Moderators Hiramite Posted January 22, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 22, 2023 For us N OH folks from CLE. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... As the upper-level trough begins to approach the area from the west, light to moderate snowfall has already begun across the western counties this morning, with visibilities dropping as low at 1/4SM at times. As deep moisture advection is expected to increase across the eastern counties this morning, near saturation in the DGZ will allow for efficient snowfall, with up to 1"/hour rates at times. SPC has also highlighted this heavy snow potential in a mesoscale discussion. As a result of this shift in the forecast, a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for counties along and east of I71 through tonight. Areas in the snowbelt expire Monday afternoon to account for the lake enhanced snow on the backside of the system. Although totals will be marginal with 2-4 inches expected, the potential for impacts resulting from heavy bursts of snow aided in the decision to issue the advisory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Snow____ said: To be fair for this system not much guidance had 4-6 inches falling. The hi res models started picking up on it but they weren’t going to go warning. I love a mid game warning issuance. It’s pretty exciting to me. That’s true but still there was models showing possibility . They didn’t even wanna issue a WWA till this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Snow____ said: To be fair for this system not much guidance had 4-6 inches falling. The hi res models started picking up on it but they weren’t going to go warning. I love a mid game warning issuance. It’s pretty exciting to me. I don’t think it’s about the warning…zero WWA until the snow started falling. It’s the same old same old. Edited January 22, 2023 by Mulaman984 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Bman10 said: My drive on 75 bout an hour ago. IMG_1643.MOV Making me want to go out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 22, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 22, 2023 (edited) EDIT: Issued at 8:30AM CST (9:30 EST): Edited January 22, 2023 by Hiramite 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NKYSnowLover Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Snow____ said: To be fair for this system not much guidance had 4-6 inches falling. The hi res models started picking up on it but they weren’t going to go warning. I love a mid game warning issuance. It’s pretty exciting to me. 2 minutes ago, Snow____ said: 😂😂😂😂😂 I know they really didn’t want to issue one but you really have to with 4 inches on the ground. I'm starting to learn that the best systems happen when ILN doesn't issue headlines ahead of time. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Just now, Bman10 said: That’s true but still there was models showing possibility . They didn’t even wanna issue a WWA till this morning I’d agree there. I was wondering as of last night why where wasn’t a WWA out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 On 1/19/2023 at 10:59 AM, cperry29 said: Gonna be tough to get any accumulation with temps 33-35 most of the day Sunday. Compare this to the actual snow! Wow! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Just now, Mulaman984 said: I don’t think it’s about the warning…zero WSW until the snow started falling. I was wondering why there wasn’t a WWA out when they were forecasting 1-2 inches. At the most a WWA should have 100% been issued. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MesoscaleBanding Posted January 22, 2023 Author Popular Post Share Posted January 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Issued at 8:30AM: 1 5 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jerm7861 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Wow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, BoroBuckeye said: Compare this to the actual snow! Wow! Yeah GFS dropped the ball there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, NKYSnowLover said: I'm starting to learn that the best systems happen when ILN doesn't issue headlines ahead of time. This is true. We’ve gotten the best snows when that happens lol. 2 years ago we got a surprise 6 inches. I want to say almost to the day lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Just went out and measured 4” here. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NKYSnowLover Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, BoroBuckeye said: Compare this to the actual snow! Wow! In all fairness, had the temps been 33-35°, we also wouldn't be getting what we are right now and this picture would be more the reality. The temps across the area are anywhere between 30-31. Goes to show what a measly 3-4° can do in winter when it comes to snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 10 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Somebody's going to cash in on a 6" storm out of this thing - unbelievable Hey guys sounds like you guys ate getting a nice overpeformer. Any clues as to why, colder, low farther south/east etc? Trying to look ahead to us in the NE that are on the fringes of snow/ mix/ rain. Glad you guys getting ❄️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Issued at 8:30AM: Talk about a bullseye! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michelle Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Xenia High School area. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, Snow____ said: I was wondering why there wasn’t a WWA out when they were forecasting 1-2 inches. At the most a WWA should have 100% been issued. I said the same thing yesterday when they put out a SWS saying 2-3” with locally higher. 3” here is WWA criteria. Now here we are with a WSW. Just crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 22, 2023 Author Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: Hey guys sounds like you guys ate getting a nice overpeformer. Any clues as to why, colder, low farther south/east etc? Trying to look ahead to us in the NE that are on the fringes of snow/ mix/ rain. Glad you guys getting ❄️ Anecdotally speaking, the overnight low last night dropped to 25 here, several degrees lower than the forecast. That took care of any warm ground issues & snow accumulated right away from the start. The morning snowfall has happened with temps in the 30-31 range, whereas many model runs were showing 33-34 degree snowfall. A couple degrees on the colder side has made a huge difference! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, snowlover2 said: I said the same thing yesterday when they put out a SWS saying 2-3” with locally higher. 3” here is WWA criteria. Now here we are with a WSW. Just crazy. Yeah I was definitely. I was waiting for the trigger and then nothing. I’ve seen WWA’s for a dusting maybe up to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Anecdotally speaking, the overnight low last night dropped to 25 here, several degrees lower than the forecast. That took care of any warm ground issues & snow accumulated right away from the start. The morning snowfall has happened with temps in the 30-31 range, whereas many model runs were showing 33-34 degree snowfall. A couple degrees on the colder side has made a huge difference! Yeah I think that’s the main thing. Not just that but at least for here there was expected to be a mix with rain once the temps raised but the temps have remained below freezing and no mixing in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 (edited) I don’t remember where I read it but when the new GFS upgrade came out one of the things they tried to fix was the snow map being more accurate. I honestly think they made it worse and I’ve noticed some really odd totals it puts out on occasion. Seems like it was well too low with this system. Edited January 22, 2023 by SNOWBOB11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Anecdotally speaking, the overnight low last night dropped to 25 here, several degrees lower than the forecast. That took care of any warm ground issues & snow accumulated right away from the start. The morning snowfall has happened with temps in the 30-31 range, whereas many model runs were showing 33-34 degree snowfall. A couple degrees on the colder side has made a huge difference! Perfect summary! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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