January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[RobB]

1 minute ago, Iceresistance said:

BAMWX has mentioned that Indy is more likely to have snow than Chicago

That, I can agree with. 

[Iceresistance]

Either I'm going to be dumped, or shafted.

Edited January 21, 2023 by Iceresistance

[FortySixAnd32]

5 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Either I'm going to be dumped, or shafted.

 

[beaver56]

2 minutes ago, FortySixAnd32 said:

 

Yeah, he is shittin bricks!

You shouldn't use that word... 

He is shittin rocks! 

Best part of the whole movie for me. 

 

 

[MidMichiganWx]

Skipped about the last 18 hours to see this go way south and shrink drastically. Seems to be the theme this winter. Either not enough cold air, moisture, or both. 

[junior]

6 minutes ago, MidMichiganWx said:

Skipped about the last 18 hours to see this go way south and shrink drastically. Seems to be the theme this winter. Either not enough cold air, moisture, or both. 

It’ll probably beef up last minute of course. Buttt we need to see when the se trend stops. 

Edited January 21, 2023 by junior

[MesoscaleBanding]

GEFS mean track is the typical gold standard for those in Ohio to the NW of I-71 for good snows...

 

Edited January 21, 2023 by MesoscaleBanding

[Columbusbuckeye]

16 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

GEFS mean track is the typical gold standard for those in Ohio to the NW of I-71 for good snows...

 

Man, that's pretty perfect for us.  MBY has been snake bitten so many times with the sort of track though, so I'm trying to temper my expectations/excitement. 

[MesoscaleBanding]

2 minutes ago, Columbusbuckeye said:

Man, that's pretty perfect for us.  MBY has been snake bitten so many times with the sort of track though, so I'm trying to temper my expectations/excitement. 

We'd be riding a very fine line if that track occurred verbatim, so I'm hoping for a 30-50 mile jog further east. Would be nice to see some rapid strengthening occur once it rides up to our SE & the winds swing around to the NE - need to pull in as much cold air as possible with this marginal setup. 

[MesoscaleBanding]

Significantly weaker compared to yesterday's 12z run...

[RobB]

Such lame temps

Edited January 21, 2023 by RobB

[MesoscaleBanding]

1 minute ago, RobB said:

Such lame temps

I'm old enough to remember getting storm tracks like this with a robust cold air supply to tap into - those were the days. 😂

[RobB]

Just now, MesoscaleBanding said:

I'm old enough to remember getting storm tracks like this with a robust cold air supply to tap into - those were the days. 😂

Right?!

 

No nice big high to provide anything here....

[RobB]

Don't have access to snow depth but that may be a good thing..LOL

[MesoscaleBanding]

That was a weak, warm, ugly run...gonna try to forget about that one & remind myself nothing is sampled yet.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

But what does fall, will have staying potential, so there's that

I feel like snow depth maps usually need 50% added to them TBH. They are never has dyer as they come out, same with the opposite side with kuchera, usually took excessive 

Edited January 21, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[MesoscaleBanding]

Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

But what does fall, will have staying potential, so there's that

Absolutely - gotta love the potential starting to pop on models for the week of Jan. 30 & beyond...

[RobB]

1 pm temps the following day...Geesh

[Ohiobuckeye45]

But it's very clear, the 2022 trend of weaker is playing out. We've gone from 985 ish to it never goes sub 1000mb

[RobB]

1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

But what does fall, will have staying potential, so there's that

I feel like snow depth maps usually need 50% added to them TBH. They are never has dyer as they come out, same with the opposite side with kuchera, usually took excessive 

True..If these temps are this warm.  I don't expect too much staying power further south.  White sludge is lame..LOL

[MesoscaleBanding]

Just now, RobB said:

1 pm temps the following day...Geesh

How does a storm take a track like that & not pull in any colder temperatures in its wake over fresh snowpack?!?! 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

3 minutes ago, RobB said:

1 pm temps the following day...Geesh

Listen here debbie!!!!

[RobB]

4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Listen here debbie!!!!

Be nice if it was correct.  GEM so different

[snowlover2]

3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Listen here debbie!!!!

I believe GFS is the only one showing temps getting that cold here in a week though.

[MesoscaleBanding]

Hmmmmmm....

🤔