east from 24 hrs ago. 
 

I've learned to never discount the RGEM. It has won several storms in recent memory

[Ingyball]

The hourly models are still playing catch up with the northward extent of the Precip shield. This may not impact the track downstream, but it will definitely impact those on the northwest side of this storm. 

[RobB]

Current radar and OBS:

[RobB]

Should be fun to track this bugger, even with confidence in my back yard not that hot.  Good stuff!

[Jpfalcon]

4-8" seems like a good bet here. Fired up the snowblower yesterday and thankfully it ran well, gonna need it tomorrow.

[RobB]

Pretty cool seeing how the precip is cooling 2 meter temps:

 

[StormfanaticInd]

Control 06z

[Indygirl]

I bout just had a cow, lol!
 

Our local tv CBS had up graphics a few minutes ago….they had criteria showing for storm warning, storm watch AND blizzard alongside the Indiana state map of current warnings lol!
All in the pink colors! 
 

Anyone seeing that at a passing glance would think we’d gotten bumped up to a blizzard 🥶 warning! 

 

[easton229]

6 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

Control 06z

All I ask for is a 20 mile nudge to the north.

[StormfanaticInd]

 

[easton229]

3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

 

Lol DTX. Ever the conservatives who will wait until snow flies to issue any type of warning or advisory.

[BuckeyeGal]

My point-and-click now says potentially 7-10 inches by Thursday night. Whaaaat.

Quote

Today

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. 

Tonight

Snow, mainly after 2am. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 27. East wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. 

Wednesday

Rain and snow, possibly mixed with sleet before 11am, then rain likely, possibly mixed with sleet between 11am and 2pm, then rain likely after 2pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 37. Breezy, with an east wind 14 to 22 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. 

Wednesday Night

Rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all snow after 10pm. Low around 30. West wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. 

Thursday

A chance of snow showers, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 33. West wind 11 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. 

Thursday Night

A chance of snow showers before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

 

[Hiramite]

15 & 21Z SREF Update:

Generally speaking, small increases north of I-70, small decreases south of I-70.  Nice increases out in IL and OK.

I won't be around for the 2PM (03Z) update but will include it in my 8PM (15Z) update.

@Cheezemm2 please note Royal Blue included.

 

15z & 21Z SREF update.(also includes 15z, 21Z, 3Z, 9Z) 

Toledo (TOL)- 3.5/3.3/4.1/4.2   Cleveland (CLE)- 2.6/3.3/3.4/4.0     

Youngstown (YNG)- 2.8/3.2/2.7/3.3  

Findlay (FDY)- 3.2/3.3/3.8/3.8     Marion, OH (MNN)- 3.3/2.9/3.2/3.4    

 Sidney, OH (ROD)- 3.7/3.6/3.6/3.4         

Dayton-S (MGY)- 2.5/2.7/2.6/2.3    Hamilton, OH (HAO)- 2.3/2.1/1.6/1.3 

  Covington (CVG)- 2.0/1.7/1.4/0.9    

Columbus (CMH)- 2.2/2.4/1.9/1.6      Mt. Vernon, OH- 3.1/3.1/3.1/2.5 

  Zanesville (ZZV)- 1.6/1.9/1.7/1.2       

Flint (FNT)- 3.5/4.7/4.3/4.9      Detroit (DTW)- 3.8/4.0/4.1/4.5          

Indy (IND)- 4.7/5.1/4.3/4.5     Decatur IL (DEC)- 5.0/6.0/6.2/7.8     

Shawnee OK (SNL)- 8.0/7.8/7.6/10.4

[BuckeyeGal]

Verbiage for the WWA is 4"-6", too. We'll see if we get a last-minute upgrade. 🙂

[RobB]

FWIW

 

12Z HRRR 36 hour snows:

[Snow____]

HRRR certainly looking better than RAP. 

[Hiramite]

51 minutes ago, RobB said:

Temperatures in southeastern portions of the region will warm quite a bit on Wednesday with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Northwest of Interstate 71 is expected to only be in the 30s.

The magic of I-71 continues....

Edit to add, Rob didn't say this, it from ILN.

Edited January 24, 2023 by Hiramite

[RobB]

Just now, Snow____ said:

HRRR certainly looking better than RAP. 

RAP doesn't even bring you an QPF over its whole run...

[Snow____]

1 minute ago, RobB said:

FWIW

 

12Z HRRR 36 hour snows:

Hard for me to go against short range models this close to the event. And they’ve both taken the majority of the snow NW of me. I’ll keep an eye throughout the day though. 

[RobB]

Just now, Hiramite said:

The magic of I-71 continues....

Seems like I-71 is more of a thing than I-70.  Of course, memories are fickle but it always seemed North of 70 was a thing where I live..LOL

[Snow____]

1 minute ago, RobB said:

RAP doesn't even bring you an QPF over its whole run...

Getting bad lol.

[Snow____]

1 minute ago, RobB said:

RAP doesn't even bring you an QPF over its whole run...

And of course ILN has a warning for 4-6 inches lol. Can’t make it up.

[junior]

Looking good. Tapping that STJ

[Hiramite]

3 minutes ago, Snow____ said:

And of course ILN has a warning for 4-6 inches lol. Can’t make it up.