Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 (edited) I trohpied the RGEM for the 12-14 storm as having been the lone wolf to call that out on the WARM weaker side (which transpired) I'm not crowning it yet here but it seems to have pegged a colder stronger side that models might actually be picking up.... Edited January 20, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 More less looking at the strength vs. Where the "L" is, with a stronger low its less strung out so the circulation is easier pinpointed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Twins, let's goooo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 20, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 20, 2023 No offense to ultra snow starved SE OH, but what's up with the 12Z 3K NAM? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Hiramite said: No offense to ultra snow starved SE OH, but what's up with the 12Z 3K NAM? We always must have a wild card! 🙂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 20, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 20, 2023 Unlike the 3K, the FV3 "follows suit" with the rest of the gang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 20, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 RGEM snowfall is a little deceiving. Map shows snow but I’m guessing it’s rain for MBY just south of Columbus. Sounding best guess is rain. Something to look at if you’re right on the border of rain/snow. WAA is a 🤬 Not trying to be a Debbie Downer. 🤪 At least it’s trending in the right direction for a lot people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 8 minutes ago, cperry29 said: RGEM snowfall is a little deceiving. Map shows snow but I’m guessing it’s rain for MBY just south of Columbus. Sounding best guess is rain. Something to look at if you’re right on the border of rain/snow. WAA is a 🤬 Not trying to be a Debbie Downer. 🤪 At least it’s trending in the right direction for a lot people. Those are 2M temps-so isn't it possible the upper air is cold enough for snow, but it's likely to melt on contact/shortly after since its not cold enough at the surface to stick? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Wnwniner said: Those are 2M temps-so isn't it possible the upper air is cold enough for snow, but it's likely to melt on contact/shortly after since its not cold enough at the surface to stick? Yep. I've seen it snow at 40 degrees @ 2 meters. Doesn't accumulate well (obviously) but can add up on grassy areas especially where solar energy can't get to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, Wnwniner said: Those are 2M temps-so isn't it possible the upper air is cold enough for snow, but it's likely to melt on contact/shortly after since its not cold enough at the surface to stick? I’d say so. My post was referencing accumulation. Snow depth may be a better indicator of accumulation as seen on the GFS. RGEM doesn’t have a snow depth option as far as I can tell. Just spitballing here 😂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 It’s been snowing lightly throughout the morning at 35 degrees. Rates would determine if you get a period of “stickage” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 21 minutes ago, cperry29 said: I’d say so. My post was referencing accumulation. Snow depth may be a better indicator of accumulation as seen on the GFS. RGEM doesn’t have a snow depth option as far as I can tell. Just spitballing here 😂 Totally agree on the snow depth front! 👍 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 54 minutes ago, RobB said: Yep. I've seen it snow at 40 degrees @ 2 meters. Doesn't accumulate well (obviously) but can add up on grassy areas especially where solar energy can't get to it. They need to somehow add that to this graphic....🤔 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I'm just gonna stick with 10:1 graphics since we're basically back to the first snow of the season mentality. You will "see it fall" as 2'' of 10:1 snow lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 15z RAP 👀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I think until/unless the 24-26 storm comes back east, probably should spend some time in here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, Grace said: 15z RAP 👀 very RGEM ish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 In my mind, it’s helpful to get this storm out of the way before focusing on the 24-26th. There’s bound to be small nuances the models can’t pick up on til this storm is over with. At least that’s what I’m telling myself. 🙂 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 (edited) oh man so does the HRRR Edited January 20, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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