January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[BuckeyeGal]

Just now, NWOhioChaser said:

13ABC’s Ross Ellet’s early thoughts on amounts as of this morning. He mentions mixing will be prevalent for the eastern portion of the area and track can still change with time( and a few models have the rain/snow line further NW)

Don’t want to jinx it but I think we’ll see some wobbles north today…

No. 😆

[Mulaman984]

49 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Come. On. Snowcover. I'm cheerleading you on to push this suck ever-so-slightly to the East! PUH-LEASE.

12Z hrrr…

[Grace]

12z HRRR

[Hiramite]

Thanks all for the input.  I'll do two maps, the second showing NAM, RDPS and RAP (if applicable).  No new colors until I can get to the store.  (I would prefer Honolulu Blue over Royal Blue. 🦁)

Changes can always be made to the Tracker.

[RobB]

1 minute ago, Hiramite said:

Thanks all for the input.  I'll do two maps, the second showing NAM, RDPS and RAP (if applicable).  No new colors until I can get to the store.  (I would prefer Honolulu Blue over Royal Blue. 🦁)

Changes can always be made to the Tracker.

As Colonel Henry Blake would say: "Mucho appreciado!" 🙂

[Hiramite]

3 minutes ago, RobB said:

As Colonel Henry Blake would say: "Mucho appreciado!" 🙂

[easton229]

34 minutes ago, Pros3lyte said:

DTX discussion say 4-7 inches south of 69 and 2-4 north.

Ugh. Such a disappointment. That’s not even WWA criteria for us I’m pretty sure.

I’ll gladly take 4-7” here. That’s a solid storm for us and seems to be par for the course as storms go around here. 

[Pros3lyte]

2 minutes ago, easton229 said:

I’ll gladly take 4-7” here. That’s a solid storm for us and seems to be par for the course as storms go around here. 

Hopefully it pans out for you guys down there, I know the SEMI Donut hole tends to strike you alot more than I. You definitely need a good thumping down there. Metro Detroit always looks terrible in the winter unless there's a fresh coating of white! 

I really hope this overperforms for us up there cuz we've only gotten nuisance snows all season so far. I need my kids to have a snowday so I don't have to wake up early and drive them to school! lol 

[BuckeyeGal]

Through 51, the 12z NAM is 2 ticks stronger and maybe a smidge West. 

[JayPSU]

2 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Through 51, the 12z NAM is 2 ticks stronger and maybe a smidge West. 

Still has the front end thump followed by a dry slot.  I’d take it in a heartbeat.

[BuckeyeGal]

1 minute ago, JayPSU said:

Still has the front end thump followed by a dry slot.  I’d take it in a heartbeat.

Me, too. Much rather that than rain.

[Grace]

NAM & 3km NAM 

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

not buying the overall NAM solution (I think there will be rain SE of the low), but I do think this is coming slightly NW. I've had a bit of a change of direction after seeing models very slowly tick NW plus the NAM and GFS have really never budged from their thoughts. and now with a couple GEFS and EPS members joining

[Ohiobuckeye45]

FV3

 

[easton229]

NAM 😍

[RobB]

Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

not buying the overall NAM solution (I think there will be rain SE of the low), but I do think this is coming slightly NW. I've had a bit of a change of direction after seeing models very slowly tick NW plus the NAM and GFS have really never budged from their thoughts. and now with a couple GEFS and EPS members joining

Agreed. I am definitely looking for the thump from the over running precip out in front.  To my northwest is where I expect the higher snow totals.....

[NWOhioChaser]

56 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

No. 😆

Let’s hope my hunch is wrong!

[RobB]

 

[Mulaman984]

 

[BuckeyeGal]

RGEM ticked East (same strength).

[Ohiobuckeye45]

hour 48 frames of the 3 hi res models

[Grace]

I'm only posting models that have a different narrative just to keep in mind. 

 

Edited January 23, 2023 by Grace

[BuckeyeGal]

This is essentially the perfect Snow Day snow for much of our area. GIANT THUMP OF SNOW BY DAYBREAK CAUSING SHUTDOWNS..

And then warmup to play in it. lol. 

[BuckeyeGal]

Also, I'll make a thread for the following clipper later today. It looks like the forum will be hopping over the next few weeks, too..

[Iceresistance]

The models are seriously underestimating this cold. This may have serious implications to this snowstorm.

 

the expected low was 26°F, I got down to 20°F