January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[BuckeyeGal]

Little disheartening with the 18z runs. Trying to keep the hope. 🙂

[Ohiobuckeye45]

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[JayPSU]

7 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

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I mean, it’s better than the NAM so…. 

[easton229]

First snow graphic from DTX. Don’t see how they don’t extend the watches based on this. Also looks very similar to the NAM.

Edited January 23, 2023 by easton229

[Hiramite]

Low Trackers are done for the day, no game tonight, snow in the forecast.....   If anyone wants to be included on the SREF Tracker, please let me know, preferably via PM, along with your "blue dot" location.

So far I have @Iceresistance on the list in Shawnee, OK. (Closest blue dot to Tecumseh, OK)

[CIWeather]

2 minutes ago, Hiramite said:

Low Trackers are done for the day, no game tonight, snow in the forecast.....   If anyone wants to be included on the SREF Tracker, please let me know, preferably via PM, along with your "blue dot" location.

So far I have @Iceresistance on the list in Shawnee, OK. (Closest blue dot to Tecumseh, OK)

Just sent you a PM. Thanks for doing this! 🙂 

[NWOhioChaser]

56 minutes ago, ncinthenext3 said:

Looks like the evening crew said OK, I'll post it.

You know that’s literally what they did. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

GFS is unchanged track wise, but a couple hours slower and slightly stronger, at times

[Ohiobuckeye45]

oddly enough, when you look at Kuchera its unchanged completely, 10:1 is the only real change in AR/MO

 

 

 

[Hiramite]

RAP jumps west at Hour42 (S IN) compared to 15z.

Edited January 23, 2023 by Hiramite

[OSUWx2]

Appropriate and reasonable “first” (or second) call by ILN. The way this is tracking, I’d be satisfied with this. 

[Central Illinois]

2 minutes ago, Hiramite said:

RAP jumps west at Hour42 (S IL)

ya big jump 

[Grace]

21z RAP moved north

 

[Central Illinois]

[Ohiobuckeye45]

4 minutes ago, Hiramite said:

RAP jumps west at Hour42 (S IN) compared to 15z.

 

2 minutes ago, Central Illinois said:

ya big jump 

dups

 

Edited January 23, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[Ohiobuckeye45]

all my Ohioans trying to withstand the body blows right now lol, can we hang on for 24 more hours

[mafa]

2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

all my Ohioans trying to withstand the body blows right now lol, can we hang on for 24 more hours

I might as well go all in until the euro caves in two hours 🤷‍♂️

[MesoscaleBanding]

3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

all my Ohioans trying to withstand the body blows right now lol, can we hang on for 24 more hours

I've seen too much model suckage to get too discouraged yet😂

[Ohiobuckeye45]

the GEFS took away most the outliers on both sides and is pretty much locked in. Oddly enough it still doesnt support the OP 

Edited January 23, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[OSUWx2]

4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

all my Ohioans trying to withstand the body blows right now lol, can we hang on for 24 more hours

What are you clinging to; a more robust “front end thump” or a more easterly track to limit as much rain/warm air as possible?

[RobB]

Just now, OSUWx2 said:

What are you clinging to; a more robust “front end thump” or a more easterly track to limit as much rain/warm air as possible?

In my back yard, it's all about the front end thump. Except for random model runs, the higher amounts I've always expected to my Northwest. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

ok wait a minute, this has me questioning the entire integrity of pivotals members maps

 

[OSUWx2]

Just now, RobB said:

In my back yard, it's all about the front end thump. Except for random model runs, the higher amounts I've always expected to my Northwest. 

Same here. I’ve seen front end thumps over perform, like early February 2014. So that’s my hope. 

[RobB]

Always remember, the storm was always taking the path it takes. Our human made models try to make the best of it with its data 😎

Edited January 23, 2023 by RobB

[Ohiobuckeye45]

3 minutes ago, OSUWx2 said:

What are you clinging to; a more robust “front end thump” or a more easterly track to limit as much rain/warm air as possible?

Yeah basically any of them that throw us 1-2'' rates in the front end with 6'' and then give us a dry slot to keep the snow around