Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 16, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Something is amiss...🤡🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 12z ICON, Canadian, Euro & GFS at hour 120... 🤔 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 GFS vs. Euro (hr. 132)... 🤦♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Euro looks like another closed low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 Hour 144 comp... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Looks almost identical to the cmc, even with the trailing energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 (edited) I would gamble on whatever happens with this setup Edited January 16, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: I would gamble on whatever happens with this setup I like the Jan. 24-26 potential in our region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 Pretty good hit: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 There's so many pieces in a 180 hour time frame. So much can go right and wrong. Enjoy the ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Just now, junior said: There's so many pieces in a 180 hour time frame. So much can go right and wrong. Enjoy the ride. Yeah and honestly it didn't look like much went right between those 3 this run and still ended up solid. Now that beast coming out of the gulf further in the run...🤩 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted January 16, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 16, 2023 (edited) I'll take a cutter west of here at this point since the midweek system is trending drier rain wise here. GEFS would still be a good snow hit here for the most part though so I'm hoping for that. Edit: Worst case scenario is definitely the 12z EC here. Miss most of the rain from the first storm and then we're too far north with 2nd storm. One of the reasons why I don't mind the midweek storm to keep trending north. I'd rather the 2nd storm be north of me since the south side would be a potential drought quencher. Edited January 16, 2023 by Ingyball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 A lot of potential on the table. Just a matter of timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 The pattern change coming around this time plus all the different pieces of energy is going to make for some major shifts in track and timing of these lows. There’s going to be no point clinging on to any model run until it’s within a couple days. It’s going to be fun tracking though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 (edited) 4 hours ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Is 1 decent snowstorm in the month of January too much to ask? 🤷♂️ Absolutely it is😶 Sure like the fact there’s so many pieces of energy out there, but with this pattern Idk if something decent will come together by the end of the month. Still have to hold out hope. Law of averages and what not. Edited January 16, 2023 by NWOhioChaser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 18z gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 17, 2023 This looks to be potentially good for our friends up North.. maybe even a bullseye for SEMI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 17, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 17, 2023 (edited) 0z Euro goes pretty hard here on Saturday while GFS gives us nothing but some wind. GFS is what we've been getting this winter while Euro is what we've been occasionally teased with... so I'm fighting off the recency bias trying to dominate my mind. I did my first long-term AFD this morning. It was pretty fun. I didn't notice GFS is starting to trend toward a more closed off low over New Mexico since yesterday's 12z until this mornings 6z run. .LONG TERM ... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 240 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 The weather on Thursday will be seasonable and relatively quiet, though the same can`t be said about the rest of the period. The beginning of a potentially active weather pattern starts when a jet streak associated with a developing trough digs down the West Coast on Thursday. Guidance agrees on a trough over the Four Corner states on Friday, and a modest southerly low-level jet develops over the Panhandles. This will push temps to slightly above average. There`s currently disagreement among guidance regarding how the trough behaves this weekend. One current possibility keeps the trough positively tilted before rapidly pushing northeast. Another possibility is that the trough closes off and slowly pushes east. The former solution would keep the Panhandles dry and a little breezy, while the latter could bring some precip on Saturday. Wouldn`t rule out snow if the timing of the airmass and forcing pairs well together. However, there is currently a lot of uncertainty with this forecast. This system won`t be fully sampled until Thursday morning, so don`t anticipate guidance converging on a solution until then. It appears there will be another system that develops and impacts the Panhandles early next week. However, potential impacts are too uncertain to mention right now. Guerrero/Vanden Bosch Edited January 17, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 00z ecm was a big swing and a miss southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 I like what the ICON is smoking. Just don't believe it 🙂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 17, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 17, 2023 10 minutes ago, RobB said: I like what the ICON is smoking. Just don't believe it 🙂 Just came here to say the same thing, lol. The 12z GFS is North and warmer (as seems to be its mo for this system). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 (edited) last 5 GFS runs, in a year of nothing consistent, this is refreshing even though MBY gets screwed again Edited January 17, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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