StormfanaticInd Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 00z GFS went even further west. I think it’s over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, SNOWBOB11 said: 00z GFS went even further west. I think it’s over. We are on some streak here in the OV. Not throwing in the towel yet though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 (edited) 06z GFS looks like a replicate of the pre Christmas storm. Absolutely crap pattern right now. Gonna need a monster February to even get close to average snow here. Prolly will need 36” or so which will not be easy to attain. Edited January 9, 2023 by easton229 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 6 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: We are on some streak here in the OV. Not throwing in the towel yet though Really no one doing well with exception of LES favored areas and MSP corridor. NE and Mid Atlantic in the same boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Cary67 said: Really no one doing well with exception of LES favored areas and MSP corridor. NE and Mid Atlantic in the same boat. Not much snows IMBY but glad to see I am not in the lowest amounts area. All season, right at 6 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 9, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 9, 2023 00z ensembles comparison: Euro says "I got this thing nailed down". It is also in between the CMCE and GEFS so that's where my $1.36 bet is going. As always, we'll see what happens.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 9, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 9, 2023 And a couple of Day 4 and Day 5 prognostications from the WPC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Need cold air but it's just not happening these last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 9, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, MidMichiganWx said: Need cold air but it's just not happening these last few runs. Yeah, for most areas, all three models show the bulk of what snow there is falling with temps just above freezing. (The lee of the Lakes do see some snow below 32.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 GRR AFD from this morning: Quote The main focus continues to be on the Thursday time frame, and how much precipitation and the p-type expected. There is good agreement that the initial precipitation out ahead of the system will be rain as it moves overhead. The various model guidance and ensembles do show differences in how far NW the initial rain is able to make it. Differences show up then as far as the track of the low is concerned. The results then are how is p-type affected, and how much of each p-type occurs. There is good agreement that after the initial rain comes in, precipitation changes over to snow relatively quickly as phasing of the bigger southern stream, and cold air with the northern stream. The exact timing of these systems phasing is important to where the snow occurs and how much falls. We are honing in on a solution, but can`t pin it down completely yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 6z eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 9, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 9, 2023 The wrap-around, 'unicorn' snows have pretty much disappeared, too. Le sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 (edited) trend seems to be warmer Edited January 9, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 I still think there's time for a SE/cooler trend with the track. Isn't this about the time frame where the modeling for the pre-Christmas storm was showing the track pretty far NW before shifting SE a few hundred miles over the last 72 hours or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 17 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: I still think there's time for a SE/cooler trend with the track. Isn't this about the time frame where the modeling for the pre-Christmas storm was showing the track pretty far NW before shifting SE a few hundred miles over the last 72 hours or so? It’s possible but if I’m to guess I’d say this one’s now a cutter. With every model trending NW. It’s probably not going to trend back SE enough for the majority of this forum. I think on to the next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I have huge concern. If and when we finally do get the big one here in the OV I wonder if these newly upgraded models will be able to see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Nice hit for me on that run actually. Though I can see this being one of those storms where accumulation is cut in half or more because of hours of sleet/changeover crap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 RGEM says what snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 ICON works for me 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: ICON works for me 🤣😅 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 The NAV is straight up gold😆 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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