January 24-25, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[Ohiobuckeye45]

CMC also ticked south with the snow swath, 24 gaps arent large enough to show the entire thread. Once we get sundays storm out it will be easier

[Pghsnow]

[easton229]

6 minutes ago, Pghsnow said:

Honest question, what is the purpose of the CFS? 

[RobB]

3 minutes ago, easton229 said:

Honest question, what is the purpose of the CFS? 

Not really meant to be used for storm purposes as I am sure the resolution is not great.  Climate Forecast System is the acronym. It can be fun to look at but I never take it seriously for storm tracking.

 

The Climate Forecast System (CFS) is a model representing the global interaction between Earth's oceans, land, and atmosphere.

Edited January 20, 2023 by RobB

[Pghsnow]

2 minutes ago, easton229 said:

Honest question, what is the purpose of the CFS? 

To waste time as I wait for CMC and EURO to come out... 🙂 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

12 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

CMC also ticked south with the snow swath, 24 gaps arent large enough to show the entire thread. Once we get sundays storm out it will be easier

wait thats the 00z, 12z hasnt intialized?

[Hiramite]

With these borderline temps, the Kuchera snow maps will be closer than the 10:1 and probably the Debbie Downer "Total Snowfall Depth Change" even closer.  Quite the disparities between the three unfortunately for this storm.

[junior]

Just now, Hiramite said:

With these borderline temps, the Kuchera snow maps will be closer than the 10:1 and probably the Debbie Downer "Total Snowfall Depth Change" even closer.  Quite the disparities between the three unfortunately for this storm.

Yea looking like a pasty wet snow setup.

[RobB]

3 minutes ago, Hiramite said:

With these borderline temps, the Kuchera snow maps will be closer than the 10:1 and probably the Debbie Downer "Total Snowfall Depth Change" even closer.  Quite the disparities between the three unfortunately for this storm.

Yep yep.  Paste that looks pretty on trees.  Unless it thumps, no real road issues and no worries about blowing snow.

Edited January 20, 2023 by RobB

[RobB]

Just now, junior said:

Yea looking like a pasty wet snow setup.

We pretty much posted the same at the same time.

[Hiramite]

2 minutes ago, junior said:

Yea looking like a pasty wet snow setup.

 

2 minutes ago, RobB said:

Yep yep.  Paste that looks pretty on trees.  Unless it thumps, no real road issues and now worries about blowing snow.

As long as it's not too mushy, I like the low ratio stuff.  Better staying power.

[RobB]

Just now, Hiramite said:

 

As long as it's not too mushy, I like the low ratio stuff.  Better staying power.

Hate stepping through it though.... 🙂

[MesoscaleBanding]

GEFS:

 

[Pghsnow]

[Grace]

12z GFS OP is still NW of the GEFS mean.  

Edited January 20, 2023 by Grace

[cperry29]

Not too shabby…

[Hiramite]

In looking at the GEFS, the high north of the St. Lawrence is quite a bit stronger on the 12Z.

6Z Hour 132  1026mb,     12Z Hour 126  1030mb.

 

Edited January 20, 2023 by Hiramite

[Grace]

17 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

wait thats the 00z, 12z hasnt intialized?

 

Yea,for some reason it's GFS slow on one run now CMC. Always when we're tracking. 😄

[RobB]

UKMET snows at 10:1 including the earlier system..FWIW

[Grace]

2 minutes ago, cperry29 said:

Not too shabby…

Give me 2,5,10,11,16,17!

Give me #11 the most! 😀

[BuckeyeGal]

3 minutes ago, cperry29 said:

Not too shabby…

Uh, 11, please. Thanks. 😄

[Hiramite]

I'll probably start drawing up the "much anticipated" Low Party Tracker this weekend.

[cperry29]

1 minute ago, Grace said:

Give me 2,5,10,11,16,17!

Give me #11 the most! 😀

Right? 11 is smoking something good…

[Grace]

There's a trend...but it's not the same as it's OP trend.

 

[Pghsnow]

8 minutes ago, Grace said:

Give me 2,5,10,11,16,17!

Give me #11 the most! 😀

There are some smoke jobs on there for sure. If anyone has the Weather Bell GEFS that has all 30?