January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[Grace]

[Iceresistance]

25 minutes ago, Grace said:

That is a lot of images. 

[Grace]

Just now, Iceresistance said:

That is a lot of images. 

Yep. Tried to include folks 

[Grace]

18z RGEM compared to 12z CMC

 

 

[MesoscaleBanding]

18z ICON jumped NW compared to its 12z run

[Ingyball]

Wouldn't surprise me if that is the track we see on the 18z ICON but I doubt I get lucky enough for the storm to eject and go negative tilt that early lol. 

 

 

[junior]

Looks like the system arrives onshore late tomorrow/early Sunday.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

the theme of the year has been for a weaker further SE system, but the trend over well....forever, has been the stronger storms (that stay strong) will always get their NW shift. So I think that's what to look for if hoping for the southeasterly track 

[Ingyball]

10 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

the theme of the year has been for a weaker further SE system, but the trend over well....forever, has been the stronger storms (that stay strong) will always get their NW shift. So I think that's what to look for if hoping for the southeasterly track 

The caveat to this is that you can get southeast trends due to shifts in the baroclinic zones while still maintaining a strong storm. IF the GFS is right about me getting 4-5" of snow then I'd expect the southern solutions to play out.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[BuckeyeGal]

This is so close to being a whopper for ALL this sub-forum it's maddening.

[MesoscaleBanding]

Awesome! Backside heavy snow! That produces every time! 😍

💩💩💩

[Ohiobuckeye45]

a little skeptical of this front end...

[junior]

The front thump is good but its happening late night(which supports a thump itself) so if you don't stay up you probably won't see anything 😆

Edited January 20, 2023 by junior

[FortySixAnd32]

2 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

This is so close to being a whopper for ALL this sub-forum it's maddening.

It has to be a Whopper!!! The 25th is my birthday!!! 🤣🤣🤣

[RobB]

132 hour depth change is more sobering with how little cold air is around:

 

[junior]

1 minute ago, RobB said:

132 hour depth change is more sobering with how little cold air is around:

 

Its crazy because the cold is just above us in Canada waiting to drop in AFTER the storm.

[MesoscaleBanding]

Kinda blows that there is zero hope of anything better than 8-10:1 snow ratios with this. I'll gladly take it, but this will be 'heart attack' snow to shovel for whoever gets it.

[BuckeyeGal]

1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Kinda blows that there is zero hope of anything better than 8-10:1 snow ratios with this. I'll gladly take it, but this will be 'heart attack' snow to shovel for whoever gets it.

If it's white flakes, I'm on it like Donkey Kong. Don't care how heavy it is.

[BuckeyeGal]

Heyyyyy there's a clipper after this. 🤣

[MesoscaleBanding]

Kinda getting interested in the Arctic clipper system that drops down behind this storm on the 27th

[MesoscaleBanding]

Just now, BuckeyeGal said:

Heyyyyy there's a clipper after this. 🤣

Jinx

[Ohiobuckeye45]

1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Kinda getting interested in the Arctic clipper system that drops down behind this storm on the 27th

the differences in that timeframe between models is crazy, with the SE ridge of various strengths, and its under 200 hours its not like its weeks away.

Someone should create a thread just so we can say at one point during this horrific winter we had 3 going 😄 

[mafa]

13 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

a little skeptical of this front end...

Rates can cool the column

[MesoscaleBanding]

14 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

a little skeptical of this front end...

 

1 minute ago, mafa said:

Rates can cool the column

I remember an awesome front end hit a few years back that dropped about 5" in 3-4 hours along with thunder/lightning. Temps were low 30s for that one as well if I remember correctly