January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[snowlover2]

[Grace]

4 minutes ago, Grace said:

UKMET almost identical to 12z

[mafa]

Pretty solid run for UKIE even with a weaker low. That might be the key though for the OV

[snowlover2]

0z Euro

[SOMOSnow]

0z Euro 3 day snowfall through Thursday. 👇

[junior]

Looks like our energy is onshore now so I don’t expect much major shifting from run to run but rather ticks here and there which is significant for those on the line of course. Although you still want to be cautious with these storms that dive that deep into Mexico. 

Edited January 22, 2023 by junior

[Ohiobuckeye45]

The long range NAM and RGEM. the NAM I take with a grain of salt with its typical over doing of things in the LR. Trackwise similar the RGEM a little east. But how does the NAM just not have any QPF under the low? Suddenly it's just become an all snow only storm, highly doubtful. The RGEM looks more realistic on several factors 

[junior]

06z GFS ticks stronger and therefore a tick northwest atleast for IN and OH.  

[easton229]

18 minutes ago, junior said:

06z GFS ticks stronger and therefore a tick northwest atleast for IN and OH.  

Actually a good hit for SEMI too with that slight tick

[Hiramite]

0Z Low Party Tracker:

No big changes but some flipping and flopping going on.  All models eventually show a late jump to the coast once the low exits NE OH.

Ukie: no line, just X's.   Grabbed the wrong highlighter for the final location of the GFS off the EC.

Previous Trackers attached as well. (Newest to oldest)

Edit:  Just noticed the date on my latest tracker.  I'll have to check if we had a storm this date back in 2006. 🙃

Quote

 

 

 

 

Edited January 22, 2023 by Hiramite

[Iceresistance]

4 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

The long range NAM and RGEM. the NAM I take with a grain of salt with its typical over doing of things in the LR. Trackwise similar the RGEM a little east. But how does the NAM just not have any QPF under the low? Suddenly it's just become an all snow only storm, highly doubtful. The RGEM looks more realistic on several factors 

Well, I got NAMed again!

[Ohiobuckeye45]

6z eps, strength has definitely been the overnight trend. Mean of sub 1000 by Kentucky 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

The spread at hour 84 affects probably 70%+ of the entire sub region lol

Edited January 22, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[ClicheVortex2014]

23 hours ago, easton229 said:

Feel like I just saw this same comment in a different thread 😜😂

This has been a test. I'm seeing who's paying attention.

[MesoscaleBanding]

Eastern OK, Northern Ark. & S. Missouri get smoked on the 12z NAM

[MesoscaleBanding]

I-70 corridor gets a healthy thump on the 12z NAM

[MesoscaleBanding]

2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Eastern OK, Northern Ark. & S. Missouri get smoked on the 12z NAM

 

1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

I-70 corridor gets a healthy thump on the 12z NAM

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

Calling complete BS on the NAM. Never is there a low with all snow on all sides and no rain under the low or out ahead, there's virtually no WAA. This not what radar would look like

[Iceresistance]

2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

 

 

Don't forget me! I also got NAMed!

[NeXrad]

12 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Calling complete BS on the NAM. Never is there a low with all snow on all sides and no rain under the low or out ahead, there's virtually no WAA. This not what radar would look like

Dry slot? I read somewhere in this morning Louisville NWS discussion about a very distinct dry slot appearing cutting of precip it may be overdone on the model but maybe that’s what’s it’s trying to indicate 

[SNOWBOB11]

12z RGEM

[BuckeyeGal]

At this point I’m taking all models with a major, sharp, pointy grain of salt.. because it’s heavy snowing out my window right now and all these same models at this point out said something different lol.

[RobB]

With the over performance of this system today, I really can't whine if I miss on snows from here.  I probably would a little, but..You know..😁

[snowlover2]

1 minute ago, RobB said:

With the over performance of this system today, I really can't whine if I miss on snows from here.  I probably would a little, but..You know..😁

Temps should be a little colder than shown which should help things be more interesting with this.